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SEC standings after Feb. 17 action

Smashcat

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Mar 13, 2012
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NET rankings have not been updated. UK is now #21.
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Such a big win Saturday.

Alabama (2-loss) still has vUF, @UK, @OM, vUT, @UF - Tough schedule for them.
Tennessee (3-loss) still has vAub, @Bama, @SC, vUK left - I don't see them dropping many more.
South Carolina (4-loss) has @OM, @A&M, vUF, vUT, @MSU left - That's a lot of games @ mid-tier teams.
Auburn (4-loss) just has @UGA, @UT left among tough games. I still see them looked into the 3-4 seed line.
UF (4-loss) darkhorse team has just @Bama, @SC, vBama left.

UK (4-loss) has @LSU, vBama, @MSU, and @UT - Maybe they've turned a corner, but I see that game at the Hump as a tough one. Also, we've not been great at home so Bama is a game that is up in the air.

I'd put them as follows:
Tennessee dropping 2 more - 5 losses (wins tie-breaker over Bama I think even if they are 1-1 h2h)
Bama dropping 3 more - 5 losses
UK dropping 2 more - 6 losses (wins tie-breaker over AU & UF)
Auburn dropping 2 more - 6 losses (wins tie-breaker over UF)
Florida dropping 2 more - 6 losses
USC dropping 3 more - 7 losses
 
AP-wise, I think we move up to 15 in the next poll. KU and UNC probably drop to 9 & 10, but the top 10 stays the same. Baylor and Illinois move up to 11 & 12, Bama at 13, Creighton at 14, UK at 15.

Then Dayton at 16, Auburn at 17, St Mary's at 18...etc. I think we jump Dayton and St Marys, even though they didn't lose this week.
 
The good thing is that reg conf champs are not a clear choice unless bama wins out....
 
If we win our games this coming week, I think we position ourselves well for a clash with Tennessee for the regular season title.
 
What the heck is up with Myseri? The're bad, but they don't look 0-12 bad.
 
Honestly best-case scenario is Alabama winning-out besides the game in Rupp.

That would hand 2 losses to Florida and an extra loss to UT.

Then, we need:

Florida to beat South Carolina
Auburn to lose @ UGA and @ Tennessee
South Carolina should lose at least 3 of those 5 games IMO (@ MSU, @A&M, @ Ole Miss, vs. UT, vs. Florida)
But South Carolina beats UT at home

And we only lose @ UT.

That would leave the standings like:

Alabama (15-3)
Tennessee (13-5)
Kentucky (13-5)
Florida (12-6)
Auburn (12-6)
South Carolina (11-7)

We secure the Thursday bye and a top-4 seed.

The game in Knoxville would be for the 2 seed in the SEC Tournament.

Seems pretty reasonable- I know this is all impossible to predict but the pathway is there.
 
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