It's unfortunately (or maybe fortunately from your point of view) not completely ridiculous. Thornton isn't ready to be the full-time point guard, Jefferson has no timetable for a return and Jeter is completely clueless, which is why Ingram has to play the four all game long. That can help him offensively, but can get him in real trouble defensively. He's not as suited to handle that position the way Winslow was last season.
Yup. Wake at home may be the only "surefire" win in the bunch. Now I obviously believe they'll find a way to win a few more, but I can't look at any other game remaining on their schedule and say there's no possible worries of a loss.