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Ole Miss -3.5

Close enough that we can ride Ole Miss moneyline and add a gimme or two to get over even money for a parlay. Win-win scenarios this weekend (hopefully lose $).
 
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Ole Miss by 8, easy money
Dream on Skunt. CRod is going to add another dimension to our offense which will open up things in the passing game.
We have two former Ole Miss players on our D in Smith and Jones who are both already good but will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder v. their former team.
Plus UK won in Florida in front of 90,000, Ole Miss holds about 64,000. Yawn.
UK by 10.
 
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Dream on Skunt. CRod is going to add another dimension to our offense which will open up things in the passing game.
We have two former Ole Miss players on our D in Smith and Jones who are both already good but will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder v. their former team.
Plus UK won in Florida in front of 90,000, Ole Miss holds about 64,000. Yawn.
UK by 10.
Put her on ignore like I did.
 
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Dream on Skunt. CRod is going to add another dimension to our offense which will open up things in the passing game.
We have two former Ole Miss players on our D in Smith and Jones who are both already good but will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder v. their former team.
Plus UK won in Florida in front of 90,000, Ole Miss holds about 64,000. Yawn.
UK by 10.
Its not a dream, its reality. Your fandom is getting the best of you, thats why Vegas picks Ole Miss, too. Florida sucks, and the transfers you mentioned from Ole Miss weren't even 2nd stringers on that team. I wish i was wrong, but Lane isn't losing to Kentucky at home.
 
Its not a dream, its reality. Your fandom is getting the best of you, thats why Vegas picks Ole Miss, too. Florida sucks, and the transfers you mentioned from Ole Miss weren't even 2nd stringers on that team. I wish i was wrong, but Lane isn't losing to Kentucky at home.

You don't understand how the line works do you. The odds are set to get the bets split as near 50% each way, not who is the better team.
 
You don't understand how the line works do you. The odds are set to get the bets split as near 50% each way, not who is the better team.
It's actually a perception of WHO is the better team made by those in Vegas that set the betting lines. Then the betting public moves that line toward who they think has the best chance at either proving those in Vegas right OR proving them wrong by WHO they place the bet on. This is what causes the line to MOVE either up or down or even stay the same UNTIL the bets become as close to 50/50 as possible.
 
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You don't understand how the line works do you. The odds are set to get the bets split as near 50% each way, not who is the better team.
Correct. In other words, if it was a Pick em game, the entire country would take Ole Miss.....except for the state of Ky. Therefore, to get an even betting field they start Ole Miss as a large favorite.
 
Correct. In other words, if it was a Pick em game, the entire country would take Ole Miss.....except for the state of Ky. Therefore, to get an even betting field they start Ole Miss as a large favorite.

Actually with where it started, they saw us as close to even with home field being about a 3 point swing. The public is betting Ole miss up.. which is often a good thing for the team being bet against. They did so with Florida also.

Games a toss up. If we can play clean in the turnover column I think we can win it. Dang sure isn't as bleak a chance ad you allude and not a grand slam as Homer's like herro pretend
 
We’re going to have to play a lot damned better than we have in any of the first four games (first half of the Florida game) if we’re going to beat Ole Miss on the road. Can we beat them? Absolutely, but it’s going to take a really good effort. Hopefully the running game takes off with CRod back. Obviously he should have very fresh legs.
 
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Ole Miss is 1-4 ATS as a favorite of a TD or less under Lane Kiffin. Kentucky is 4-1 ATS with 4 outright wins in its last 5 games as a dog of a touchdown or less.
whenever I see stats like this I want to feel comforted but I also expect a regression to the mean. Kiffin won’t always have a 20% winning percentage not will Stoops always have an 80%. Hopefully the regression comes after Saturday.
 
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CRod is the x factor that “should” keep the spread close to even. The only reason Ole Miss should be favored is because the game is in Oxford (although a noon kickoff should benefit UK because the fans will not be lit and overly rowdy as per a night gm.)and they have beat/played no one.
They have played a cupcake schedule to this point, that could tell on them at noon Sat. v a top 7 squad in Ky. that with Levis, CRod and Robinson may have their best combo of QB/RB/WR in their history!
Lets Goooooooo!!!!
 
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With this pitiful excuse we've got for an offensive line, I'm surprised it's only 3.5
Pitiful, really? I get our O line has struggled but damn man, in his last 2 games Levis has thrown for 680 yds and has thrown 6 TDs to just 2 ints.
Plus we are now adding possibly the greatest RB in school history. Also, this team is learning a brand new offensive system and will only get better and better at it as they practice/play in it.
Sure this O has its warts but damn man pitiful it is not.
Maybe you should sit out a series or two.
 
Pitiful, really? I get our O line has struggled but damn man, in his last 2 games Levis has thrown for 680 yds and has thrown 6 TDs to just 2 ints.
Plus we are now adding possibly the greatest RB in school history. Also, this team is learning a brand new offensive system and will only get better and better at it as they practice/play in it.
Sure this O has its warts but damn man pitiful it is not.
Maybe you should sit out a series or two.
The last 2 games that you talk about against 2 nothing teams from 2 nothing conferences. Will Levis thanks to that great offensive line of ours. Got sacked 9 times & we were tackled for lost yardage 16 times. Our offensive line had better make a major improvement fast because it's SEC time. or we're not going to be able to score enough to beat Tennessee, Georgia, Mississippi State & possibly Ole Miss.
 
I'll be honest I haven't watched more than a play or 2 of Ole Miss this season. But looking at the stats from their games and comparing them to Kentucky's, it looks like the game plan for these 2 teams is completely reversed to what it was last year. We are the team throwing it all over, and they are the team relying on a heavy run and defense. They have recorded 13 sacks to our 6. They have recorded 7 turnovers INT/Fumbles recovered to our 4. They have over 1,100 yards rushing to our 300, but we have nearly 1200 yards passing to their 800. All in all I see a close game in Oxford. C-Rod coming back should definitely help our offense, but our defense is built to stop what Ole Miss does this year and that's RUN. We'll see if Lane gets frustrated and decides to Lane. This game much like Florida comes down to can we keep Levis off his back, and can they run on our front 7. If both are yes, close game, if we can stop their run we should win, if we can't, and Levis is running for his life we lose.
 
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The Cats have been on the wrong side of perception as long as I’ve been a fan.

Lot of respect for OM and we have lost a couple of great games to them this past decade, notably the last one that we should have won by two TDs.

Think the Cats leave with a W this weekend. There is a massive amount of UK fans from Louisville visiting, so will enjoy the visit to my old haunts.
 
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Its not a dream, its reality. Your fandom is getting the best of you, thats why Vegas picks Ole Miss, too. Florida sucks, and the transfers you mentioned from Ole Miss weren't even 2nd stringers on that team. I wish i was wrong, but Lane isn't losing to Kentucky at home.
Pretty sure Jones lead Ole Miss in tackles the year before he came here, unless I just imagined reading that.
 
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