Lunardi: UK the last three seed, need Arizona to lose
- Thread starter JFCats22
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We’ll be lucky to make the Sweet 16 either way unless Butler plays and plays well. We’re really in a bind at Point Guard and playing any kind of effective defense.
We are losing in the 1st weekend. We just lost by 30, and our PG won't be fully healthy in a week.
This team even at full strength was losing head scratching basketball games.
I hope Pooe can at least get his first NCAA win. I think we win the first and possibly 2nd NCAA game.
Certainly possible, but probably good to remember that Lunardi gets paid to keep people clicking. Pretending like every game causes up and down movement is a good way to do that.
What we’ve traditionally seen is that the bracket is largely locked by today. We may already be a 3 who is too difficult to move regardless of what other teams do this weekend.
What we’ve traditionally seen is that the bracket is largely locked by today. We may already be a 3 who is too difficult to move regardless of what other teams do this weekend.
We are a 4 seed probably deserve a 5 with injures and getting blasted. Won’t be shocked to see KY lose early. Guard play wins in March and we are outmanned in that department. Been a fun year with some huge wins, Pope and staff need to be watching the waiver wire and getting ready for next year
Great attitude. We’ve been a top 8 team in the country over the past month prior to last night. I’m also guessing you have no idea how healthy Butler will be.
Odds are we lose the first weekend, but that’s just math and will be true of every 3/4 seed going in. Unless we get worse news on Butler, we will have way more than a puncher’s chance at Sweet 16.
I saw your exchange with another poster last night that you deleted. Ever wonder why you bring out the worst in so many here? Its clearly by design. Not anything to be proud of at all.
Maybe you’ll man up and grow out of it?
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A reasonable Spring for UK fans:
1. Pope wins round one of the tournament
2. UK signs Nate Ament
3. UK locks up four high-level portal players
4. Oweh returns
That's reasonable. What won't be reasonable is watching UK go soft on portal offers again.
1. Pope wins round one of the tournament
2. UK signs Nate Ament
3. UK locks up four high-level portal players
4. Oweh returns
That's reasonable. What won't be reasonable is watching UK go soft on portal offers again.
Lunardi is an idiot. We're a 3 seed. All of the bracket matrix people are tweeting out their seeding lists this morning, and we're still the 1st or 2nd 3 seed. A 2nd round conference tournament loss isn't dropping us to a 4 seed.
We're not falling off the 3 line. Lunardi is one of the worst accuracy wise. The Bracket Matrix guys are Tweeting out their seed lines this morning. They have us as the 1st or 2nd 3.
Joey brackets is not the best at seeding. But losing by 29 and having your point guard’s availability in question are not ideal heading into selection Sunday.
I would leave Ament off that list.
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Lunardi doesn’t know. He thinks he does, but he is just like the rest of us, he is speculating. Only difference is he gets paid to try to guess what the committee is going to do, while we just do it for fun.
Remember, he works for ESPN. He wants Big Blue eyeballs on that Houston/Zona game.
Personally. I think we are firmly on the 3 line. 11 Q1 wins out of 21 Q1 games. Nobody else on that 3 seed line has that many Q1 wins or games.
But remember this, the committee has a lot of wiggle room and can justify doing whatever they want. If they feel it benefits the tourney to move UK to a 4, they can and say whatever they want. They can talk about injury uncertainty, they can talk about 11 losses. They can use a variety of things to do what they want. If the pieces don’t fit like they want them to, they shuffle things around to do as they will.
Nothing is guaranteed. They can move us a seed line down, just because they want to see us potentially play this team or that team.
Remember, he works for ESPN. He wants Big Blue eyeballs on that Houston/Zona game.
Personally. I think we are firmly on the 3 line. 11 Q1 wins out of 21 Q1 games. Nobody else on that 3 seed line has that many Q1 wins or games.
But remember this, the committee has a lot of wiggle room and can justify doing whatever they want. If they feel it benefits the tourney to move UK to a 4, they can and say whatever they want. They can talk about injury uncertainty, they can talk about 11 losses. They can use a variety of things to do what they want. If the pieces don’t fit like they want them to, they shuffle things around to do as they will.
Nothing is guaranteed. They can move us a seed line down, just because they want to see us potentially play this team or that team.
Everybody all week:
SEC Tournament isn't going to affect our seeding at all.
People on this board after a loss: We're definitely a 4, maybe a 5.
SEC Tournament isn't going to affect our seeding at all.
People on this board after a loss: We're definitely a 4, maybe a 5.
Arizona has similar number of Q1 wins as us, but Maryland and Wisconsin do not.
No one has the top end resume we do, which is why I think we’ll be a 3, unless the committee receives concrete news that Butler can’t go.
I don't care how anyone on here interprets my attitude. The bottom line is, we finished 6th in the SEC, we lost 11 games, and Bama beat us by 30. Was that mostly due to injuries? Probably. I'm not a fortune teller, so I can't say it with certainty. I'm not gonna bash anyone over how they choose to fan right now, unless they are completely over the top.
I'm only big on Ament because I think Pope needs the "can he recruit guys from outside the state" monkey off his back, but I also see the Rick Pitino rationale of recruiting only portal players.
Ament will cost UK a pretty penny. Some are saying as much as $2 million. There's probably 2 to 3 high level portal guys we can have for that price.
I’m not opposed to bringing him in. I just wouldn’t put that in the reasonable category. I don’t think it’s something we can totally control.
Puncher's chance? We'll be favored in both of our first two games regardless of Butler's status.
They lost to one of the 5 best teams in cbk without a starting backcourt. They can make the sweet 16
UK is a 3 and shouldn’t be in any danger of being a 4. Butler didn’t play last night, UK had less than a day of rest, starting Travis Perry against all-americans, and Nick Saban may as well have been the coach of Alabama last night. Team can still absolutely make the second weekend.
I said we would have much more than a puncher’s chance.
We could be 75% to win game one and 55% to win game two. That would give us a 41% chance to make the Sweet 16.
So while we probably won’t have a statistical expectation of making the Sweet 16, 41% (or thereabouts) is much more than a puncher’s chance.
That would be a tough matchup. BYU is really good.
I guess it was ok for Wisky to lose at home to Penn State only thing that matters is your last game
We very well may be. Lunardi isn’t always correct. But, it would be helpful if Arizona, Maryland and Wisconsin all lost
The biggest glaring weakness for Kentucky compared to all the teams vying for the 3/4 seed lines is quad 2 games
We only have 1 win in quad 2 while the others have 6,7,8 of them.
So what is better 11 quad 1 wins plus 1 quad 2 win
or
Maryland 8 quad 1 + 6 quad 2
Wisc 7 quad 1 + 10 quad 2
Iowa St 9 quad 1 + 7 quad 2
Texas A&M 7 quad 1 + 9 quad 2
Arizona 10 quad 1 + 4 quad 2
We only have 1 win in quad 2 while the others have 6,7,8 of them.
So what is better 11 quad 1 wins plus 1 quad 2 win
or
Maryland 8 quad 1 + 6 quad 2
Wisc 7 quad 1 + 10 quad 2
Iowa St 9 quad 1 + 7 quad 2
Texas A&M 7 quad 1 + 9 quad 2
Arizona 10 quad 1 + 4 quad 2
If we are 12th we go out West ? Is that good or bad ? Do we get Cleveland or Milwaukee for first 2 rounds or are they taken already ? We don't want to double down going West for 1st/2nd rounds.
Rather have a 4 seed in South or East or a 3 seed in the West ?
Rather have a 4 seed in South or East or a 3 seed in the West ?
BYU may very well lose a seedcline to accomodate their request to not play on Sunday. Has happened in year's past. The committe won't move them up to accomodate it.
So why do we have 2 different threads on the same thing ?
Anyway a guy who ranks 7th overall in bracket matrix that I follow has this update this morning for his
Kentucky is his #10 overall that feels right
SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Auburn (SEC)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Houston (Big 12)
1: Florida (SEC)
2: Alabama (SEC)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Michigan State (Big 10)
2: St. John’s (Big East)
3: Texas Tech (Big 12)
3: Kentucky (SEC)
3: Wisconsin (Big 10)
3: Maryland (Big 10)
4: Iowa State (Big 12)
4: Texas A&M (SEC)
4: Purdue (Big 10)
4: Arizona (Big 12)
Anyway a guy who ranks 7th overall in bracket matrix that I follow has this update this morning for his
Kentucky is his #10 overall that feels right
SEED: TEAM (CONFERENCE)
1: Auburn (SEC)
1: Duke (ACC)
1: Houston (Big 12)
1: Florida (SEC)
2: Alabama (SEC)
2: Tennessee (SEC)
2: Michigan State (Big 10)
2: St. John’s (Big East)
3: Texas Tech (Big 12)
3: Kentucky (SEC)
3: Wisconsin (Big 10)
3: Maryland (Big 10)
4: Iowa State (Big 12)
4: Texas A&M (SEC)
4: Purdue (Big 10)
4: Arizona (Big 12)
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