Yes, they are a better team when you look at entire body of work. That’s not very relevant for this game though. The teams aren’t playing against the other team’s body of work. They are playing each other and we are a bad match up for UTjr.
Watching all the talking heads pick Tennessee
- Thread starter BIG BLUE GURU
- Start date
I don’t buy the 3x (it was sarcasm) unless you qualify it by saying “it’s hard to upset a team 3x” it is but our team isnt the same as UT has seen.We're due. The last time we had a chance to do anything in the tourney E8 playing Aub after beating them twice and boat racing them the last one by 20+ they got us in the tourney.
Its our time.
Yeah you’d think if you were missing critical pieces for the first two victories and got those pieces back for a third matchup that your odds of winning would go up rather than down. I feel like this is an old wives tale that gained a lot of traction with our fan base in particular.
I think the entire body of work is way more important than two random games.
That's not to say I don't think matchups aren't important. Maybe we do match up well with them. Or maybe we just happened to play good in those two games we happened to have faced them. Who knows.
I think too much is being made of it one way or the other
If we lose tomorrow, it won't be because of what happened in the previous two games.
If we win tomorrow, it also won't be because of what happened in the previous two games.
At the end of the day, these are all independent events of one another. Another game, another opportunity to play well or not play well.
If we lose tomorrow, it won't be because of what happened in the previous two games.
If we win tomorrow, it also won't be because of what happened in the previous two games.
At the end of the day, these are all independent events of one another. Another game, another opportunity to play well or not play well.
Surprised the line hasn’t moved any since Sunday. KY is the underdog Tennessee has the better team better Pro’s. We find a way to win. Go CATS
Only one dude has this type of facts about the future and I'm pretty positive He doesn't post here.
Haven't seen any from the videos on YouTube. I don't watch TV unless it is Kentucky playing and I refuse to watch ESPN.
I don’t think we’d beat Florida or duke twice. Let alone on the road. That’s my point.
So one game vs an opponent doesn't necessarily mean you are better than them
But two games that suddenly means something?
IMO, I think you are just placing way too much weight on two games.
The OP asked why no one is picking us. There's a reason for that. That's my point.
2 games is a pretty good indicator. Without the injuries UK would most likely have a better record and be ranked higher . I don't believe UT is the better team. They sure weren't the better team the 2 games UK played them short-handed.
Right. But the question was why are people picking UT over UK.
Why does what happened on that day have any bearing on what people are picking for an upcoming game tomorrow night?
It’s not harder. It’s a 70/30 deal in favor of the team who won the previous two games. There’s no real downside in picking the favorite to win so that’s why everyone’s doing it.
It is not just hard to beat a team 3 times, it is super hard to be a higher ranked team 3 times.
Yeah I don't think anyone thinks either of these teams is winning a national title.
You're very slow if you think the stats for any team going up against a team for a 3rd time is a fair comparison.
Fair would be if you compared only when both teams were ranked and one was going into the 3rd game 2-0.
Or When the underdog was 2-0 how that 3rd game went.
There are two different narratives being rattled off and one is wrong, This one is correct. What is the percentage that the underdog wins 3x in a season?
It is not 70%. People keep perpetuating a statistic that doesn’t tell the story.
Yes, I agree if we are talking about which team is better on paper. But head to head results are far more important in determining which team is likely to win a future game. This is amplified even more by Pope's comments after the second game. He basically said that a lot of the things that UT does makes them a good match up for the way UK plays.
Sometimes it’s hard not to beat a team 3x especially if they only play twice.
someone had a thread showing that teams won the 3rd game like 72% of the time or something close to that so it's evidently not as hard as we think.
Just have to beat them when it really counts, and we the better team.
Having said that, I think there is something to be said with beating them twice and both games just happened to be the best games of the year we shot from the floor and 3 combined.
Do we have to do it again to beat them.
I think so. Especially when you consider how bad they shot. We at least have to shoot really good in case they don't shoot so bad this game.
I feel like, in reference to your point, our defense has gotten a lot better whereas our offense has been good to great all year. Meanwhile their defense is stellar but offense leaves much to be desired. Our defensive improvements are better than their offensive improvements.
UT is not a bad idea to pick, but to be fair, this is the best version of UK they've seen all year. If they couldn't beat a crippled version of us at home, what are their chances against a better version of UK on a neutral court? I like our chances.
At the end of the day, a win would be gravy. I'm on cloud 9 knowing we made it this far in year one, especially with how injuries hampered the season.
