Opens -6.5 vs LSU
- Thread starter moses1uk
- Start date
I'll put a 100 on LSU that way I know UK wins tomorrow
At this point I'm betting the opponent. If we win by more than 7, fine by me! I win either way.
LSU has been sneaky good here and there definitely a game we have to be ready for after the big Auburn win. We don't wanna let down on the road they just beats SC on the road And they also beat Texas AM on the road. They also only lost by 2 points at Florida and scored 92 on Bama.
I'm not saying they're good, but we do need to bring it being a road game and after a big win.
I'm not saying they're good, but we do need to bring it being a road game and after a big win.
They are all important but given we have Bama at home on the weekend this is massively important.
Watch out - trap game…need to be aggressive from the tip off. No let down from the AU game. Go Cats!
DK has a 50% CBB profit boost right now. I put $15 on LSU moneyline to return $66. Well worth it to ensure a win IMO. Definite trap game.
Been betting that way most of the year. I don't mind "paying" for wins that way. Lol
Haha I'm not sure I could do that.
I get the win-win logic but I have a feeling if I was betting on sports that I'd reach some point where'd I'd be rooting against my team for purposes of winning a bet. Not sure I can do that lol.
I get the win-win logic but I have a feeling if I was betting on sports that I'd reach some point where'd I'd be rooting against my team for purposes of winning a bet. Not sure I can do that lol.
Kenpom probably not taking into account their leading scoring has a hamstring injury and MAY not play. If it is a hammy, I would think even if he plays, he will be limited. We need all the breaks we can get, we all know we have had several go against us. I would guess Kenpom is just basing it on data, not factoring in injuries. JMO.
I'm the same way. I just can't bring myself to bet against us even if the logic is sound.
If I'm not confident in a win, I'll stay away or just bet the O/U or player props.
Yep that's exactly it then. That was my immediate thought. It doesn't factor that information.
Most people don't have to worry bout that especially if your parleying. If I stack 6 games with teams that should win it never hits anyway. I just play for fun and it's way cheaper than dating now n days. Atleast there's a chance something good comes from draftkings. Chasing chics now n days as a hobby is ridiculous when they only live for social media likes. I prefer gambling as my new hobby.
Especially with how college basketball does things.
Like tonight.........if UK is up by 7 and I have LSU, it makes sense for UK to win by less than 7 but still win. That's the best of both worlds.
But seeding in the tournament is so important. NET is plastered all over the team sheets when doing seeding. NET factors in margin of victory. So it pays better in the long run for UK to win by as many points as possible.
Conflict of interest lol
Like tonight.........if UK is up by 7 and I have LSU, it makes sense for UK to win by less than 7 but still win. That's the best of both worlds.
But seeding in the tournament is so important. NET is plastered all over the team sheets when doing seeding. NET factors in margin of victory. So it pays better in the long run for UK to win by as many points as possible.
Conflict of interest lol
Oddsmakers must be bullish on UK after that win at Auburn. Based on the numbers, I would have expected the line to be a bit lower, maybe -4.5 or -5.0.
It could also be that they believe Jalen Cook is out for tonight. Although, LSU beat South Carolina without him.
It could also be that they believe Jalen Cook is out for tonight. Although, LSU beat South Carolina without him.
I brought the line to UK -2 in my 100 dollar parley. Figured if I was lucky enough that would be what we would get out of there with a win with. What's the chances of us playing to road games in a row that a team don't hit 20 3s.
LSU people said the cook guy is gonna go through pre game to see if he can go or not
Interesting. So you bought it down 2 or 3 points ? NOT smart betting. The juice has to be very high. The risk / reward is not worth it. I will OCCASIONLY buy a .5 point, MAYBE a point. But NEVER 2/3 points. Best thing you can do is watch the line, if it climbs to 7 or so, put in a LSU + the points and hope for a "middle" and win both UK winning by 3-6 points if it gets to 7). if you really think they will only win by 2/3, why not ? It will at least protect you in the event UK doesn't cover, or worse, loses outright.
Not trying to tell you how to bet (do your thing), but in college basketball betting favorites on the road, (especially this year) laying heavy juice is a losing proposition. Just out of curiosity, what did buying all those points take the odds to ? (-400 / -500 ?)
I would say it’s more bullish. Kentucky hasn’t shown any consistency at all, and a let down after a big road win wouldn’t be shocking at all. But Kentucky needs this win tonight and I think they grind it out
KenPompom numbers are fake numbers. Nothing for him to take into account. He cherry picks numbers.
I know LSU is down this year but I found it interesting we wouldn’t have covered this type of number at LSU since 2012.
In the 6 meetings since we’re 3-3 and haven’t won down there by more than 3 points.
The Cook kid didn’t play at USCjr either. Jordan Wright is a good college player in his 5th year and torched UK last year in Rupp. Will Baker is a senior that was a top 40 prospect. The Hannibal guard is a good athlete that had a nice game against us last year too.
In the 6 meetings since we’re 3-3 and haven’t won down there by more than 3 points.
The Cook kid didn’t play at USCjr either. Jordan Wright is a good college player in his 5th year and torched UK last year in Rupp. Will Baker is a senior that was a top 40 prospect. The Hannibal guard is a good athlete that had a nice game against us last year too.
And no looking forward to Alabama game. This coukd be a scary game tonight if the guys aren't 100% focused on LSU. If they are, we coukd win by double digits.
We will come out and roll tonight. Team is focused and hungry, Cats by 15+.
All the makings of a let down off a big win, on the road late night..just get the W and get out, doesn't matter by how much or how pretty it looks.
-4.5 was the actual opening line. It's moved to -6.5. OP has incorrectly stated -6.5 was the open.
It made it a -210. Yeah I just figured a road game we wouldn't cover 6 but seemed a 3 point win would be closer. Yeah I'm just a rookie for sure losing money frequently. Luckily I don't have any other nasty habits so I can lose alittle money ever few days..
Depends on the book you are using. Not all books will have the same line.
FanDuel ha a Boost tonight of +200 odds :
Duke, Alabama, and UK all win. Thinking hard about it, but scared if I bet it, UK would lose. Decions, decisions.
FanDuel ha a Boost tonight of +200 odds :
Duke, Alabama, and UK all win. Thinking hard about it, but scared if I bet it, UK would lose. Decions, decisions.
Hope so but you know how young kids/guys can be in taking an opponent for granted when it is sandwiched between two big opponents like it is in this game. That's my concern.
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