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Sunday Mashup- 3/1/15 Special W/L Prediction Edition pt. 2

JPFisher

Senior
Jul 24, 2013
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As mentioned last week in my mashup, I predicted that UK hits back to start the season out at 5-0. Now, a lot of you said we shouldn't count any of the starting SEC games as wins because we haven't had luck against Mizzou, the Florida streak, S.Car is now an away game. Yeah, that's nice.

NEXT OPPONENT: AUBURN- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 5-0 To start us out of the bye we have Auburn. A Thursday night game which I am no fan of, but we will see if a little change-of-pace can work some magic for the Cats. Auburn went 8-5 overall and 4-4 in the SEC. The Tigers absolutely decimated LSU and won a good game against Ole Miss in 2014 along with hard losses to Georgia and Miss. St. The Tigers shouldn't lose much steam from last season and that means that they'll likely have their running attack again. This doesn't bode well for 2014 Kentucky, but I suspect that the booster shot of linebacker recruits will help our 2015 team greatly. The losses of Bud and Z will be felt in this game, but I think Dubose, Huguenin, Hatcher, and Bell will be adequate replacements for this first year. UK wins a close one at home. We all saw how much we improved after our byes last year, and I feel as though this one is no different. Bring back the black and chrome and the fans will do their part. The Wildcats regain bowl eligibility for the first time in years.

*****This is where it starts to get dicey. At this point of the season we are likely to have multiple big injuries to guys in the 2-deep and I expect we will start to see our depth tested. Our very young depth. (Stoops's oldest recruits are true Juniors).

NEXT OPPONENT: MISSISSIPPI STATE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-0 The next game is at Mississippi State. The Cats travel to Starkville for a rematch of the 2014 two-touchdown loss. I will not mention record or major wins/losses because the team will be so radically different this year. That being said, I do not see them succumbing at home to a young Wildcats team. UK loses its first- and a close one.

NEXT OPPONENT: TENNESSEE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-1 Next up for the Cats are the Volunteers of Tennessee. In 2014, the Vols went 7-5 overall and 3-5 in the SEC. This is another home game and the earliest matchup of these two teams in the modern era. Home game for UK along with being a trap game for a Tennessee team coming off an away game at Bama.This plays favorably for UK, but the weakness in our depth starts to push through (This is not a slight on Stoops. There is no way we can expect reasonable SEC depth this soon. Again, the majority of the SEC is playing with mostly redshirted Juniors and Seniors whereas we're playing with true Juniors as Stoops's oldest pupils). Stoops has the team fired up and out for revenge but will it be enough? I'm not sure UK can pull it out so I'll call this a push leaning ever so slightly on a Tennessee victory.

NEXT OPPONENT: GEORGIA- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-2 Lack of depth or not, we had no pride while our asses were getting handed to us on limestone-fed fields. UGA went 10-2 overall and 6-2 in the SEC in the 2014 season with wins against Auburn and the cards. Losses include Florida and South Carolina. We get the Dawgs in their home environment to make things even worse this year. I have to imagine that Stoops will pull out all the stops to make this a respectable game, but I don't see a win. UGA's running attack will be excellent once again barring any catastrophic injury and again, I'm not sure if UK improves enough in that defensive department to hold off the ground attack. Cats lose by a couple touchdowns. Maybe 3 at most (I hope).

NEXT OPPONENT: VANDERBILT- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-3 Pretty good record so far, I'd say. I think it gets a lot better these next 3 games (hint: I think UK wins at least 2/3). This game, I will go worst-case scenario and say that Vandy gets its ish together and starts gradually building to playing like the team we thought they would be coming into 2014. That means tough lines, excellent coaching, gameplan, and the like. Make no mistake, folks, Vandy still has a lot of talent on that roster, and it's still very dangerous. UK had chances to blow open the gates last year and didn't. IF Vandy improves at all, we will need to hope and pray that we can make some of those plays. If they have a good season to this point, do not be surprised if the bandwagon Anchors come out of the woodwork for this matchup and make the game much more interesting. I will not post Vandy's wins or losses because I think the team will be much different this year, but I will say that we can not sleep on them. UK pulls out a win.

NEXT OPPONENT: CHARLOTTE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 7-3
If ever there was a year to make the jump that so many of you predict, this will be it. with so many home games and no true guaranteed losses aside from probably UGA, UK's schedule sits favorably for a much nicer win/loss record. That said- good night, Charlotte. Could be a trap game since UK will be looking forward to the rivalry, but I doubt UK loses.

NEXT OPPONENT: UL- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 8-3 The cards won last season 44-40. I see UK turning the tables and getting the win against UL this year. At home, no more Parker, Christian, or NFL quality defensive backs. UL is really starting to run out of Hurtt and it'll show this year. Big time. By this time we will have hopefully gotten the kinks worked out of our "new" offense and Towles will be performing at the level that we think he is capable. Louisville went 9-4 last season and 5-3 in the ACC. The Cats take back the Governor's Cup and keep it in Lexington where it belongs for a few years.

UK ends the regular season at 9-3. Anything can happen in a bowl and that's even if we earn a bowl berth. I will not make a prediction on which bowl or who the opponent would be because there's way too much variance.

Now, know that this is not an unbiased list. I could easily see UK suffering two more losses (most likely to Auburn and Florida). Maybe a third to S.Car. I will be the first to admit that my lists are often tinted blue. Not ashamed of it. However, 6-7 wins is still enough to get us to that promised land of a bowl. Do not be unhappy with that result.

Now on with the mashup:

> Quintuple YAHTZEE!!!! Welcome to the BBN, Mr. Holtzclaw, Mr. Bannerman, Mr. Snell, Mr. Rigg, and Mr. Rose!

> Word through the grapevine is that Austin Kendall is ready to decommit from UT any day now. I like UK's chances for the flip.

> YAHTZEE alert: UK is on the tail end of another great recruiting weekend.

> Bud Dupree absolutely destroyed the combine. Posted incredible numbers like we thought he would, and likely helped his already high draft stock immensely.

> The guy who's been doing the most damage on the recruiting trail may surprise you... but probably not. It's Marrow. Everyone's favorite. Incredibly happy that UK gave this guy a raise. By far our most valued recruiter and one of the most important cogs in Stoops's coaching arsenal.

> If Lloyd Tubman is able to make his way back onto the team then that is incredible. It seems as though he hasn't missed a beat and has loaded up on the protein shakes. However this ends, whoever comes out with him will have a helluva athlete on their roster.

Yet again another slow week. except on the recruiting trail. Have a great week and hope to see you all back next weekend.

Go Big Blue!
 
Originally posted by JPFisher:
As mentioned last week in my mashup, I predicted that UK hits back to start the season out at 5-0. Now, a lot of you said we shouldn't count any of the starting SEC games as wins because we haven't had luck against Mizzou, the Florida streak, S.Car is now an away game. Yeah, that's nice.

NEXT OPPONENT: AUBURN- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 5-0 To start us out of the bye we have Auburn. A Thursday night game which I am no fan of, but we will see if a little change-of-pace can work some magic for the Cats. Auburn went 8-5 overall and 4-4 in the SEC. The Tigers absolutely decimated LSU and won a good game against Ole Miss in 2014 along with hard losses to Georgia and Miss. St. The Tigers shouldn't lose much steam from last season and that means that they'll likely have their running attack again. This doesn't bode well for 2014 Kentucky, but I suspect that the booster shot of linebacker recruits will help our 2015 team greatly. The losses of Bud and Z will be felt in this game, but I think Dubose, Huguenin, Hatcher, and Bell will be adequate replacements for this first year. UK wins a close one at home. We all saw how much we improved after our byes last year, and I feel as though this one is no different. Bring back the black and chrome and the fans will do their part. The Wildcats regain bowl eligibility for the first time in years.

*****This is where it starts to get dicey. At this point of the season we are likely to have multiple big injuries to guys in the 2-deep and I expect we will start to see our depth tested. Our very young depth. (Stoops's oldest recruits are true Juniors).

NEXT OPPONENT: MISSISSIPPI STATE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-0 The next game is at Mississippi State. The Cats travel to Starkville for a rematch of the 2014 two-touchdown loss. I will not mention record or major wins/losses because the team will be so radically different this year. That being said, I do not see them succumbing at home to a young Wildcats team. UK loses its first- and a close one.

NEXT OPPONENT: TENNESSEE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-1 Next up for the Cats are the Volunteers of Tennessee. In 2014, the Vols went 7-5 overall and 3-5 in the SEC. This is another home game and the earliest matchup of these two teams in the modern era. Home game for UK along with being a trap game for a Tennessee team coming off an away game at Bama.This plays favorably for UK, but the weakness in our depth starts to push through (This is not a slight on Stoops. There is no way we can expect reasonable SEC depth this soon. Again, the majority of the SEC is playing with mostly redshirted Juniors and Seniors whereas we're playing with true Juniors as Stoops's oldest pupils). Stoops has the team fired up and out for revenge but will it be enough? I'm not sure UK can pull it out so I'll call this a push leaning ever so slightly on a Tennessee victory.

NEXT OPPONENT: GEORGIA- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-2 Lack of depth or not, we had no pride while our asses were getting handed to us on limestone-fed fields. UGA went 10-2 overall and 6-2 in the SEC in the 2014 season with wins against Auburn and the cards. Losses include Florida and South Carolina. We get the Dawgs in their home environment to make things even worse this year. I have to imagine that Stoops will pull out all the stops to make this a respectable game, but I don't see a win. UGA's running attack will be excellent once again barring any catastrophic injury and again, I'm not sure if UK improves enough in that defensive department to hold off the ground attack. Cats lose by a couple touchdowns. Maybe 3 at most (I hope).

NEXT OPPONENT: VANDERBILT- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 6-3 Pretty good record so far, I'd say. I think it gets a lot better these next 3 games (hint: I think UK wins at least 2/3). This game, I will go worst-case scenario and say that Vandy gets its ish together and starts gradually building to playing like the team we thought they would be coming into 2014. That means tough lines, excellent coaching, gameplan, and the like. Make no mistake, folks, Vandy still has a lot of talent on that roster, and it's still very dangerous. UK had chances to blow open the gates last year and didn't. IF Vandy improves at all, we will need to hope and pray that we can make some of those plays. If they have a good season to this point, do not be surprised if the bandwagon Anchors come out of the woodwork for this matchup and make the game much more interesting. I will not post Vandy's wins or losses because I think the team will be much different this year, but I will say that we can not sleep on them. UK pulls out a win.

NEXT OPPONENT: CHARLOTTE- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 7-3
If ever there was a year to make the jump that so many of you predict, this will be it. with so many home games and no true guaranteed losses aside from probably UGA, UK's schedule sits favorably for a much nicer win/loss record. That said- good night, Charlotte. Could be a trap game since UK will be looking forward to the rivalry, but I doubt UK loses.

NEXT OPPONENT: UL- UK RECORD THUS FAR: 8-3 The cards won last season 44-40. I see UK turning the tables and getting the win against UL this year. At home, no more Parker, Christian, or NFL quality defensive backs. UL is really starting to run out of Hurtt and it'll show this year. Big time. By this time we will have hopefully gotten the kinks worked out of our "new" offense and Towles will be performing at the level that we think he is capable. Louisville went 9-4 last season and 5-3 in the ACC. The Cats take back the Governor's Cup and keep it in Lexington where it belongs for a few years.

UK ends the regular season at 9-3. Anything can happen in a bowl and that's even if we earn a bowl berth. I will not make a prediction on which bowl or who the opponent would be because there's way too much variance.

Now, know that this is not an unbiased list. I could easily see UK suffering two more losses (most likely to Auburn and Florida). Maybe a third to S.Car. I will be the first to admit that my lists are often tinted blue. Not ashamed of it. However, 6-7 wins is still enough to get us to that promised land of a bowl. Do not be unhappy with that result.

Now on with the mashup:

> Quintuple YAHTZEE!!!! Welcome to the BBN, Mr. Holtzclaw, Mr. Bannerman, Mr. Snell, Mr. Rigg, and Mr. Rose!

> Word through the grapevine is that Austin Kendall is ready to decommit from UT any day now. I like UK's chances for the flip.

> YAHTZEE alert: UK is on the tail end of another great recruiting weekend.

> Bud Dupree absolutely destroyed the combine. Posted incredible numbers like we thought he would, and likely helped his already high draft stock immensely.

> The guy who's been doing the most damage on the recruiting trail may surprise you... but probably not. It's Marrow. Everyone's favorite. Incredibly happy that UK gave this guy a raise. By far our most valued recruiter and one of the most important cogs in Stoops's coaching arsenal.

> If Lloyd Tubman is able to make his way back onto the team then that is incredible. It seems as though he hasn't missed a beat and has loaded up on the protein shakes. However this ends, whoever comes out with him will have a helluva athlete on their roster.

Yet again another slow week. except on the recruiting trail. Have a great week and hope to see you all back next weekend.

Go Big Blue!
That's a pretty fair prediction, I do think you need to reverse AU and State. AU isn't your typical spread team, they are a spread run team and have been in the top 2 SEC rushing the last 2 years with different backs, they have Mr. Alabama football and a 5* JUCO to man the position this season. If you have trouble stopping the run, AU will give you lots of trouble. State on the other hand is replacing most of their team, I think I read they have 6 starters coming back, likely the least in the SEC and UK played them within a TD in 14, that onside kick return was a fluke. I think AU is likely a loss and State is a win.
 
That's fair to say. I just feel like UK will do exceptionally well out of the extra rest and practice days. Probably wishful thinking, but oh well.
 
Heck I thought I sipped too much on the blue Kool Aide but you got me beat
 
There's no denying that this is blue through and through. Just something fun to think about.
 
Originally posted by JPFisher:
That's fair to say. I just feel like UK will do exceptionally well out of the extra rest and practice days. Probably wishful thinking, but oh well.
Auburn is coming off of a bye week also. OTOH we get two extra days of practice before we play MSU.

We played MSU pretty well last year and they lose a ton of players off of their 2 deep. They will definitely be in a rebuilding mode this year. It's early but this is a very winnable game for a CATS, I won't say must win, but maybe should win.

This post was edited on 3/2 9:19 AM by Deeeefense
 
I'm aware. Miss. State is the more likely win, but I have to think that UK will have another blackout for a game like this to drum up some extra excitement. Like said, I think it's just something fun to mull over. We're more likely to finish 6-7 than 9-4, but there's no reason we can't be competitive and pull out an upset somewhere.

Let me reiterate: I AM NOT SAYING THAT THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. It's a 9-3 regular season in year 3 of rebuild while also being in the SEC. That'd be asinine. Absolutely incredible, but the thought is asinine.
 
this is cool, talking about football in March!! I love it!! Can't wait to see the Cats in the fall. I wonder when there will be some open practices this spring?
 
Absolutely LOVE the 9-3 prediction! I will be happy with 6 wins and a bowl game. We MUST win 6 regular season games. This will make a huge difference I believe in helping us to retain the top level recruits at the end of the year by showing true momentum at getting better. Don't think for a second that the way we finished the second half of last year's schedule wasn't used against us.
 
I fully expect UL to have this on their board mocking the 9-3 prediction while also pulling it out of context and ignoring the fact that I have said repeatedly that I don't expect this to be the most likely result. I've already admitted that this is a best-case scenario. Why keep beating a dead horse? For that matter, from my previous prediction posts, the majority of you should know that I go into these things with blue stained glasses.

Duly noted that I shall never make a prediction thread again lest it be riddled with selective redundancy.
laugh.r191677.gif


I'll stick to the recap which is so incredibly exciting this time of year.
 
It's hard to see anything over 5-6 wins w/o a significantly improved defense. UK can't continue to give up career days to opponents game after game after game. Stop the run and more wins will come.
 
> Bud Dupree absolutely destroyed the combine. Posted incredible numbers like we thought he would, and likely helped his already high draft stock immensely.


Strangely enough it didn't seem to change his stock much. He was projected by darn near everyone to be a 1st-2nd rd draft pick who was expected to blow up the combine..........he blew up the combine and I don't think it changed his outlook much. If anything I think it made him a sure 1st rounder.

His pro-day could really help. He wasn't able to run through the position drills during the combine, but should be able to do it during his pro-day. He may be able to jump a few of the other guys he's competing against (Fowler, Gregory, Beasley, Ray) with a good showing.
 
i think having the scar game early this year is a bonus for us. they really started slow last year and with some roster turnover and coaching ???'s i think we sneak out of there with a win.

florida at home is still a tough win. the new coach should be an improvement for them even though we haven't seen a product yet. they'll still be loaded on D but im skeptical of how much talent they have on O. we could "outscore" them in a shootout to win this one.

missouri is well coached. we all thought their D would slide with the losses from '13. well, they came back just as strong. so now they are replacing their D coord.. and losing a few more starters on D.... and im not gonna predict a slide by their D. mauk is top 3 or 4 qb in the league.... this is gonna be a nailbiter either way.

auburn is too tough this year. likely top 10ish team if the qb works out.
state has to be and should be a win this year.
utee, ugh, after the debacle last year its hard to predict a win here but its not out of the range of possibility.
uga has too much on the ground and if they get decent qb play its hard to imagine a win here.
vandy should be and has to be a win. seems to be imploding and we need to just throttle them and not let something flukey happen.
petrino always improves in year 2 but to be honest he usually has most of his talent back in year 2. he loses parker and christian which will hurt the passing game. they should be fine at rb back they didn't hurt us there last year. they lose a lot on D but get a bunch of transfers eligible this year. they will be rated higher than us in stats but i think our D will be better going to the last game. i think the healthier team going into this game, wins.

3 sec wins, 3 small school wins, and the ul win gives us 7. but 6 to 8 is possible. agree with everybody else on the D has to improve or it dont matter.
 
Originally posted by BlueRaider22:

> Bud Dupree absolutely destroyed the combine. Posted incredible numbers like we thought he would, and likely helped his already high draft stock immensely.


Strangely enough it didn't seem to change his stock much. He was projected by darn near everyone to be a 1st-2nd rd draft pick who was expected to blow up the combine..........he blew up the combine and I don't think it changed his outlook much. If anything I think it made him a sure 1st rounder.

His pro-day could really help. He wasn't able to run through the position drills during the combine, but should be able to do it during his pro-day. He may be able to jump a few of the other guys he's competing against (Fowler, Gregory, Beasley, Ray) with a good showing.
He's definitely a lock for the first round. Before the combine you had experts shipping him to the second round. The thing with that is I'm not entirely sure if he was rated as high on average in the first round as he is now. A few spots right now is huge for a player. Also, I agree that pro-day should improve his stock even more.
 
Originally posted by Bigbluetrue:
Absolutely LOVE the 9-3 prediction! I will be happy with 6 wins and a bowl game. We MUST win 6 regular season games. This will make a huge difference I believe in helping us to retain the top level recruits at the end of the year by showing true momentum at getting better. Don't think for a second that the way we finished the second half of last year's schedule wasn't used against us.
To keep up the level of recruiting that the coaching staff is attempting to they'll need to win more than 6 games. UK is in on some major targets and if they win only 6 games those guys don't come to UK.
 
Originally posted by mrschwump:

It's hard to see anything over 5-6 wins w/o a significantly improved defense. UK can't continue to give up career days to opponents game after game after game. Stop the run and more wins will come.
so I take it you have UL Lafayette, EKU, and Charlotte as wins. You say anything over 5-6 wins w/o significantly improving defense is hard to see, so that means you have UK winning only 2 or maybe 3 others. Who are they?

UK had better defenses than Miss State, Vandy, and South Carolina last year. So if you take the improvement that UK should have on offense and say the defense stays the same since they don't have as many starters to replace as the others, I don't see it hard to see UK win those games regardless if they all are on the road. That brings you to 6 games.

Next category is Florida, Missouri, Auburn, Tennessee, at Georgia, and Louisville. Do you think UK loses all these games?
 
Originally posted by mrschwump:

It's hard to see anything over 5-6 wins w/o a significantly improved defense. UK can't continue to give up career days to opponents game after game after game. Stop the run and more wins will come.
This is something like I'm thinking.
Got to get off the field on 3rd down.
Got to have a large improvement in the O-Line.

However, we were two dropped passes from 7 wins last season.
 
I believe we will be greatly improved this year as well. Defense finally gets going and is a strength of the team. Offense will have a lot of weapons. A lot. It's all on the oline, if they are improved, sky is the limit for the offense. My prediction for the season.

ULL - Win (1-0)
SC - Win (2-0, 1-0)
UF - Win (3-0, 2-0)
Missouri - Loss (3-1, 2-1)
Eastern - Win (4-1)
Auburn - Loss (4-2, 2-2)
Miss St - Win (5-2, 3-2)
UT - Loss (5-3, 3-3)
Georgia - Loss (5-4, 3-4)
Vandy - Win (6-4, 4-4)
Charlotte - Win (7-4)
UL - Win (8-4)

Good season for the Cats. Finish SEC play at .500 with big wins over SC, UF, Miss St, Vandy and UL. Solid bowl spot.
 
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