Annoys me that they don't know that Harney took over as a weekend guy a year ago.
Cats vs Aggies (Thursday)
- Thread starter Big_Blue_1018
- Start date
Better than the crickets we seem to have in KPP with no alcohol and no student section.
Roszel has done a very good job with this staff. The most impressive part is that they throw a whole lot of strikes and don't walk many.
Fake bunt swing. I like it. He hit the first one on the ground, which he hasn't done as much as he should.
So was that double play ball. 2B didn't charge it and that might have been the difference.
Felt like when we didn't score in the top half that they'd probably get us in the bottom half.
Those hits to right didn't look well struck off the bat but they seemed to carry.
Those hits to right didn't look well struck off the bat but they seemed to carry.
Now we have to see if we have Williams or not tomorrow. If not... who goes? Cotto again? Move Logue to the weekend since he didnt go on Tuesday? Guilfoil? All staff? A lot of options, have to see.
A lot of options and none of them good, really. This was a pretty devastating loss because of the strain the extra innings put on the staff.
I unfortunately had to go to bed for work this morning. Thanks for the updates comebak. Tough loss. And a loss like this could start a bad trend. Let’s hope not.
I love it. Its obviously annoying to the away team but at least they’re into it. UK could learn a thing or two for Rupp and KPP.
Just went and looked at the box score. I shouldn’t have.
-Kentuckys 1-4 hitters were 3-20 with 10 strikeouts.
-UK struck out 15 times to just two walks and one HBP.
-UK was 3-23 with runners on base. 2-14 with runners in scoring position.
-Kentuckys batting average has dropped to .246 in conference play.
-ERA is 3.99 which is respectable but man gotta get the bats going.
-Kentuckys 1-4 hitters were 3-20 with 10 strikeouts.
-UK struck out 15 times to just two walks and one HBP.
-UK was 3-23 with runners on base. 2-14 with runners in scoring position.
-Kentuckys batting average has dropped to .246 in conference play.
-ERA is 3.99 which is respectable but man gotta get the bats going.
One of the 3 hits was by Estep and it was a bunt against the shift.
3.99 in league play with out schedule is really good and I'd think many might see that and then be confused by our overall record.
I went and looked at the stats for Florida in conference play. I know why they are 3-7. They have a team era of 8.07. And that includes Barco at 2.57. No one other than Barco has an era under 6. Brandon Sproat, the other weekend starter, has an era of 9.53.
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They have just 36 players on their total roster, compared to 39 for UK. Doesn't seem like a huge difference, but when you consider that UK has 6 guys that are redshirting or are injured and haven't played at all this year, that extra 3 makes a difference.
They are also extremely young. They have 21 freshmen or redshirt freshmen on their roster, and an additional 9 sophomores or redshirt sophomores. So, they have just 5 juniors and 1 grad transfer.
So, they are taking their lumps now. UK gets them at the end of the month in Gainesville. That group can grow up a whole lot between now and then.
So what you’re saying is they’re going to take lumps this year and be back to same ole Florida next year?? Great. 🙄🙄
We can still conceivably get there, but it won't be real easy. I never assume a sweep happens for us and I typically don't assume a sweep happens against us. They are pretty rare in a sense and most the time one team or the other will grab a game. So, looking at it once again...
TAMU - 2 games left, say we win 1. We could very conceivably still win this series. I think we have a much better chance if we have Williams tonight. Without him, I feel like our chances are slimmer to win the next two, but still not impossible. Even still, call it 1 win.
Record: 4-8
Mizzou - They will be in desperation mode when they play us at home. Very possibly coming into the weekend at 3-9. So, 2 wins against us would be necessary. This is a bit of a rivalry and is always wild. Still, I think we can get 2 here.
Record: 6-9
Vanderbilt - I am not sure what to think of Vandy right now. Lost 5 in a row in league play. I believe the last time we won a series against Vandy was 2017 and that is the lone time we've won a series against them since 2014. Maybe I change my mind on this as we see more of Vandy, but as of now, I just can't predict that we get two. So, I go with they win that series.
Record: 7-11
Florida - I think this is the hardest one to predict right now. Florida just isn't themselves and they look bad. However, going to Gainesville makes me worried. Still, I think I'll give us the benefit of the doubt and say we steal 2 here.
Record: 9-12
Tennessee - They are just too good. Won't predict any other sweeps but this one. There would have to be a lot of changes between now and the first weekend of May for me to believe that they won't sweep up.
Record: 9-15
If it goes down like this, we have to know that our margin for error is now extremely slim. To be 100 percent sure you're in the tournament you want to win 15 games. We have to go perfect to get to that. Highly unlikely. So, 14 becomes the goal here. I think most say that 14 gives you about an 80 percent lock. 13 wins gets you to maybe 50/50, if not below 50/50. So that means that to get to 14, at this point, we have to sweep USC or Auburn to get to 14. Again, pretty unlikely. Winning both series gets us to 13. 13 leaves you in a really precarious spot.
USC - I think we could steal 2, but USC on the road, with them also likely fighting for their post season lives is not going to be an easy task. I'll give us 2 wins here, but I don't feel real comfortable about it.
Record: 11-16
Auburn - They are playing pretty well right now. Lost a series to Ole Miss, possibly could have swept TAMU and then took the series against LSU. Again, don't feel real comfortable saying we win 2 here, but let's say we do, but we can for giggles.
Record: 13-17
Again... to get in you want 14 wins. So, UK would need to either make a run in the SEC tournament or they'd need to steal a win in another series. Possibly this one, or possibly win the Vandy series.
So... obviously it isn't impossible, but we have a very small window here.
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<After three weeks of conference play my take on the rest of the season really hasn’t changed much. My thoughts.
A&M: on the road but still think UK wins the series. 2/1
Mizzou: I’ll admit. Mizzou is scrappy. But UK should be better. UK wins 2/1
Vandy: which Vandy team shows up is the question. But I give the edge to Vandy. 1/2
Florida: UF is a mess. What will they look like coming into this series is anyones guess. I think UK wins this one. 2/1
Tennessee: can we skip this one. I think UT sweeps. 0/3
South Carolina: This one is tricky. And it depends on where both programs are at this point. I’ll give the edge to Kentucky. 2/1
Auburn: See above with South Carolina. But I think Auburn is better than I thought at the beginning of the year. But I also think Kentucky will be playing for their postseason dreams. UK wins 2/1.
That gives UK a 14-16 in conference play. Now we all know baseball is a fickle sport and anything can happen. Let’s just hope we’re not going into that Auburn series playing for it all.>
This was my post in another thread about my thoughts on the rest of the season. I’m still holding out hope. But, lose this series. All bets are off.
A&M: on the road but still think UK wins the series. 2/1
Mizzou: I’ll admit. Mizzou is scrappy. But UK should be better. UK wins 2/1
Vandy: which Vandy team shows up is the question. But I give the edge to Vandy. 1/2
Florida: UF is a mess. What will they look like coming into this series is anyones guess. I think UK wins this one. 2/1
Tennessee: can we skip this one. I think UT sweeps. 0/3
South Carolina: This one is tricky. And it depends on where both programs are at this point. I’ll give the edge to Kentucky. 2/1
Auburn: See above with South Carolina. But I think Auburn is better than I thought at the beginning of the year. But I also think Kentucky will be playing for their postseason dreams. UK wins 2/1.
That gives UK a 14-16 in conference play. Now we all know baseball is a fickle sport and anything can happen. Let’s just hope we’re not going into that Auburn series playing for it all.>
This was my post in another thread about my thoughts on the rest of the season. I’m still holding out hope. But, lose this series. All bets are off.
I don't think that is a bad take at all. Would take us winning 5 of the last 7 series. It can be done and would be pretty special. That would mean that UK will have won 6 series total. In 2017 we won 7. So, that kind of shows you how special it would be to win that many series. Also pretty wild that we could win 6 of 10 and still only have 14 wins. This league is tough.
Just a brutal loss. I was watching about half of it and then had to go out so thankfully i missed the second half of the game. Zero clutch hitting on this team.
You don’t even need to see the score after looking at those stats. You can’t win with that production, especially in the SEC.
Comebak I think Mizzou is ranked 21. I don’t recall which poll so they won’t be easy. No one in the SEC is easy. Analysis is excellent as usual.
RPI is #22 but they are not ranked. But 14 of their 18 wins are Q3 or Q4.
3-7 against the Q1. Got swept by Vandy and lost 2 of 3 to Arkansas. Then took 2 of three from RPI 46 South Carolina. Other Q1 loss is to 18th ranked Gonzaga.
They have a schedule ranked 30th overall and 142 in OOC. UK's, is ranked 42nd and 206th in OOC.
So, using those metrics we can compare some stats:
Missouri is hitting .294 as a team overall, but just .243 in league play.
Kentucky is hitting .294 as a team overall, but just .246 in league play.
Missouri has a team ERA of 4.74 overall, but it balloons to 6.12 in SEC.
Kentucky has a team ERA of 5.03 overall, but it drops to 3.99 in SEC.
In league play:
Missouri has given up 60 runs, 53 earned on just 74 hits. Maybe a part of that being off of home runs as they have given up 14 compared to UK giving up 10. Either way, they allow opponents to be much more efficient.
UK, by contrast, as given up 83 hits, but they have given up just 52 runs, and 39 earned. A key here for UK is that they have racked up strikeouts with 109 while Missouri has just 78. So, I think UK has done a better job pitching themselves out of trouble innings.
Opponents hit .252 against Missouri and .247 against UK.
So, these numbers really don't feel all that far apart in many ways despite the fact that Missouri has a much higher SEC ERA.
You know we keep talking about UKs conference record to get into the tournament but let’s look at their outta conference slate. Outside of UofL, there’s not another game on the schedule they can use to build up their resume. Now, UK does have the series win over TCU but that to me is the most impressive series so far this year and without a doubt the best out of conference wins they have. I’m afraid if UK is setting at 13-17 in conference play there’s not much else to build a tournament resume on.
I think the OOC does more bad than good. If you get 13 league wins and that's it then there isn't much to help you. Rather it's more likely that the several Q4 losses hurt you. So, to me... you just have to take care of business and get to 14.
Ahhh. Who am I kidding. UK is going to win 20 in a row and go to Omaha. 🥴🥴🥴🥴
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