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SEC Postseason Breakdown/Chatter

KA4Prez

All-American
Dec 8, 2003
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I'll use KenPom numbers to illustrate the postseason prospects for the SEC this year. I'm going to list them in order of odds to make the NCAA Tournament...not the current standings.

1. Texas A&M (17-2, 7-0) - Four OOC wins over top 50 opponents (Texas, Gonzaga, K-State, Baylor), 9 total top 50 wins. They still play at Vandy and at LSU, but they get UK, Iowa State, South Carolina at home. Very good chance at a top 2 seed.

2. Kentucky (15-4, 5-2) - Two OOC wins over top 25 opponents (Duke, Louisville), 5 top 50 wins. Road games at Kansas, Tennessee, Florida, Texas A&M, South Carolina and Vanderbilt makes it a very tough remaining slate for the Cats.

3. South Carolina (17-2, 5-2)
- The Gamecocks OOC slate was far from tough, but they have some solid wins over Tulsa and Clemson that aren't terrible. They get LSU, UK, UT and UF at home in the league, and only have to travel to A&M. If they can end up somewhere around 11-7 in the league, they should be fine.

4. LSU (12-7, 5-2) - LSU had some WTF losses early (Marquette, CoC, Wake Forest, Houston), but may have turned the corner lately. Their two losses at UF and at A&M aren't bad, but they have already beaten UK and Vandy. They get Oklahoma, Florida and A&M at home, along with South Carolina and Kentucky on the road. They need to get some wins for sure, but they have opportunity, especially Oklahoma.

5. Florida (13-6, 5-2) - The Gators are finally healthy and although they have 6 losses, 4 of those are against top 25 teams. Unfortunately, a win over Oklahoma State is really all they have, and thus, they probably need one of those 12-6 SEC slates to be in the tournament discussion.

6. Vanderbilt (11-8, 3-4) - Vandy has 8 losses against the top 63...6 against the top 50, and one potential OOC win. The next 3 games will determine their season (vs Florida, at Texas, vs A&M), they probably need to win at minimum, 2 of those 3. If they survive, their final 3 are huge as well vs UK, vs UT and at A&M. They have opportunities, but they can't just lose.

7. Georgia (11-6, 4-3) - OOC wins over Georgia Tech, Clemson and Oakland (who should continue to rise) are okay, and the Dawgs have survived the SEC thus far beating the teams they should. Their next 7...at LSU, at Baylor, vs South Carolina, vs Auburn, at Kentucky, vs UF and at Vandy. Major opportunities.

Barring a miracle run, we can eliminate everyone else at this point.
 
While this is the best the SEC has been in forever as teams like Vandy , Arkansas , Bama ect can beat anyone in the country we will only get 5 in due to the conference beating up on each other . A&M will be a top 3 seed along with UK IMO. UF , LSU and USC will be seeded somewhere between 6-10 .
 
Everyone outside of A&M and Kentucky need to pick up a couple big wins, unfortunately outside of the Big 12/SEC Challenge, the only chances at a big win are against Kentucky and A&M, perhaps maybe South Carolina.
 
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