Aike’s Model - 2/12/25 Update

[Aike]

Cats back above 2.0, which I consider “contender” status.

1. Auburn 4.42
2. Duke 3.30
3. Tennessee 3.25
4. Houston 2.94
5. Arizona 2.69
6. Florida 2.64
7. Gonzaga 2.62
8. Iowa St 2.59
9. Alabama 2.43
10. Kansas 2.333
11. Texas Tech 2.331
12. Purdue 2.328
13. Connecticut 2.25
14. Michigan 2.15
15. Mississippi 2.04
16. Mississippi St 2.01
17. Kentucky 2.00
18. Maryland 1.98
19. St John’s 1.95
20. Missouri 1.93
21. UCLA 1.87
22. Clemson 1.84
23. Marquette 1.82
24. Michigan St 1.68
25. Georgia 1.58
26. Arkansas 1.56
28. BYU 1.52
30. Vanderbilt 1.50
31. Louisville 1.45
32. Texas A&M 1.43
34. Ohio St 1.42
39. Oklahoma 1.34
44. Texas 1.25
49. N Carolina 1.06
59. Indiana 0.81
70. LSU 0.66
88. S Carolina 0.44

 

[TheDude73]

Got to 7 and then I quit.

 

[Montana81]

“Well your model is stupid because we beat duke and florida and tennessee and gonzaga and it still says all those teams that we beat are better than us”

*smile*

 

[Aike]

“Well your model is stupid because we beat duke and florida and tennessee and gonzaga and it still says all those teams that we beat are better than us”

*smile*

Every time

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Clemson, Arkansas, and Ohio State all look like somewhat respectable losses now, especially given how banged up Kentucky was when they played them.

 

[TheDude73]

“Well your model is stupid because we beat duke and florida and tennessee and gonzaga and it still says all those teams that we beat are better than us”

*smile*

I don't think his model is stupid at all. I just see Gonzaga up there and still laugh. Somehow they've managed to design a schedule that exploits these models in their favor.

 

[Aike]

I don't think his model is stupid at all. I just see Gonzaga up there and still laugh. Somehow they've managed to design a schedule that exploits these models in their favor.

They’ve lost 4 games in regulation by a combined 17 points, and they’ve lost 3 games in overtime.

Maybe they aren’t quite as good as the model thinks, but I’d say they’ve also been a bit unlucky.

 

[Cold Stout Beer]

 

[$Z71$]

Anyone else feel like this years Team is a lot like UCONN 2022-2023. They were 19-7 and then only loss after in conference tournament. Not saying our results will be the same but I do see the similarities in performance to this point.

 

[Aike]

Anyone else feel like this years Team is a lot like UCONN 2022-2023. They were 19-7 and then only loss after in conference tournament. Not saying our results will be the same but I do see the similarities in performance to this point.

Not a bad thought. I think the overall field is better this year though. Hope we heal up.