Some thoughts a month out:
1. This team has back court scorers. But if that was decisive Indiana would be a contender. Kentucky also has good passers and 'presence' in Ulis and Murray, two guys who are just intuitive basketball ninjas.
2. This team may never be a defensive juggernaut. Cal's best teams win with defense. This team has challenges to be a top defensive unit, and I think Cal knows it -- hence the heretical talk of playing zone. Ulis can do lots on defense, but he can't stop his man from shooting and passing over him or taking him into the lane. Skal so far doesn't seem to have the defensive instincts of Nerlens, nevermind AD. Murray is tough but lacks lateral quickness on defense. Poythress isn't himself and may not be.
3. It is best to recalibrate expectations subtracting a beast-mode Poythress. EVen if he gets to 100 percent physically, I worry that he'll have the mental toughness to vanquish his doubts and fears. Lee looked better offensively last night. But his defense, and Matthews', may be critical.
4. It's going to take a lot of patience with this team. It'll show flashes of offensive brilliance from the start, but we'll look up and Albany or some other mid major will have scored 78 points and be hanging around with four minutes to go.
5. For me it is too soon to say this is a Final Four team. I have hopes. And I could make the case, easily. But I think Cal was absolutely right that at season's open teams like UNC, Kansas and Maryland and maybe a few more will be playing better.