Knecht was slowed nicely in Lexington - likely will not happen in Knoxville - so he will likely get his unless we could somehow get him in foul trouble.
JJJ played above avg in Lexington - need him to be avg.
UT gets to play VERY physical defense, they cannot win without being VERY physical/fouling... that said we will have to match it and hope fouls are called evenly. I doubt even calling so we'd better score... need at least a 10 point differential to offset their physical play and home cooking calls.
The two players that most concern me are their facilitators, 8th year guard Vescovi - he can be great or quite avg... need that avg game to happen and lastly Zeigler who I think is the main concern. Not only can he score (and Cal defenses ALWAYS struggle against small fast guards) - but he's been killing it with assist numbers.
Their bigs are not skilled on offense - but can score close to the rim (assists/offensive tackles-rebounds). On defense they are just foul machines. If refs let it go - it will be tough to score around the rim.
Barnes, who plays that type of "defense", counts on refs not making all the calls - only the most egregious or convenient (ie: call a foul on the floor - not a shooting foul).
How do we win? - score a lot and at an efficient FG percentage. Hope one of our bigs is not injured in this one...