You also have to realize Vandy will always get the best recruits since they are a private school and has the ability to offer up to 100% scholarships for their full roster. Most schools get minimum 25% and only 11.7 full scholarships to divide among 27 players. Louisville over-commits then they weed out the commits 2-3 yrs down the road. Which is really not fair to their commits. Coaches have to recruit so many years ahead so Ming was already behind coming into the recruiting process for UK as a new coach. I can only imagine it is really a hard to figure out what you had currently, what scholarship amounts you have left to work with, predict who would leave or stay, fill in for certain positions and try and figure out who you need to redshirt, etc.
Not giving excuses, but it has to be hard when you have to predict so far ahead.