Probably identical, except MAYBE he doesn't go to the NIT in 2013. Perhaps he wins one more title, but I doubt he goes to to four Final Fours. Doing what Izzo does is totally different than what Cal does. People are quick to forget Cal's success at smaller schools when he didn't have a huge talent disparity.
Honestly, it is mind boggling to me how when Cal started this freshmen train at UK, all the critics were very skeptical as to whether playing mostly freshmen would result in success consistently, much less Final Fours and titles, because experience and maturity (both physical and mental) is so critical. Now that he has shown it can be done, some of the critics have flipped to criticizing for not winning every game and every title. Cal has gone to four Final Fours in six years. His overall tournament record during this stretch is unprecedented in the modern era. Sure, it would have been nice to capitalize on another title, but if you have been around this game long enough, you realize that titles take a ton ability AND luck. That is why even the best programs have so few.