I could be wrong, but I see us as firmly on the 3 seed line right now.
We were 10 in the SC reveal a few weeks back and have done nothing to hurt our resume. No bad losses. We haven’t lost a Quad 2 game since February 1st (14 days before the reveal). No Quad 3 or 4 losses.
Our only losses have been to Quad 1 teams.
We lost to Texas that night. Close game, on the road. Q1 loss. We destroyed Vandy at home. Q2 win. Lost a Q1A game at Bama. Won a close Q1 game against OU. Lost a Q1A game to Auburn. Beat the brakes off of LSU. Q3 win.
So where did we slip? We lost to good teams who were, by the metrics, suppose to beat us. We beat the teams we were suppose to beat.
And who else has caught fire and passed us up?
St. John’s maybe.
Michigan St. wasn’t even in the top 16, but they have been on a tear lately.
Wisconsin beat Purdue on the road, but they lost at home to Oregon. How does that compare to losing to Auburn or Bama? I think we win that comparison.
Also, look at Iowa St., who was a spot ahead of us and have had some worse losses.
Purdue was at 7, and they have lost to IU, Michigan St., and Wisconsin.
Michigan has fallen out of the top 16, I would think.
So, while we haven’t climbed any higher, we shouldn’t have slipped any either.
We will be a 3 or 4 seed when all is said and done. Probably a 3 seed, unless some other teams get hot. Of course, if teams below us get hot in the tourney, it’s probably at the expense of some teams above us, so it kind of balances out.