Most likely record in next 2 games

[silentsaregolden2.0]

i know Gonzaga game is in Seattle, but come on it's a home game for them. So, we play two road games against good teams. Of the three possibilities 0-2, 2-0 and 1-1, which is the. most likely?

I'm going 1-1, with 0-2 close behind. I think it is very unilkely we go 2-0. Would LOVE to be wrong, but I think we will find out some of our weaker areas and that is a good thing in the end.

 

[yoshukai]

1-1

 

[BIG BLUE GURU]

1-1. I believe 2-0 is possible if Gonzaga doesn't play well but playing in Seattle is home game for them.

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

2-0.

Clemson can't score with us and we'll push tempo.

Gonzaga will want to run with us, but we do what they do, only better.

9-0 by the end of the week and #3 in the nation next Monday.

 

[312CAT]

First true road test against a good team in Clemson (kenpom #25), and essentially a second road test against a great team in Gonzaga (kenpom #3 . Duke game had majority UK fans so will be interesting to see how this team reacts to hostile environments against quality opponents. I'd say 1-1 but can definitely see 0-2.

 

[yabbadabbadoo]

2-0

 

[JonathanW]

As a Statistician, I think in terms of probabilities. Now the easiest calculation comes from assuming one outcome does not affect the other (independent events). Of course the Gonzaga outcome can't affect the Clemson outcome, but the opposite can't be said. However, to keep this simple we will assume independence (Clemson outcome doesn't affect Gonzaga outcome).

In my estimation, I give us a 70% chance to win at Clemson, and a 40% chance to win in Seattle (not technically at Gonzaga).
So assuming independence, that means we have a 28% chance to win both (2-0), a 18% chance to lose both (0-2), and thus a 54% chance to split them (1-1).

 

[true blue1]

2-0

 

[billoliver40]

1-1

 

[vanillaslice]

As a Statistician, I think in terms of probabilities. Now the easiest calculation comes from assuming one outcome does not affect the other (independent events). Of course the Gonzaga outcome can't affect the Clemson outcome, but the opposite can't be said. However, to keep this simple we will assume independence (Clemson outcome doesn't affect Gonzaga outcome).

In my estimation, I give us a 70% chance to win at Clemson, and a 40% chance to win in Seattle (not technically at Gonzaga).
So assuming independence, that means we have a 28% chance to win both (2-0), a 18% chance to lose both (0-2), and thus a 54% chance to split them (1-1).

Nerd

 

[Blueisbest]

While I would love to be 2-0, and it is possible, more than likely we will go 1-1.

 

[BigBlueFanGA]

Come on folks. Clemson has played 1 team with a pulse and that was a weak pulse. We aren't losing to Clemson.

Gonzaga is our equal, it appears, and that will be a war. Butler is very used to them. I don't think they can counter Oweh. I'll be surprised if we don't go 2-0, statisticians not withstanding.

 

[Fox2monk]

i know Gonzaga game is in Seattle, but come on it's a home game for them. So, we play two road games against good teams. Of the three possibilities 0-2, 2-0 and 1-1, which is the. most likely?

I'm going 1-1, with 0-2 close behind. I think it is very unilkely we go 2-0. Would LOVE to be wrong, but I think we will find out some of our weaker areas and that is a good thing in the end.

I say 1-1 with a decent chance at 2-0. I’d be shocked if we drop both.

 

[BlueSince92]

I think we go 2–0.

I think it will be hard AF.

But I think we go 2–0.

 

[HoneyMoon155]

2-0

 

[Phil_The_Music]

2-0.

Clemson can't score with us and we'll push tempo.

Gonzaga will want to run with us, but we do what they do, only better.

9-0 by the end of the week and #3 in the nation next Monday.

When you are optimistic that's pretty dang exciting! I'll take it!

 

[HerrosHeroes]

2-0
We are the best team in the country and its not close.
Ofcourse I said that in the preseason and was mocked and scorned.
But I believe it anyway.

 

[TheDude73]

First true road test against a good team in Clemson (kenpom #25), and essentially a second road test against a great team in Gonzaga (kenpom #3 . Duke game had majority UK fans so will be interesting to see how this team reacts to hostile environments against quality opponents. I'd say 1-1 but can definitely see 0-2.

You may be surprised as to how many UK fans show up at Clemson tomorrow night. And the Gonzaga game is in Seattle which is 4+ hours from Spokane, so not as bad as being AT Gonzaga (and again I think you'll see a few more UK fans in Seattle than if the game were at Gonzaga).

Cats win both by somewhere in the 8-15 pt range, and I think Clemson will bring the WKU/GSU defensive / physical heat. Gonzaga will just try to run and gun with us, so that should be an exciting matchup.

 

[MegaBlue05]

Expecting 1-1, would be thrilled at 2-0. I can live with 0-2 if it’s two competitive games decided at the very end. I just don’t want to see any blowouts with us on the wrong end.

I’m also more worried about Clemson than Gonzaga even though Gonzaga is the better team. UK historically doesn’t do well in its first true road game. Since the 1993-94 season, the Cats are 13-17 in our first true road games with Pitino, Smith, Drunky McGhee and Cal at the helm.

 

[TFCats11]

2-0

 

[YardCat]

If this was the Arkansas team playing for UK, they would drop both of these games. I expect this Team to represent UK very well with two great road wins!

 

[runt#69]

2 - 0

 

[UKBB4Ever]

Y’all go with Ken pompom fake numbers.


I’ll go with basketball play.

2-0!🏀

 

[LineSkiCat14]

If you're being honest, 1-1 is probably most likely. These are both gonna be Q1 games (high ones at that) and this team is still figuring things out and gelling.

We commit too many fouls and miss too many FTs to assume 2-0. Honestly I think 0-2 is more likely than 2-0.

 

[the dopester]

Nerd

...and a lovely nerd at that! Loved this post!

 

[Wildcats1st]

How can we go 40-0 if we don’t win both?

 

[Bluegrass79]

9-0
Without a doubt.
Pope knows the assignment

 

[kywildcat41035]

2-0.

Clemson can't score with us and we'll push tempo.

Gonzaga will want to run with us, but we do what they do, only better.

9-0 by the end of the week and #3 in the nation next Monday.

This exactly right here 2-0 and 9-0 by the time the next polls come out!

 

[wardlow]

Expecting 1-1, would be thrilled at 2-0. I can live with 0-2 if it’s two competitive games decided at the very end. I just don’t want to see any blowouts with us on the wrong end.

I’m also more worried about Clemson than Gonzaga even though Gonzaga is the better team. UK historically doesn’t do well in its first true road game. Since the 1993-94 season, the Cats are 13-17 in our first true road games with Pitino, Smith, Drunky McGhee and Cal at the helm.

I’m interested to see how much the collective experience helps. Didn’t a lot of Cal’s teams drop that game, albeit starting 4 freshman? Hard game to win.

 

[BigBlueFanGA]

Expecting 1-1, would be thrilled at 2-0. I can live with 0-2 if it’s two competitive games decided at the very end. I just don’t want to see any blowouts with us on the wrong end.

I’m also more worried about Clemson than Gonzaga even though Gonzaga is the better team. UK historically doesn’t do well in its first true road game. Since the 1993-94 season, the Cats are 13-17 in our first true road games with Pitino, Smith, Drunky McGhee and Cal at the helm.

History has zero to do with this years team.

 

[fredmanthecatfan]

I did the Steiner math, and based on that, we will go 5-0 in our next two games.
Holler if ya hear me!

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

If you're being honest, 1-1 is probably most likely. These are both gonna be Q1 games (high ones at that) and this team is still figuring things out and gelling.

We commit too many fouls and miss too many FTs to assume 2-0. Honestly I think 0-2 is more likely than 2-0.

UK has shot about 27 to 28% from three in its last two games. I don't think that slump continues. UK is due for a rise in solid shooting from three. If UK shoots close to its average, they beat Clemson by 6 to 8 points and they beat Gonzaga by 3 to 4 points.

 

[Catzman]

If Butler can control Nemrod, we win against Gonzaga. He leads the nation in assists, over 10.0 apg. He is the head-cut it off-and we win. 2-0 for the week, and as someone above said, # 3 in the next polls. And yes, I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express!

 

[MegaBlue05]

I’m interested to see how much the collective experience helps. Didn’t a lot of Cal’s teams drop that game, albeit starting 4 freshman? Hard game to win.

Cal was definitely our worst coach about that over that stretch, but there were a few others that surprised me.

Pitino lost his first true road game in 94 and 95.
Tubby lost his first true road game 99, 00, 01, 02, 05, 07. He got off easy in 2006. First road game was at Georgia State.
Clyde lost both.
Cal lost 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 21, 22 and 23

 

[LineSkiCat14]

UK has shot about 27 to 28% from three in its last two games. I don't think that slump continues. UK is due for a rise in solid shooting from three. If UK shoots close to its average, they beat Clemson by 6 to 8 points and they beat Gonzaga by 3 to 4 points.

We probably won't be that bad.. but these are still top25ish teams, so I don't expect UK to shoot at its average. Tough road environment, quality teams.. I'd be thrilled if we were within 5 percentage points of our averages.

 

[MegaBlue05]

History has zero to do with this years team.

That's true, but this team and future Pope teams are becoming a part of our history and carving out thier own era of UK basketball.

History shows this is a tough game and one we lose more often than not over the last 30 years and four coaches. I hope Coach Pope goes undefeated in every one of his first true road games.

 

[cat tat2]

2-0 I believe we have the coach, staff and players to do it.

 

[St.PatterSoN-54-]

We’re good enough, we’re smart enough, and dog-gone it, people like us!

2-0

 

[KY_First]

i know Gonzaga game is in Seattle, but come on it's a home game for them. So, we play two road games against good teams. Of the three possibilities 0-2, 2-0 and 1-1, which is the. most likely?

I'm going 1-1, with 0-2 close behind. I think it is very unilkely we go 2-0. Would LOVE to be wrong, but I think we will find out some of our weaker areas and that is a good thing in the end.

You gotta pick one lol. I’m going 2-0

 

[KENTUCKY_FLYER]

1-1

2-0










0-2