As of yesterday, there were 5,794 cases in Daegu, South Korea. Of those, 2,304 required hospitalization.
So 40% of the people who caught it required serious medical treatment at a hospital. South Korea has been rapidly converting dorms and training facilities into makeshift hospitals to deal with all of the patients. There were about 2,000 who needed to go to the hospital last week but couldn’t because there was no room for them.
That sounds like the flu to you?
Sounds like fear and panic have taken over the world
I work in a school. Word is all schools are waiting to see what Fayette County schools do. If they close down, the rest of the state will follow. Could happen as early as Monday. Will probably know more by tomorrow.
I am a doctor. Face it folks. The genie is out of the bottle and it ain't goin' back in. EVERYONE, and I mean everyone, is going to get this bug. So, we need to just get over it. It might even be better to quit all the containment efforts, and just get on with it. Getting through this quickly or slowly is not going to make a dime's worth of difference in who dies and who doesn't.
There is even a legitimate argument that can be made, that it might be BETTER to just have everyone get infected all at once. This would create more quickly, what we call "herd immunity". The mortality rate would remain the same, but after the infection level of about 70% is reached, the remaining 30% would have a greater level of protection. This could in fact, LOWER the overall mortality rate.
I am a doctor. Face it folks. The genie is out of the bottle and it ain't goin' back in. EVERYONE, and I mean everyone, is going to get this bug. So, we need to just get over it. It might even be better to quit all the containment efforts, and just get on with it. Getting through this quickly or slowly is not going to make a dime's worth of difference in who dies and who doesn't.
There is even a legitimate argument that can be made, that it might be BETTER to just have everyone get infected all at once. This would create more quickly, what we call "herd immunity". The mortality rate would remain the same, but after the infection level of about 70% is reached, the remaining 30% would have a greater level of protection. This could in fact, LOWER the overall mortality rate.
I’ve been saying the same thing. Why the **** are malls, amusement parks, and office buildings still up and running?Why is everyone still working if we can’t have more than 50 people in a basketball arena at one time?
No, not everyone is going to get this!
We do not know how widespread it will get in the US , but not everyone will get this
When the weather warms up, there is a chance this slows down big time
I am all for taking major precautions, but to say everyone is going to get this is irresponsible
Maybe, maybe not.
But the number of people needing to be hospitalized is a simple fact. South Korea being forced to create makeshift hospitals is a simple fact.
And that sounds like the flu to you?
No, not at all:
YTd CV19 deaths in South Korea: 66
Yearly influenza deaths in South Korea:
(This only goes up to 2016, but you can see the yearly increase by going to the link)
2015-16 South korea influenza deaths: 15,485
So let's divide that by 1/4 for a similar CV19 timeline:
You would still have 3871 Influenza deaths to 66 CV19 South Korean deaths in a comparable YTD. And it's safe to assume that SK would have even more this year with a steady population growth
. https://www.jpmph.org/journal/view.php?number=2041
People keep sayings it's a matter of when not if they cancel this.
Why on earth would they continue to play these meaningless conference tournaments.
I think they are far off from calling it off completely.
2009 H1N1 - 61 million Americans contracted the virus, 265,000 hospitalized, 12,000 dead. I still can't understand why this reaction is so drastically different from that one (which I barely remember, to be honest).
I'm not the guy yelling this is all a conspiracy, you're all snowflakes, whatever. But the reaction to this is unprecedented.
I’ve been saying the same thing. Why the **** are malls, amusement parks, and office buildings still up and running?
It's an obvious and reasonable question. I think the answer is simple. The tournament and other sports venues are watched by hundreds of millions of people who will VISUALLY see huge empty quite stadiums. There is no living rooms watching a live feed of your work or shopping. So this isn't being done to slow down the spread. It's being done to create fear and apprehension in our minds. It's purely for propaganda purposes.
Deaths and hospitalizations are not the same thing. The number of deaths is irrelevant to my point.
Just found out we’re having a staff day tomorrow and closing down for the next month.I do as well. There's a meeting this morning that should be over by 11:30 central where I think our folks are going to make the call.
The general vibe in the building has been that tomorrow is probably it for us for a while at the rate this is going. I think some nearby schools have already hinted to their teachers to be ready for that, and we usually follow suit whether it's for snow or illness.
Then your point is well, pointless. Do you not think an influenza mortality rate nearly 59 times that of CV19 would have more hospitalizations? Now if your point is that CV19 is being hyped beyond reason and that is putting added pressures on our healthcare system, then I certainly agree with you there.
Because we don’t quarantine, isolate, and monitor for the flu.As of yesterday, there were 5,794 cases in Daegu, South Korea. Of those, 2,304 required hospitalization.
So 40% of the people who caught it required serious medical treatment at a hospital. South Korea has been rapidly converting dorms and training facilities into makeshift hospitals to deal with all of the patients. There were about 2,000 who needed to go to the hospital last week but couldn’t because there was no room for them.
That sounds like the flu to you?
I agree that sounds much worse but what is the criteria for “required hospitalization” it could be that if you were as bad as someone generally is with the flu then you would meet that criteria.I’ll bring this back to the point I was making using Daegu, South Korea as an example.
In Daegu, they have extensively tested the population and confirmed 5,794 cases of COVID-19. Of these, almost 40% required hospitalization (2,304).
If this were merely seasonal flu, then only ~70 of those 5,794 would’ve required hospitalization.
If the ramifications of that difference aren’t plainly obvious to you, then I’m afraid I can’t help you.
I’ll bring this back to the point I was making using Daegu, South Korea as an example.
In Daegu, they have extensively tested the population and confirmed 5,794 cases of COVID-19. Of these, almost 40% required hospitalization (2,304).
If this were merely seasonal flu, then only ~70 of those 5,794 would’ve required hospitalization.
If the ramifications of that difference aren’t plainly obvious to you, then I’m afraid I can’t help you.
Why do you believe that there are enough hospital beds and ICU beds to be able to manage this if everyone were to get quick all at once?
Exactly, in public education, it is those jobs that come first, not those children. Know that.Money.
I think local school districts are waiting for a state of emergency to be declared, so as to ensure that they can get funding before they call off.
Our local district has about 15 snow days baked into the calendar, and has only used 1.
It is anticipated that they will soon use a week or two of those, while also using the next few days to prep for "teleschool".
Just received an email from work, we are all to work remotely until the end of the month.Why is everyone still working if we can’t have more than 50 people in a basketball arena at one time?
Really?I hate to agree with this but it is true. It is smart to play the games without fans in the stands. Not playing them at all is an overreaction.This goes for all sports.
Maybe if public health officials all over the world are telling you something, you should listen.2009 H1N1 - 61 million Americans contracted the virus, 265,000 hospitalized, 12,000 dead. I still can't understand why this reaction is so drastically different from that one (which I barely remember, to be honest).
I'm not the guy yelling this is all a conspiracy, you're all snowflakes, whatever. But the reaction to this is unprecedented.
Because traveling around the country and closely interacting with other people is exactly how diseases spread.
If no one in Town A has it and all of them stay in town A, they are less likely to get it than if we take 30 people from Town A and fly them to towns B-G and then bring them home.
Dana White is probably thinking ufc 249 can't get here fast enough. potential ppv diamond minehow about the WWE says will continue to have Raw and Smackdown also expecting over 100,000 down to Tampa for Wrestlemania
how about the WWE says will continue to have Raw and Smackdown also expecting over 100,000 down to Tampa for Wrestlemania
Really?
So tomorrow let’s say that Cal who has been sick learns its covid19. The entire team has been exposed and required to quarantine. UK is essentially out of the tourney before it begins. Then we discover a player on another team is positive for the virus... Now they’re out. Your winner of the 2020 NCAA MBB championship is the last team to become infected and received 3 forfeits along the way. That’s what could happen.
Just found out we’re having a staff day tomorrow and closing down for the next month.