It's been said by the front office that they want to be contenders by 2018. Not a realistic goal if you ask me. Cincinnati goes through these fire sales all the time since the end of the Big Red Machine era. Only to do it again as soon as a talented player is close to payday. Nothing new this time around. It's fair for us fans to be frustrated with the process. At what point is it going to be enough and we build around a core group of young talent without trading everyone off? Said Frazier was going to be a building piece and later that same year, traded! Think of all of the great talent traded away, only Mez, Votto & Bailey (who got Cueto's money) are left on the team from the playoff runs with Dusty. Bronson Arroyo might be back if he can make the team out of Spring Training. He could be a good mentor to the young pitching. The Reds had one of the worst bullpens in MLB history last season. I doubt he can get too much worse than Simon or Ohlendorf.
I feel that Reds management has been a little bit too conservative with some of their prospects. Leake was an exception but was older having been at Arizona State. Obviously players develop at different rates but it seems to me that other organizations are developing their talent much faster than the Reds. Frazier was 26 his rookie season. Thought Joey Votto was ready in '06 but did not make his debut until September call ups in '07. Felt like Homer Bailey was in a same situation as well. IMO, Robert Stephenson should have been in the rotation last season if not earlier. Point to his AAA struggles but he's already 24. I thought he got complacent in the minors and Chris Welsh echoed the same sentiment in a broadcast last season. He had those couple of good spot starts early last season with the injuries to the rotation but when he was demoted back to Louisville, his season went downward. He was sent down only for the Reds to need a SP immediately after, call up Adelman and someone whose name can't even remember. The management in the front office baffles me sometimes.
If the prospects do pan out, I feel like the organization has some intriguing young arms like Stephenson & Garrett. Maybe Cody Reed will show us something this year if he cracks the rotation. Amir Garrett started the futures game, had a great season and never got called up once rosters expanded. Cincinnati had nothing to play for last season. Just not a fan of delaying the future. Cincinnati has traded a lot of hitting off this past decade but have not done much to replace it. The Reds need to replenish the farm system with some impact bats. They did good acquiring Duvall in a trade. Hopefully we see Nick Senzel sometime soon since he has 3 years of college experience under his belt. I understand at BP's age your not going to get a top prospect for him but the pitchers they received are just minor league depth. They are eating up $13 million out of 14 left on his salary. I'd been alright if they would have just received cash considerations to get his contract off the books. No need for 2 pitchers, one coming off 2 Tommy John Surgeries and the other a disastrous season with the Braves in '15, hasn't been back since.
* The Reds biggest mistake when it comes to there build was panicking and not getting a better return for aaoldis Chapman. If you're a smaller market team and you go into such a restructuring/selloff, you MUST come away from it with a very minimum of one marquis young talent - someone who could be a major factor in the direction of your franchise for a decade or more. They did come away with a decent cast of supporting talent (Finnegan, Reed, Peraza, Schebler, Herrera, Davis, Duvall and possibly Mella), but they missed out on a top shelf major prospect. Just looking at the Yankee haul for Aroldis (Torres) or Andrew Miller (Frazier) shows what they should've held out for.
* The reds made a major blunder by not holding Leake out @ L'ville for the first few weeks of his rookie year. Had They done so, they would've have retained his services for an extra season and had him last season to help ease the rebuilding pains or at the very least, gotten a better return if they had still dealt him when they did because he would've had and extra year of control.
* Whether the Reds can return to the hunt for at least a wildcard berth depends largely upon recent statements from new GM Dick Williams and the development of Nick Senzel. Williams has twice in the last couple of weeks said that he expects the Reds to be at a point following this up-coming season where they can start competing for top Free Agents. I'm not sure that they can entice a top FA pitcher to come to Cincy and pitch in the GAB, but if he also means daling for a top arm, he might have something. If Senzel is ready early in 2018, that means you have Suarez, Dilson Herrera and Peraza vying for two spots. In the OF, you also have Duvall, Schebler and Jesse Winker competing for two as well. If two or three young arms step up this season as well, you could offers ome team a package of say, Suarez, Duvall or Scebler and a couple of young starters from among Desclafani, Finnegan, Reed, Garrett, Stephenson, Romano, Davis, Mahle, Travieso, Castillo, Gutierrez or Mella (or one and another young prospect) and you might bring back a TOR starter. Put a #1-type starter in front of Bailey and three of the youngsters mentioned and you might start to contend. A young lineup of Hamilton, Peraza, Votto, Senzel, Schebler/Duvall, Winker, Mesoraco/Barnhart & Herrera might help as well.
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