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So how many SEC Teams make the NCAA Tourney?

UKWildcats#8

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Jun 25, 2011
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I was looking at the standings and honestly have no idea. My best guess is

1. UK (near lock unless we were to lose out or something crazy).
2. SC (21 wins already, win a few more and they should be in despite the OOC schedule being weak).
3. A&M (Having a bad slide but toughest games left are at home and weak road games mostly).
4. LSU? (Definitely belong, but 9 losses already with 1 sure loss left at UK IMO).
5. Vandy? (The dorks better not lose more than 1-2 games total the rest of the way IMO. Committee might give them a break for some losses due to no Kornet).

Of course, someone could get in by winning the SEC Tourney that is not one of the above 5 but I say 5 tops and probably just 4, could just be 3. It's tough to predict.
 
Florida is probably still in at this point...They are #31 in the RPI, and though they lost at home to Bama yesterday I'd stay they still have a decent shot.
 
Alabama probably has the best resume outside of UK (6 top 50 wins) but they don't have the win total yet. If they can win 5 more games (including the SEC Tournament), they should get in.

Kentucky is a lock.
Texas A&M is a lock.
South Carolina is a lock.
LSU is getting closer to a lock.

Florida, Vanderbilt, Georgia and Ole Miss are all potential, with varying odds. Florida and Vandy have much better chances, but plenty of work to do.

I predict the league gets 7...Kentucky, Texas A&M, South Carolina, LSU, Florida, Vanderbilt and Alabama.
 
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Alabama probably has the best resume outside of UK (6 top 50 wins) but they don't have the win total yet. If they can win 5 more games (including the SEC Tournament), they should get in.

Kentucky is a lock.
Texas A&M is a lock.
South Carolina is a lock.
LSU is getting closer to a lock.

Florida, Vanderbilt, Georgia and Ole Miss are all potential, with varying odds. Florida and Vandy have much better chances, but plenty of work to do.

I predict the league gets 7...Kentucky, Texas A&M, South Carolina, LSU, Florida, Vanderbilt and Alabama.

I'd be surprised with 7. That would be cool though.
 
Need the right chips to fall as they may. The good news is...Missouri, Auburn and Mississippi State are terrible, and UT and Arkansas are abysmal on the road. Georgia and Ole Miss are wild cards, but if the right teams just win the games they should, the SEC could get 7.

Of course, any follower of SEC basketball knows to expect a few more "WTF losses" by these contenders.
 
Florida hurt themselves badly last night but Bama helped their cause.
Vanderbilt is right on the bubble, they better not slip up and they better hope they get their favorite refs when UK comes to town.
I think we get 6. Either Florida or Bama gets snubbed.
 
Alabama probably has the best resume outside of UK (6 top 50 wins) but they don't have the win total yet. If they can win 5 more games (including the SEC Tournament), they should get in.

Kentucky is a lock.
Texas A&M is a lock.
South Carolina is a lock.
LSU is getting closer to a lock.

Florida, Vanderbilt, Georgia and Ole Miss are all potential, with varying odds. Florida and Vandy have much better chances, but plenty of work to do.

I predict the league gets 7...Kentucky, Texas A&M, South Carolina, LSU, Florida, Vanderbilt and Alabama.
No need me typing in I am in agreement with you....I believe they want Simmons in so I believe barring a major downturn LSU will be a lock, Vandy has got the ingredients just gotta perform just hope not against us.
 
No need me typing in I am in agreement with you....I believe they want Simmons in so I believe barring a major downturn LSU will be a lock, Vandy has got the ingredients just gotta perform just hope not against us.
LSU is projected as an 11 right now. They better be careful because now their schedule toughens up. They have had it easy so far, all their tough games have been at home. The road is not a friendly thing in the SEC with these officials.
 
I could see 5 getting in. I really don't see the NCAA giving us anymore than that.
Kentucky would be a lock on an upward trend for a high seed. Texas A&M is struggling right now but has quality wins. LSU gets in, South Carolina gets in with a few more wins. And one of the following gets in, Vandy, Florida or Bama. It would be awesome if we get 7 in but I just don't see it happening.
 
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Uf is in as they have played such a tough schedule and the RPI is good. Hell before yesterday they were a 7 seed ! They are in and to say otherwise isn't paying much attention. The question is who will be the 6th team to get it in as either Bama or Vandy will IMO but not both.
UK - 2-3 seed
Texas A&M - 6-7 seed
USC - 5-7 seed
LSU - 10 seed
UF 8-9 seed
and then Vandy and Bama fighting over a 11/12 seed.
 
The tough thing for us is that we play a bunch of bubble teams down the stretch. Beating us could be the difference in teams like Florida and Vandy making it or not.

Ulis and Murray and just going to have to keep throwing daggers and breaking hearts.
 
Assuming Kentucky, South Carolina and Texas A&M are in...the rest just need to do the following, IMO. Must wins are in bold...split games are in italics that involve these four teams.

LSU - vs Alabama, at Tennessee, at Arkansas, vs Florida, vs Missouri, at Kentucky
Florida - at Georgia, at South Carolina, vs Vanderbilt, at LSU, vs Kentucky, at Missouri
Vanderbilt - at Mississippi State, vs Georgia, at Florida, vs Kentucky, vs Tennessee, at Texas A&M
Alabama - at LSU, vs Mississippi State, at Kentucky, vs Auburn, vs Arkansas, at Georgia

If all the bold games are wins, it's really going to come down to those 3 games (LSU/Florida, Florida/Vanderbilt), Alabama/LSU) to determine things. None of these teams have to beat Kentucky or Texas A&M, although it would certainly help.

Also, the reason I say Georgia has a chance is their schedule. They play 3 of the bubble teams, Ole Miss (which is also a decent win), South Carolina and Auburn. If they go 5-1 or something, they will have gotten 3 or 4 more quality wins. They probably go like 1-5 or 2-4, but they have opportunity.
 
As of today I believe it would be close to this

Kentucky - 4 seed
Texas A&M - 6 seed
South Carolina - 7 seed
Florida - 9 seed
LSU - 10 seed

Alamaba on the bubble in the "first 4 out" range
Vanderbilt "in the next 4 out" range
 
I was looking at the standings and honestly have no idea. My best guess is

1. UK (near lock unless we were to lose out or something crazy).
2. SC (21 wins already, win a few more and they should be in despite the OOC schedule being weak).
3. A&M (Having a bad slide but toughest games left are at home and weak road games mostly).
4. LSU? (Definitely belong, but 9 losses already with 1 sure loss left at UK IMO).
5. Vandy? (The dorks better not lose more than 1-2 games total the rest of the way IMO. Committee might give them a break for some losses due to no Kornet).

Of course, someone could get in by winning the SEC Tourney that is not one of the above 5 but I say 5 tops and probably just 4, could just be 3. It's tough to predict.
6
 
On Vandy:

Kenpom - 28
Sagarin - 22
BPI - 26
RPI - 53

The RPI is a joke, but the question will be how much does the committee use it? Or.. Do they use the other references rankings?

We need to win at MSU Tuesday and beat UGA at home Saturday. If we do that (17-10), we will have a really good shot at an at large bid. Then we will have to win 2 of our last 4 (at UF, UK, UTjr, at aTm).
 
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