Here's my analysis of Roy Williams, and I've been saying it for years: His teams have underachieved, relative to their pre-season rankings, many times. Two times, his teams have proven as good as advertised, with ineligible players. Both of those times he had the best ineligible
point guard in college basketball, as well as multiple ineligible NBA caliber players who were juniors or seniors. That's the cheating formula he needs for ultimate success.
I don't think he has that formula this year -- even close, all players are attending classes. Paige isn't even playing PG, and is more of a 2G even if he wises up and moves him. And while he has a number of experienced players, their talent level is at the very good, not great level. I checked several NBA mock drafts, and most only rank one tarheel, Jackson, as a Top 20 pick.