Aike’s Model Update - 01/16/25

[Aike]

We’re up a tick after topping ATM.

1. Auburn 4.82
2. Duke 3.44
3. Tennessee 3.23
4. Houston 3.11
5. Iowa St 3.08
6. Kansas 2.92
7. Michigan 2.88
8. UConn 2.74
9. Arizona 2.60
10. Gonzaga 2.58
11. Kentucky 2.52
12. Texas Tech 2.39
13. Mississippi St 2.38
14. Alabama 2.34
15. Florida 2.29
16. Mississippi 2.23
17. Marquette 2.16
18. Purdue 2.14
19. Maryland 2.05
20. Michigan St 1.96
21. St. John’s 1.82
22. Illinois 1.80
23. Oregon 1.76
24. Missouri 1.73
25. Georgia 1.72
27. Vanderbilt 1.61
28. Ohio St 1.59
30. Clemson 1.58
31. Arkansas 1.51
34. BYU 1.46
37. Louisville 1.35
38. Texas 1.34
39. Texas A&M 1.31
42. N Carolina 1.26
43. Oklahoma 1.21
59. LSU 0.85
68. Indiana 0.66
93. S Carolina 0.36

 

[SemperFiCat]

Michigan?? Are they playing well this year? Boy, I bet that's salt in IU's giant, gaping, bloody wound. Lol.

 

[yabbadabbadoo]

We’d never beat Duke if we squared off
They’re .92 better than us

 

[Aike]

Michigan?? Are they playing well this year? Boy, I bet that's salt in IU's giant, gaping, bloody wound. Lol.

They are under the radar

 

[BlueWorldOrder74]

I really like Michigan. They’re good.

 

[UKwootwoot]

The difference between #1 Auburn and #2 Duke is about the same as #2 Duke and #19 Maryland…. I get that they’re talented and deep, but is there some weird metrics calculation that skyrockets them compared to everyone else?

 

[Aike]

The difference between #1 Auburn and #2 Duke is about the same as #2 Duke and #19 Maryland…. I get that they’re talented and deep, but is there some weird metrics calculation that skyrockets them compared to everyone else?

If you don’t come ready to play they will beat the brakes off of you. That’s about it.

They’ve shown that they are gettable. Just better come ready.

 

[Aike]

For the record, these numbers are saying that Auburn should be a 3 point favorite over Duke on a neutral court.

 

[UKwootwoot]

For the record, these numbers are saying that Auburn should be a 3 point favorite over Duke on a neutral court.

As someone that doesn’t understand this model at all, are you able to explain that a bit with the numbers presented?

 

[CatOfDaVille]

If you don’t come ready to play they will beat the brakes off of you. That’s about it.

They’ve shown that they are gettable. Just better come ready.

Auburn is tough AF. This might be the team that gets Pearl his championship if they can get Broome back healthy and playing like he was.

I'm very happy with Pope, but Pearl would have absolutely killed it here.

 

[CatEye2010]

I really like Michigan. They’re good.

They just lost at Minny in OT. 9/9 Minny.

 

[MachineHead1]

They just lost at Minny in OT. 9/9 Minny.

Road games are weird.

 

[ralphdaltonfan]

Michigan has talent upfront. They have Wolf/Goldin but aside from them-they have stretches where Roddy Gayle looks to be point shaving and Tre Donaldson will throw the ball into the 5th row. Just crazy empty possessions filled with turnovers. They also are a bad defensive team aside from Goldin blocking some shots. Every Michigan game falls into a pattern-they get a double digit lead looking unbeatable and as if they will win by 30--then they throw the ball away, guys take "get mine" shots and ignore Wolf having the ball--blow the lead--trail--and scramble to regain the lead playing through Wolf and in Big Ten play hold on for a margin that shouldn't have been as close as possible. They are a team you should never gamble on if you do partake in that activity. LOL

Losing to Arkansas at MSG was awful. This loss tonight is unspeakable. Minnesota is a rotting corpse. They are drawing less people than a Calipari fan club meeting in Lexington. It's brutal. Ben Johnson is likely to be fired. Tonight was his first win in his tenure over a ranked team. Big Ten is a 5 bid league that will get 6 and their conference will talk as if they get 11/12 teams in NCAA.