What Kentucky needs out of their final five games of the season

[LockedonUk]

Just some thoughts about the remainder of the schedule:

No. 39 in NET

2-7 vs Quad 1 opponents

Vs Tennessee (Quad 1)
At Florida (Quad 1)
Vs Auburn (Quad 1 right now - Auburn is No. 27 in the NET)
Vs Vanderbilt (Quad 3)
At Arkansas (Quad 1)

HOW NET RANKINGS WORK:

Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75

Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135

Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240

Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353

---

• Quad 1 win vs Mississippi State

Already got that.

17-9, 8-5 SEC

• They need to beat Tennessee OR Florida. Can’t go 0-2

Best case is that you’re 4-7 vs Quad 1 heading into Auburn game
19-9, 10-5 SEC

You could be 3-8 vs Quad 1
18-10, 9-6 SEC

Also need to have at least one more SEC win before the Auburn game

• Needs Auburn to not screw up vs Vanderbilt or Ole Miss

This would guarantee that the Tigers are a Quad 1 game for UK

• Kentucky needs to beat Auburn for two reasons

Auburn will likely be 10-5 in SEC play heading in, UK will either be 10-5, 9-6, or 8-7.

NCAA Tournament and SEC Tournament

Best case scenario UK is 5-7 vs Quad 1
20-9, 11-5 SEC (Will have all but clinched double-bye in SEC Tournament but will face Alabama unless Texas A&M falls off a cliff)

Could be 4-8 vs Quad 1
19-10, 10-6 SEC (Will need Auburn to lose last two games vs Alabama and Tennessee)

Only 22 teams have 5+ Quad 1 wins, at that point UK would be almost a lock as an at-large

• Kentucky needs to not screw up vs Vanderbilt

Because that would suck.

• They can lose to Arkansas

Because at this point if you split 2-2 you could get one SEC tournament win vs a potential Quad 1 at a neutral site and then get your five Q1s. Who knows, they may need to beat Arkansas depending on how things shake out.

BEST CASE SCENARIO

21-10, 12-6 SEC (5-8 vs Quad 1)

WORST CASE SCENARIO

17-14, 8-10 SEC (2-11 vs Quad 1)

 

[Catfan in Tn.]

Just win.

 

[Emarc]

Win.

 

[know1]

If anyone had told us before the season that our best case finish was 21-10 and looking at something likely no better than a 7 seed, there would have been a complete mutiny. Not that there hasn't been. It's really sad to face the realization that this is the "best" we can do.

 

[Ck8185]

Also if the A&M Net moves up one spot, that would add another Q1.