Honestly don't like our chances with Barrett, Duke has always got the top wings and Oregon got the Canada pipeline. Duke is killing it right now, but I have confidence in cal.
The two reasons you listed are interesting to me. On one hand, historically Duke has had the best wings (read SF or PF), but UK loaded up on them this year, including a guy they took from Duke. And why would Oregon have a better pipeline to Canada than the school that has signed 3 Canadians in the last 4 years, all of which were top rated players from there?