Anyone care to revise what they predict for UK's final record and NCAAT results for this year? I'm still good with my prediction of 6 - 7 losses and loss in the Elite 8.
Revised UK record for this year?
- Thread starter maysvilleky
- Start date
At this point I am thinking 8-10 losses. We lose at Kansas, USC, Vandy and A&M. That doesn't include road games at Auburn, Alabama, Tenn and Arkansas. It could potentially get ugly very quickly if this team doesn't find it's groove.
22-9 (12-6) headed into the SECT, which we could still win. Could be 25-9 (or 26-9) headed into the Big Dance or 22-10. That could be the difference in a 4-5 seed and an 8-9 seed.
These are my for sure losses -
at Kansas
at Vanderbilt
at Texas A&M
That gets us to 6 losses.
Somewhat likely or very possible losses -
Vanderbilt
LSU
at South Carolina
at Florida
at Alabama
at Arkansas
Of these 6 games, I think we go 3-3. I think we win the other 8 though none of the road games are sure fire wins at this point.
These are my for sure losses -
at Kansas
at Vanderbilt
at Texas A&M
That gets us to 6 losses.
Somewhat likely or very possible losses -
Vanderbilt
LSU
at South Carolina
at Florida
at Alabama
at Arkansas
Of these 6 games, I think we go 3-3. I think we win the other 8 though none of the road games are sure fire wins at this point.
There are never "for-sure losses"!
And once you get to conference play, there are never "for-sure wins".
The most likely losses I have (at KU 70%, at Vandy 60%, at TA&M 55%, at UT & at USC & at UF each 45%). The most likely home loss is Vandy (35%).
I come up with 5.4 more losses (rounded to 5), so a 23-8 record going into SEC-T. And an end of season 28-10.
And once you get to conference play, there are never "for-sure wins".
The most likely losses I have (at KU 70%, at Vandy 60%, at TA&M 55%, at UT & at USC & at UF each 45%). The most likely home loss is Vandy (35%).
I come up with 5.4 more losses (rounded to 5), so a 23-8 record going into SEC-T. And an end of season 28-10.
I had said 26-5 going into SEC tourney. That's not happening, clearly.
I will go something more like 23-8 or 22-9 now.
I will go something more like 23-8 or 22-9 now.
22-9 headed to SECT is realistic expectations at this point. Anything worse is a massive failure and no hope for this team in the dance regardless of seeding. Anything better means that the team has come together and will have a punchers chance in the dance to make a little noise.
So you think we're going to the SEC final then the Elite 8? I'd consider that a wild success at this point.
I honestly didn't think this team would lose more than 5 going into the NCAAT. With Ulis, Lee and Poy back and the addition of Briscoe, Skal (a projected #1 pick at the time) and Murray after watching him dominate high level college, NBA and international guys over the summer...I thought this team would be very good - even early on.
I thought the Duke game really solidified that thought- but I could not have been more wrong about this group. They have such a long ways to go. I think now if we can keep it under 10 losses on the season and make the E8 we could call it a successful year at this point. I'm starting to accept this is probably going to be one of those Bridge Years....
I thought the Duke game really solidified that thought- but I could not have been more wrong about this group. They have such a long ways to go. I think now if we can keep it under 10 losses on the season and make the E8 we could call it a successful year at this point. I'm starting to accept this is probably going to be one of those Bridge Years....
A
anon_013cn8yrfncx2
Guest
Maybe he's thinking a first round loss in the SEC and another loss in the NCAA championship game
This team is going to get bounced around like a military brat on the road in SEC play. Cal doesn't allow losses at home. So, like 2011, look to lose nearly every road game.
Depending on our road in the tournament will determine how far we go. With guys like Murray and Ulis we can be in a final four given the right path. We've got pieces but like usual it probably wouldn't be quite enough to bring it in
Depending on our road in the tournament will determine how far we go. With guys like Murray and Ulis we can be in a final four given the right path. We've got pieces but like usual it probably wouldn't be quite enough to bring it in
19-12 (9-9). I don't think they make the tournament as of right now. If they can get a winning streak going then I will change my mind.
Before the season my prediction was 35-5 w/one loss per month (except April)....so far so good. We won't lose in April either....cuz, sadly, we won't get that far. Last night was very disheartening and made me a believer that this team doesn't have IT. 3 bad road losses is a pattern & see I no reason for it to change. Hell I'm not sure they'll beat Alabama now. I think I'm in the 9-10 loss camp....Ima say we'll finish 26-10...ish.
I think that is a bit too doom and gloom at this point. I don't see a team on UK's schedule good enough to win at Rupp so basically you are saying 0-9 on the road (doubtful).
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