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Upset Predictions

Well when your biggest weakness is defending and rebounding (same as last year), a very good defensive team that is a veteran squad with an elite PG can beat you. Kind of UK's kryptonite so to speak. I do not having us losing, but we had better play better defense, rebound the ball, not commit foolish turnovers, and get after 50/50 balls. We have struggled with ALL of those in games we lost. If those things exist against Troy, bet your sweet ass we could and probably will lose. They are a bunch of scrubs, veteran guys who play hard and know how to win. They do not shoot the 3 well, maybe a little zone and mixing up defenses wouldn't hurt. We struggle guarding man to man, doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that out, same with rebounding. Play hard, play physical, that is all we can ask. If shots don't fall, I tip my hat, but losing playing careless / half ass is not acceptable.
 
I think the SEC teams getting away from beating the hell out of each other will actually help them. Not saying they all advance, but just seeing new faces has to help. Wide open tournament. I do not think Duke is the team everyone thinks they are. If people are deducting seeds for Louisville for beating up on ACC teams, Duke the same. They had better wins OOC than Louisville, but not that many. I do not see 1/9 seed difference. IF Duke makes it past the Elite 8, consider me shocked. JMO. I think Florida wins it all.

Upsets : (1st round)
(12)Liberty over (5)Oregon
(12)CSU over (5)Memphis
(13)Grand Canyon over (4)Maryland

Final 4
Alabama
Gonzaga
Auburn
Florida
(2)Alabama over (8)Gonzaga / (1)Florida over (1)Auburn

Title Game (1)Florida over (2)Alabama


National Champ - Florida
There is historical precedent for this. In 1996, UK beat everyone in the SEC bad in the regular season and then State went to Final Four and UGA (coached by Tubby) lost on a last second shot in the Sweet Sixteen. In 2014 Florida killed everyone, and it helped UK go on a run to the Championship Game. Vols also made the S16 in 2014.
 
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Colorado state was a tough one for me. My upset picks early have been Drake, GCU, and High Point in one bracket.
I also picked Drake to win a couple of games in upsets, but I'm afraid it was more due to wanting to watch Bennett Stirtz than anything logical. :)
 
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In order of how strong I feel about them

12 UC San Diego over 5 Michigan and then makes the Sweet 16

12 Colorado State over 5 Memphis

12 Liberty over 5 Oregon

13 High Point over 4 Purdue

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So many teams could pull upsets but those are the 4 I feel have best shot

Grand Canyon
Lipscomb
Arkon
Drake
VCU
McNeese

All these teams have a shot
 
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