Let's Talk SEC-Tournament Seeding (In-Depth Breakdown)
- Thread starter Tampa_cat54
- Start date
Something to watch for- if we find a way to screw up and lose 2 games down the stretch, it opens the door for a team like Mizzou to catch us.
They are now 8-7 with games left against:
Ole Miss
@UGA
@LSU
They should finish 11-7 also.
Arkansas and Florida also have 7 losses, but Arkansas still plays @Bama and @TN, so I don't foresee them winning out.
Mizzou is probably the only team in a position to stand pat at 7 losses, and they have the tiebreaker on us.
But if we lose 2 of our last 4, we don't deserve the double bye.
They are now 8-7 with games left against:
Ole Miss
@UGA
@LSU
They should finish 11-7 also.
Arkansas and Florida also have 7 losses, but Arkansas still plays @Bama and @TN, so I don't foresee them winning out.
Mizzou is probably the only team in a position to stand pat at 7 losses, and they have the tiebreaker on us.
But if we lose 2 of our last 4, we don't deserve the double bye.
Down goes Tennessee and up goes Mizzou!
Updates!
Current Top-2, locked into the Double-Bye:
#1 Alabama (13-1)
#2 Texas A&M (13-2)
TEAMS THAT CURRENTLY HAVE A SHOT TO LAND IN THE TOP 4 AND GET THE DOUBLE-BYE:
#3 Kentucky (9-5)
#4 Tennessee (9-6)
#5 Vandy (8-6)
#6 Auburn (8-6)
#7 Arkansas (8-7)
#8 Mizzou (8-7)
Remaining Schedules and My Predictions
#3 Kentucky (9-5)
@ Florida (W)
vs. Auburn (W)
vs. Vandy (W)
@ Arkansas (L)
#4 Tennessee (9-6)
@ Texas A&M (L)
vs. South Carolina (W)
vs. Arkansas (W)
@ Auburn (L)
#5 Vandy (8-6)
@ LSU (W)
vs. Florida (W)
@ Kentucky (L)
vs. Mississippi State (W)
#6 Auburn (8-6)
vs. Ole Miss (W)
@ Kentucky (L)
@ Alabama (L)
vs. Tennessee (W)
#7 Arkansas (8-7)
vs. Georgia (W)
@ Alabama (L)
@ Tennessee (L)
vs. Kentucky (W)
#8 Missouri (8-7)
@ UGA (W)
vs. LSU (W)
vs. Ole Miss (W)
With the latest updates and if these predictions would be correct, this would be the final standings.
FINAL PROJECTED STANDINGS:
#1 Alabama (16-2)
#2 Texas A&M (15-3)
#3 Kentucky (12-6)
#4 Missouri (11-7) (holds tie break over TN and Vandy)
#5 Tennessee (11-7) (Holds tiebreak over Vandy)
#6 Vandy (11-7) (Loses tiebreak scenarios)
#7 Auburn (10-8)
#8 Arkansas (9-9)
So we would be looking at Vandy in the quarters and Texas A&M in the semis.
Sign me up!!
Thanks for the breakdown. I had a similar thing written up. A&M did us a huge favor in beating Tennessee. We just have to win our next 3, but we have some breathing room. The Auburn game is big. If we lose that one and @ARK, we could get passed by both Missouri and Auburn as they would have the tie-breaker on us. How crazy would it be if 5 teams finish 11-7?
More Updates!
Really hope this is helping people, or maybe I'll just let the thread die, but I like keeping up with this stuff!
Vandy goes down!! Big upset to LSU.
Current Top-2, locked into the Double-Bye:
#1 Alabama (13-1)
#2 Texas A&M (13-2)
TEAMS THAT CURRENTLY HAVE A SHOT TO LAND IN THE TOP 4 AND GET THE DOUBLE-BYE:
#3 Kentucky (10-5) (essentially a 2 game lead over TN with the tie break advantage)
#4 Tennessee (9-6) (Holds tie break over AUB)
#5 Auburn (9-6)
#6 Mizzou (8-7) 1-1 (Holds tie breaker over Arkansas/Vandy head-to-head)
#7 Vandy (8-7) (Loses tie breaker to Mizzou, holds it over Arkansas)
#8 Arkansas (8-7) (Loses tie breaker to Mizzou and Vandy)
Remaining Schedules and My Predictions
#3 Kentucky (10-5)
vs. Auburn (W)
vs. Vandy (W)
@ Arkansas (L)
#4 Tennessee (9-6)
vs. South Carolina (W)
vs. Arkansas (W)
@ Auburn (L)
#5 Auburn (9-6)
@ Kentucky (L)
@ Alabama (L)
vs. Tennessee (W)
#6 Missouri (8-7)
@ UGA (W)
vs. LSU (W)
vs. Ole Miss (W)
#7 Vandy (8-7)
vs. Florida (W)
@ Kentucky (L)
vs. Mississippi State (W)
#8 Arkansas (8-7)
@ Alabama (L)
@ Tennessee (L)
vs. Kentucky (W)
With the latest updates and if these predictions would be correct, this would be the final standings.
FINAL PROJECTED STANDINGS:
#1 Alabama (16-2)
#2 Texas A&M (15-3)
#3 Kentucky (12-6)
#4 Missouri (11-7) (holds tie break over TN)
#5 Tennessee (11-7)
#6 Vandy (10-8) (Holds tie break over AUB)
#7 Auburn (10-8)
#8 Arkansas (9-9)
Kentucky would be looking now at Vandy in the quarterfinals, and with a win, would play Texas A&M still.
#1 seed Alabama would be looking at a quarterfinal matchup with suddenly healthy Arkansas.
Another big night tonight in the SEC!!
Really hope this is helping people, or maybe I'll just let the thread die, but I like keeping up with this stuff!
Vandy goes down!! Big upset to LSU.
Current Top-2, locked into the Double-Bye:
#1 Alabama (13-1)
#2 Texas A&M (13-2)
TEAMS THAT CURRENTLY HAVE A SHOT TO LAND IN THE TOP 4 AND GET THE DOUBLE-BYE:
#3 Kentucky (10-5) (essentially a 2 game lead over TN with the tie break advantage)
#4 Tennessee (9-6) (Holds tie break over AUB)
#5 Auburn (9-6)
#6 Mizzou (8-7) 1-1 (Holds tie breaker over Arkansas/Vandy head-to-head)
#7 Vandy (8-7) (Loses tie breaker to Mizzou, holds it over Arkansas)
#8 Arkansas (8-7) (Loses tie breaker to Mizzou and Vandy)
Remaining Schedules and My Predictions
#3 Kentucky (10-5)
vs. Auburn (W)
vs. Vandy (W)
@ Arkansas (L)
#4 Tennessee (9-6)
vs. South Carolina (W)
vs. Arkansas (W)
@ Auburn (L)
#5 Auburn (9-6)
@ Kentucky (L)
@ Alabama (L)
vs. Tennessee (W)
#6 Missouri (8-7)
@ UGA (W)
vs. LSU (W)
vs. Ole Miss (W)
#7 Vandy (8-7)
vs. Florida (W)
@ Kentucky (L)
vs. Mississippi State (W)
#8 Arkansas (8-7)
@ Alabama (L)
@ Tennessee (L)
vs. Kentucky (W)
With the latest updates and if these predictions would be correct, this would be the final standings.
FINAL PROJECTED STANDINGS:
#1 Alabama (16-2)
#2 Texas A&M (15-3)
#3 Kentucky (12-6)
#4 Missouri (11-7) (holds tie break over TN)
#5 Tennessee (11-7)
#6 Vandy (10-8) (Holds tie break over AUB)
#7 Auburn (10-8)
#8 Arkansas (9-9)
Kentucky would be looking now at Vandy in the quarterfinals, and with a win, would play Texas A&M still.
#1 seed Alabama would be looking at a quarterfinal matchup with suddenly healthy Arkansas.
Another big night tonight in the SEC!!
I have to pat myself on the back and say this was NEARLY spot on- just missed Arkansas dropping 1 extra game (to UK as it turns out) and bumping down to the 10 seed.
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