.Since we are playing fact checker.
Virginia
Villanova
UNC
Duke
UCONN
Louisville
Kentucky
Kansas
Florida
Syracuse
Maryland
Michigan State
Arizona
UCLA
Arkansas
I guess that is the ten. That is since 1994.
UK is 1 and 4 against Power 5 since 2016. One of those teams won a title.
UCONN built their team in the Big East.
If you don’t want to count UConn for whatever reason that’s on you. They weren’t in the power 5 or big East. When dealing with objective facts you don’t get to cherry pick the stats that make your argument look good, sorry.
10 of those programs you listed have won the championship more than once. In the last 40 years 12 teams have won their first championship ever. This indicates that the majority of the time it’s established programs that win it. Most of those 12 have become established programs as well.
Do you really think a team like Minnesota is more likely to win a championship than any other program outside of the power 5 and Big East? If Cal had gone 4-1 against P5 instead but the wins were against Oregon State, Iowa, Minnesota, and Rutgers would that ease your worries?
UNC and Indiana are part of those four losses, and both were the better team. The vast majority of the time Cal beats the teams he’s supposed to beat, and his record tapers off a bit against better teams. Is that supposed to be surprising statistic?
At the very least, data strongly suggests that Cal outperforms expectations in March.
http://barttorvik.com/cgi-bin/ncaat.cgi?type=coach&sort=1&yrlow=2000&yrhigh=2018
The argument you keep making is that Cal struggles against the power-5 and Big East, when in reality Cal lost to two teams that he probably should have beaten, and lost to two teams he probably shouldn’t have beaten. Doesn’t sound so dramatic saying it like that though, does it?