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Brief analysis of NET rankings and human polls

JonathanW

All-American
Jan 3, 2003
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Currently UK is behind both Kansas and Purdue in both the NET and the voter polls.
NET:
8 KU (5 losses)
9 Purdue (5 losses)
10 Illinois (6 losses)
11 Gonzaga (6 losses)
12 UK (5 losses)

polls:
10 Purdue
11 Kansas
12 UK
...
18 & 20 Illinois
27 & 32 Gonzaga

So why is this? I think it's pretty evident the unbiased NET weights too much the efficiency metrics. As for the polls, where there is clear potential for bias, I have no other answer than bias.

Comparison.
Lets look at how UK, KU & Purdue have performed (W's & L's). None of them have any "bad" losses. So that leaves "good" wins, and "understandable" losses.
First lets look at "good wins", listed in order for each team from best down.
UKPurdueKansas
A 4 UTN 4 AlabamaN 3 Duke
N 3 DukeA 19 MarylandN 17 Mich St
N 11 GonzagaA 27 OregonA 51 Cincy
H 5 FloridaN 21 Ole MissN 42 UNC
A 22 Miss StH 20 MichiganA 62 UCF
H 16 TAMUH 48 NorthwesternH 58 Ariz St
H 25 ULH 62 UCF
UK has the best #1 win (since UT was Away & not Neutral),
UK & Purdue have comparable #2 & #3 wins,
and UK easily has the best wins #4, 5, 6, & 7.

Next lets look at losses, listed from best to worst:
UKPurdueKansas
H 7 AlabamaN 1 AuburnA 6 Iowa St
A 30 ClemsonA 15 MarquetteH 2 Houston
A 35 UGAN 16 TAMUA 26 Missouri
A 38 VandyH 28 Ohio StA 39 Creighton
N 28 Ohio StA 50 Penn StH 41 WV
The #1 loss is comparable for all 3 schools,
UK has the worst #2 loss,
& the #3, 4 & 5 losses are comparable for all 3 schools.
 
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