It says UK - signed and then underneath, the crystal ball has Oregon 75% and UK 25%. Lol, I guess we shouldn't put so much stock in what those guys say anymore.
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That's the absolute truth. Most people on here, myself included, had resigned themselves to the fact that Murray was going to Oregon. Except that he didn't. All of that was based on these "experts" who had no direct knowledge from either the player, family, or the schools. They all made guesses and followed the guess right before theirs.It's funny because the picks are like sheep.They know nothing but follow along because the majority says a certain school.
If a social scientist did a post-mortem on the Jamal Murray recruitment, it'd lead to a fascinating paper.
Most of us were fairly comfortable he was coming to Kentucky until roughly last Sunday, in part based on a Dave Kersey post. I was off the board for just one day, roughly, and when I came back, there was virtual complete acceptance that he was going to Oregon. When I tried to unravel why, it appeared that all the angst -- and the basis for national experts to change their predictions -- was a days old tweet linked to an Oregon player, who common sense would suggest couldn't know anything (Murray and his family weren't going to blurt out the decision to random players.) That totally baseless piece of information turned everything inside out -- even for those of us who felt it was spurious. It was just too difficult to swim against the perceptual tide for many.
Just before Murray committed to Kentucky earlier this week, there was a long column of Crystal Ball predictions saying he would pick Oregon. This has been a very bad year for the credibility of the Crystal Ball. The guys making those predictions don't know anymore than you or me. I can't believe anyone with sense takes it seriously anymore.It says UK - signed and then underneath, the crystal ball has Oregon 75% and UK 25%. Lol, I guess we shouldn't put so much stock in what those guys say anymore.
True. I had allowed the tweet and people on message boards to sway me to believe that he was going to Oregon. But the fact that he started following, I forget, 4...5 Kentucky players, and no one from Oregon was in the back of my head making me wonder.I knew Murray was coming here when he extended his trip to 4 days.
Never believe what someone says, but watch the behavior. The behavior tells everything.
True. I had allowed the tweet and people on message boards to sway me to believe that he was going to Oregon. But the fact that he started following, I forget, 4...5 Kentucky players, and no one from Oregon was in the back of my head making me wonder.
Jerry Meyer seemed so positive he was going to Oregon. That shows you how much he knows.
Is there anywhere on their site where it tells their percentage correct for a recruiting period?
I have looked over it a little, but haven't done enough digging to see that.
Of course, it's skewed a little bit, Meyer is notorious for changing it at the last minute after its leaked
I kept trying to point this out - that some random kid on the Oregon roster saying "welcome Jamal" was no different than what lots of kids said in many other recruitment, and was more likely wishful thinking than insider knowledge, but that the complete lack of info in this recruitment caused everyone to fixate on it.all the angst -- and the basis for national experts to change their predictions -- was a days old tweet linked to an Oregon player, who common sense would suggest couldn't know anything (Murray and his family weren't going to blurt out the decision to random players.) That totally baseless piece of information turned everything inside out -- even for those of us who felt it was spurious.