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TCU at Kentucky (Preview)

Comebakatz3

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Aug 8, 2008
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UK plays 16th ranked TCU (I refuse to acknowledge them as 8th, and don’t even know where UK is getting that number) this weekend for three game set and the first true test of the season for the Cats. TCU will be under the direction of first year head coach Kirk Saarloos. He took the reins for the Horned Frogs after Texas A&M sniped Jim Schlossnagle from them. Sarloos was the long time pitching coach under Jim S. Last year, they went 50-18 on their way to a CWS appearance and they seem to be not missing much of a beat under their new head coach.

Starters:

Austin Krob – A junior left hander off to an outstanding start in 2022. He has a 0.00 ERA through 2 starts and 10 innings pitched. He’s given up 6 singles, 4 walks and has 13 strikeouts. Batters are hitting just .182 against him. In the first game of the year he went 4 innings, gave up 4 hits and walked 1 while striking out 7. It was a 1-0 game, so it looks like his pitch count got up pretty quickly. Only the one walk, but a pretty good number of balls and some long innings in there. Against Nebraska he went a full 6 and only have up 2 hits while walking 3 and striking out 6. So, not really a huge strike out guy, but he gets out and limits damage. Again, all singles. No extra base hits this year given up in 2 outings. Krob is going to heavily use the slider. He throws the mid-80s pitch about 40 percent of the time. So, UK should know what is coming. The fastball is around 92 most of the time, but doesn’t have a whole lot of run on it. Has some other offerings, but they aren’t great. He’s a solid Friday starter, but I don’t think the stuff is the most overpowering that we’ll see this year. Also, as a note, TCU hasn’t given him much run support this year, he’s just 1-0 on the year and TCU won 5-3 against San Diego State and 4-0 against Nebraska in his two starts.

Riley Cornelio – A sophomore righty has struggled compared to the other pitchers for TCU, and he’s still had a pretty good start to 2022. His first start was against California where he went 5.1 innings, gave up 3 hits and 2 runs, both earned. He walked 2 and struck out 5. He has been a bit prone to give up the home run, as he’s given up 1 in each start. His second start against Nebraska he went 6 full giving up just 3 hits and 2 runs, both earned and picking up 7 strikeouts. So, overall he carries a 3.18 ERA through 11.1 innings, having given up 6 hits, 4 earned runs with 2 walks and 12 strikeouts. He gave up 1 double and 2 home runs. Opponents hitting just .154. So, clearly the kid has good stuff, but he’s just left some up over the plate at times and he’s been taken deep. 3 of the 4 runs he’s given up have come that way, and 3 runs were IIRC in the 4th. Corneilo is a big time prospect. A possible 2nd rounder out of high school ranked 68th overall by Baseball America. His fastball sits in the mid-90s with a chance to run higher and throws a slurve type of breaking ball for strikes as well as a low to mid 80s change. Good stuff from him and he can really dominate a game if he keeps the ball down and doesn’t hang that slurve.

Brett Walker – A grad student righty with a 1.32 ERA through 13.2 innings pitched will go for TCU on Sunday. He is a transfer from Oregon where he had an 11-6 record and a 3.98 ERA in 47 appearances. His first start for TCU came in a 10-0 win against Houston where he went 6.2 innings, gave up 7 hits, 0 runs, 2 walks and had 5 strikeouts. Against Nebraska he went a full 7 innings in a 5-3 win, giving up 6 hits, 2 earned runs, with 0 walks and 6 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting .250 against him with a double and a home run.

In close games TCU will turn to River Ridings. The sophomore lefty already has 4 saves this year and a 0.00 ERA. As a freshman he was a PG 1st Team Freshman All American and had a 1.08 ERA in 33.1 innings pitched. This year he has given up 5 hits in four innings, (.294 average against), but he also has 7 strikeouts. So, he’s been hit pretty regularly in the 4 innings, but he’s limited the damage. 0 walks for him is also a massive help. Looks like he comes at you submarine style, so seeing that different arm angle is a big factor in his success.

Marcelo Perez is also an arm that UK will see this weekend. He’s a short righty junior that has also appeared in 4 games and has 4 innings pitched this season. He also has a 0.00 ERA and has given up just 2 hits. He has given up a run and has walked 2 to go with 4 Ks. Opponents hitting just .154.

Caleb Bolden is another who has been used more extensively, having gone 3.2 innings in 3 appearances. Bolden is a grad student transfer from Arkansas that throws from the right side. He was a successful starter with the Razorbacks but he’ll come out of the pen this season. So far he carries, of course, a 0.00 ERA and has given up just 2 hits against 14 batters with 1 walks and 7 strikeouts. Both hits were doubles.

Overall this team’s strength is pitching. They get a good number of strikeouts and they don’t walk a whole lot of hitters. They limit extra base hits, only giving up 12 total as a team through 8 games. I went ahead and put UK’s pitching stats under TCU’s in case you want to compare.


TCUERAWHIPW-LAPP-GSCGSHOSVIPHRERBBK2B3BHRABB/AVGWPHBPBKSFASHA
Totals
2.56​
1.21​
7-137-8
0​
1​
5​
70.1​
60​
23​
20​
25​
89​
6​
1​
5​
263​
0.228​
5​
4​
0​
2​
3​

UKERAWHIPW-LAPP-GSCGSHOSVIPHRERBBK2B3BHRABB/AVGWPHBPBKSFASHA
Totals
3.9​
1.42​
8-140-9
0​
0​
1​
83​
83​
44​
36​
35​
109​
14​
2​
9​
326​
0.255​
8​
12​
1​
0​
1​
 
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Here is the starting lineup (for the most part) for TCU:

CF- Elijah Nunez – The sophomore lefty has a whole lot of speed with 7 stolen bases so far. He’s hitting .346 with just 1 triple. So, mostly singles (9) with 9 strikeouts to 7 walks. So, he’ll work the count pretty deep, but is prone to strike out. UK will need to keep him off the bases so he doesn’t turn walks and singles into doubles when he steals.

RF- Luke Boyers – Switch hitting sophomore has typically hit in the 2 hole this season, but he’s struggling at .206. He does have 7 hits in 34 at bats and 7 runs scored along with a home run, but he’s been extremely prone to the strikeout, with 10 so far to just 3 walks. The only extra base hit he has is the HR. So, I might not be surprised to see him move down the lineup this weekend to see if he can get some better pitches.

3B – Brayden Taylor – A sophomore that hits from the left side is second best on the team in batting average at .444. He is tied for the most runs on the team with 12 and has 3 doubles and a home run. He also has a great eye at the plate with 10 walks to 5 strikeouts, which helps him lead the team in OBP. He is a bit of a threat to steal as he’s 3-3 this season.

1B – David Bishop – A freshman hitting from the right side, the first true right handed hitter in the lineup is off to a good start hitting .345 with a double and a home run. He leads the team with 13 RBIs. So, he’s shown a very good ability to knock in runs when given the chance. Not huge power or hitting for gaps, but he seems to have that knack for getting on. 5 walks to 4 strikeouts.

2B – Gray Rodgers – Another lefty. The senior Rodgers is struggling this season hitting just .185, but he’s going to get every opportunity to get back into rhythm. He was all conference honorable mention a year ago and hit .287. So, they have to believe that he is capable. 5 hits this year, but 2 are doubles and he has 6 RBIs. He has 9 walks and 6 strikeouts, so his OB% is still an impressive .405.

SS - Tommy Sacco – He’s a senior switch hitter off to a great start. Hitting .464 with 13 hits in 28 at bats, 3 doubles and a home run to go with 6 RBIs. He’s also walked 6 times and struck out 6 times (OB% .543). He has hit leadoff one time this year, Friday Nebraska. Not sure why that happened, but every other game he’s been around here. I could conceivable see him moving up and taking Boyers to this spot to see if it gets Boyers going.

DH – Reed Spenrath – Sophomore left handed hitter is hitting .250 with a double. He is in his first year with the program and hasn’t played in every game, but I think he still starts, especially tonight. He has 9 strikeouts to just 1 walk, so that is a problem for TCU that he needs to work out and might contribute to TCU looking at alternatives. He does have 6 RBIs in his just 5 hits, so that is impressive.

C – Kurtis Byrne – A sophomore right handed hitter is hitting .238. The catcher is tied for the lead on the team with 3 doubles. He’s walked 4 times and struck out 5. He could be switched in the lineup with Spenrath as he bounces around some.

LF – Porter Brown – I think the sophomore lefty gets the start. He’s struggling a whole lot at just .188, but he seems to be putting the ball in play as he only has 3 strikeouts in 16 at bats. Against a right-hander tonight I think he starts. He was Big 12 Tournament MVP a year ago and hit .342. So, they’re looking for him to get back on track.

Sub- Logan Maxwell – He is a freshman outfielder with a handful of starts, but he’s struggling a whole lot. .083 with 12 at bats. He has 4 walks and has been hit by 3 pitches, which leads the team, but he’s also struck out 6 times. He has largely subbed in for Brown, but given that he too is a lefty, there isn’t much difference there.

Sub – Sam Thompson – A sophomore, you guessed it, left handed hitter. Hitting just .200 but has a home run in 5 at bats. He has a start in center, but I doubt we see him much this weekend.

That is pretty much it. There are a few others with a spot start, but their stats are poor so I doubt we see much of them. Still… the story is lefty hitting versus UK having 2 lefty starters. UK pitchers have to be sharp because TCU will look to get on base through walks and make pitchers work. The good thing for UK is there isn’t a ton of power in the TCU lineup and they haven’t shown a great ability to hit for extra bases. So, once again UK can limit the damage this way. They will look to run with certain guys, but it will mostly be in spots.

Again, here are the stats to compare.


AVGOPSGP-GSABRH2B3BHRRBITBSLG%BBHBPSOGDPOB%SFSHSB-ATT
TCU
0.281​
0.81​
8-8​
253​
57​
71​
13​
1​
5​
53​
101​
0.399​
52​
8​
68​
3​
0.411​
6​
0​
15-17​
UK
0.333​
0.942​
9-9​
333​
87​
111​
24​
3​
10​
76​
171​
0.514​
47​
14​
54​
5​
0.428​
8​
3​
11-12​
 
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I think our pitching can limit their scoring. Their lineup just isn’t all that impressive or dangerous in my opinion. Limit the walks and that will go a long way to keeping runs off the board. We have a pretty big and strong advantage that we have 2 lefty starters and their entire lineup is lefty or switch hitters, sans I think 2 guys.

The rubber meets the road with our hitting. So far, we’ve hit well, but this is a whole different animal. No longer can we rely on getting into the back end of a bullpen that is significantly less impressive than ours. This bullpen will have a lot of arms that they can use and they are all good. They have 7 guys in the bullpen who have not given up an earned run across 17.2 innings of work this season. That’s extremely impressive. I don’t know that such a stat will hold, but either way, UK hitters won’t get the late inning luxury they’ve had this season so far.

I think UK can steal a game or two, but it’s going to be a difficult series. We get to really see what we’re made of.
 
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