I’m good at 5.
Purdue and Hoiston are pretty much the consensus top two. No one is going above them. Purdue has just about everyone back from a Sweet Sixteen team including the top NPOY candidate and another potential AA. Houston has three starters back and a really good recruiting class.
Duke at 3, after losing their entire starting five, is ridiculous. The media is counting on Boozer being Flagg 2.0. That’s a big ask. They should be in the 10-15 range.
Florida at 4 is fine, though I think replacing Clayton, Richard, Martin, and Aberdeen will not be that easy. Doing it with three brand new players? They should be in the 6-10 range, IMHO. That frontcourt is potentially the best in the country, but the backcourt will need time to jell with them.
Auburn is way too high, based on what I see on paper. Pettiford is the only guy back who even played significant minutes for Pearl last season. They are going from a Senior led team (with Seniors that had been in the program for 3-5 years) to a transfer led team. Pearl is a great coach, but he has his work cut out for him. They should be way lower on the list and probably barely top 25, on paper.
On the other hand, BYU and UConn are way too low. I would put them both in the top 10 for sure,
Arkansas should be slightly higher, despite having a terrible coaching staff.
Might push St. John’s up a spot of two.
My top 5:
1 Purdue
2 Houston
3 UK
4 St. John’s
5 BYU