If theiro is out then the rebounding issue becomes even more challenging for Kentucky. They need his hustle and ability to get 50/50 plays tomorrow
Kentucky opens -1 vs UF
- Thread starter Sejonesy
- Start date
Florida is going to try and run with us. Their pace of play is #23. We are currently #20.
Not a good idea IMHO.
Cracks me up too...Jones spent whole week talking about how Florida plays slow, etc.
Highly doubt we see a slow game from those guys. 170 is a high over but we shall see.
I'm guessing 88-77 Cats.
Not a good idea IMHO.
Cracks me up too...Jones spent whole week talking about how Florida plays slow, etc.
Highly doubt we see a slow game from those guys. 170 is a high over but we shall see.
I'm guessing 88-77 Cats.
Kentucky has defensive and rebounding issues. Florida has guards that shoot it really well and rebounding is a liability at the moment for UK, Florida is one of the best rebounding teams in the country. The matchup could be really difficult for UK especially if we’re roaming the perimeter defensively and leave Samuels to kill it with offensive rebounds.
I think Florida is one of the most, if not the most, under appreciated teams in the country today. They play smart too, so we better play for 40 minutes and Calipari better be focused on playing the right lineups at the right times or we’re going home with an L.
As usual, Cal will start his B-team which will likely have us playing from behind early in the game. Unnecessarily playing from behind early in games gives opponents confidence.
LOL . Ok.... I suspect this game might be over at the half as UF is a great match up for us. The teams that aren't in the league are Arky , USC and Miss St. I think we lose 2-3 SEC games in conference and would bet money 2 of the losses come from that batch with the 3rd coming from UT in Rupp. ( think we wax their azz to end the season in Hicktop ) .
I'll give you rebounding, but I don't know about their shooting or how smart they play.
They shoot 33.7% from 3. They only have two players at 40% or above...one is a starter and one only plays 8 min/gm.
They also turn the ball over 13.5 times/gm.
For comparison, we shoot 41.6% from 3 as a team. We have three players playing significant mins at over 40% (all three are shooting a higher % than UF's best shooter) with one at 56% (Reed) and a 4th guy just below at 38.1% (Tre).
We also turn the ball over significantly less at 9.4/gm.
Cats by 7.
That’s fair. Honestly I’m not going by statistics so they might not be a great shooting team on paper, but in the 2 games I’ve watched them play (good competition) they played very sound, seemed to hit needed shots, and rebounded extremely well. Since Kentucky always seems to gets opponents best nights, I think it’s safe to assume we will see them at their best, especially when shooting the ball given our defense.
We better show up and not post jinxing comments on the board for this one. It could be just enough to send us home with an L
wow, you guys are like wise guy big time bookie sports betters on here, hope nobody loose's the kids college tuition.
This game is completely unpredictable to bet so Florida -3.5 is a good coin toss. Vegas loves that coin toss.
Screw these little ungrateful shites. They can go to plumber trade school. Teach ‘em some responsibility!
I'm excited for this game. I want this team to win the SEC regular season so badly and this is the first step.
Florida is a great rebounding team. I believe they’re 1st in the country in offensive rebounds. Kentucky is not a great rebounding team. I believe that stat today could dictate the outcome of this game
Bet the house on Kentuxky +3.5.
Also on Kentucky +600 to win regular season SEC.
Early morning Parlay if you like money is Kentucky ML
Evansville -1.5
Marquette ML
UNC -3.5
13-1 on your money with that Parlay. Tempted to do UNC ML as well, brings the odds up to 16-1.
Lots of good lines for games today, should be a great day of college basketball.
Also on Kentucky +600 to win regular season SEC.
Early morning Parlay if you like money is Kentucky ML
Evansville -1.5
Marquette ML
UNC -3.5
13-1 on your money with that Parlay. Tempted to do UNC ML as well, brings the odds up to 16-1.
Lots of good lines for games today, should be a great day of college basketball.
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Florida is not great at the 3. And if their guards shoot it well, why would they have so many offensive rebounds? This usually means they miss a lot of shots.
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Over at half time? I think this game comes down to the final 4 min stretch. Florida is not good defensively, Kentucky should be able to score today, it comes down to if theiro plays and how much can Kentucky minimize Florida’s offensive rebounding
I think turnovers by UF and our three % will also dictate the outcome. UF has lost games or had very close wins where they blew out the other team in rebounding. They turn it over a ton and are usually pedestrian or below average in 3-pt %. If we run with them and play no defense, it'll end up like their Michigan or Baylor outcomes - high scoring, close game coming down to the wire.
This is what I’m thinking. Cats get behind a little early and I can take the Cats live betting with a better line maybe +6 or +7 at some point.
Screw them silly Gators. They can rebound our shots comin’ out of the net, motha truckas!
I dont get this line. Why is Auburn favored at Arkansas, which is equally difficult to play at?
Guess I don't get gambling. I Think Arkansas beats auburn.
Guess I don't get gambling. I Think Arkansas beats auburn.
A top 10 team moving from a 1 point fav on the road to an unranked team to a 3.5 point underdog means that huge amounts of money were being bet on UF and it's taken giving us the 3.5 to even out the betting.
Spread changes of this magnitude are rare and more often than not indicate a stinker of a game coming up for the initially favored team...either that or a key player we don't know about may not be available. Or it might just be that the big money bettors just think our freshmen dominated team won't handle their first true road test well. If you look at games where the line has moved like this over the years the road team isn't going to win more than one of three games.
So, to sum up, we are likely to receive a butt kicking today unless this team is much better or more mature than most fans are giving us credit for. When it comes to UK my optimism often borders on insanity so I'm going to predict the latter. My eyes have told me this is the most balanced team we've had on offense in Cal's tenure here and our defense IS going to get better.
Spread changes of this magnitude are rare and more often than not indicate a stinker of a game coming up for the initially favored team...either that or a key player we don't know about may not be available. Or it might just be that the big money bettors just think our freshmen dominated team won't handle their first true road test well. If you look at games where the line has moved like this over the years the road team isn't going to win more than one of three games.
So, to sum up, we are likely to receive a butt kicking today unless this team is much better or more mature than most fans are giving us credit for. When it comes to UK my optimism often borders on insanity so I'm going to predict the latter. My eyes have told me this is the most balanced team we've had on offense in Cal's tenure here and our defense IS going to get better.
What you said makes no sense if Kentucky be favored by 4 at home and Florida is favored by 3.5 at home then Kentucky be favored on a neutral court. Not the other way around. 4 > 3.5.
No one will credit Kentucky with an upset win today despite being 3.5 point dogs at the start of the game.
All people look at is the ranked number and they will say Kentucky was supposed to win but this couldn't be farther from the truth as you seen the money pour in on Florida.
All people look at is the ranked number and they will say Kentucky was supposed to win but this couldn't be farther from the truth as you seen the money pour in on Florida.
