We have excellent guards, but there is no balance or spacing in our offensive game. The problem is poor play and low production from our baseline players. When you can't score on the low block, it puts too much burden on your guards and makes your team too predictable. Auburn doesn't exactly have a dominant baseline or a strong interior defense, so yesterday's loss underscores how weak our baseline game really is. In yesterday's loss, Kentucky took 72 shots from the floor, hitting 25 of those, less than 35%. You don't beat anyone shooting like that. Combined, our guards Ulis and Murray took 39 shots from the floor, which was 55% of all the shots taken by our entire team.
This is what happens when your bigs don't contribute. No balance, too predictable. Ulis and Murray sank 13 of their 39 shots, which is even a worse percentage than the team shot as a whole. This is the result of poor spacing and bad shot selection. Some of our fans scream for more Derek Willis. While it's true that Willis had his best game as a Wildcat yesterday, it wasn't exactly a dominant performance. 12 points, 12 rebounds. Previously, Willis' playing time was limited by poor rebounding and poor defense. Yesterday he had his best rebounding day as a Wildcat, but it came against a guard dominated team with a weak baseline. Although I saw improvement in Wills' defensive performance, he still commits big defensive gaffes.
A number of times, Auburn forwards put the fall on the floor and drove to the basket for unchallenged dunks and layups. Many of those plays happened because Willis was beaten by his man on the dribble, or because Willis did not give weakside help. Willis is not Jamal Mashburn. On the other hand, Calipari's baseline is failing, which is killing this team. If I was Calipari, I would increase playing time for Willis and Humphries, decrease playing time for Labissiere. I would tell Lee to improve as a scorer and free throw shooter, or else plan to sit more. I would get Humphries into games and design plays for him to score, and I would be patient while he shakes off rust. If playing Humphries means getting creative defensively, so be it.
This is not a great defensive team anyway. Maybe this team needs to switch up defenses and mix in some zones. Calipari doesn't like zone defenses, but he has used them before when necessary. Maybe it is necessary now for 10 or so defensive series a game, so Calipari can use other baseline players like Humphries and develop a scoring capability on the low block. A decision must be made for Wynyard. So far, Wynyard hasn't gotten into a game. That says he isn't ready. Maybe he isn't in shape, maybe he still doesn't know the assignments. If he is going to play, then get him ready ASAP and use him on the low block. But it's getting late. If Wynyard can't do it, then redshirt him. I would redshirt Wynyard unless he can beat out Humphries now in a fair competition.
And finally, I think Hawkins' injury has hurt a little bit on the margins. Hawkins isn't going to be a dominant player, but his game against Louisville actually contributed to an important win against a ranked team, therefore considerably more impactful than Willis' game in yesterday's ugly loss. Getting Hawkins back will help Kentucky defensively and in transition. This is an inexperienced 23-8 type of team that can improve and become more dangerous in March.
24 Blue Decade,
Today at 12:46 PM
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