He would not have been drafted in first round no matter where whe went. Just look at Aaron Harrison.
He would not have been drafted in first round no matter where whe went. Just look at Aaron Harrison.
When you say "an awful lot", can you please explain? Since when was Dakari ever slated to go in the first round? Coming out of high school he was a big bodied project that was rated high on potential. Marcus and Alex are still at Kentucky. Marcus, if anything, will elevate his stock by the time he is done. The word is still out on Alex as he is rehabbing the knee. Maybe the twins.This. Lacey was never going first round no matter where he went to school. He's an undersized, underathletic shooting guard with limited upside. Good college player, but never much of a pro prospect.
This myth our fans perpetuate about UK supposedly having some magic stock-rising power is laughable nonsense easily disproven by the facts. Believe it or not folks, we've had an awful lot of guys who actually see their pro stock take big drops during their time at UK, indeed we had quite a few just on this year's team alone (Dakari Johnson, Alex Poythress, Marcus Lee, the Harrison twins, etc.).
Since when was Dakari ever slated to go in the first round?
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When? Umm, at nearly every point in time before this season began. Dakari came out of high school at the nation's No. 1 rated big man who was back then seen as a first round lock, and by some even a potential future lottery pick. After his freshman year, his projections had fallen to the end of the first round in mock drafts. And, after his sophomore year, they'd fallen to the second round. The longer he stayed at UK the further his stock fell.
And the same goes for Aaron, Andrew and Poythress. All mega-hyped recruits who were being projected as future lottery picks when they came out of high school, but instead saw their stock do nothing but steadily decline during their time at UK. And although I'll concede Lee was never projected as high as those guys, suffice to say he's not regarded as nearly as intriguing a prospect today as he was when arrived as a 5 Star McDonald's All American. And those guys are hardly alone, Cal's had other stock droppers as well (Teague, Harrow, Wiltjer, Goodwin, etc.).
And, fwiw, I'm not trying to be critical, but it does make me laugh when I see threads like these that make it sound like Cal has some magical power to raise anyone's stock, those folks seem to conveniently forget the guys whose projections went the other way while here.
Truth is we, like every program, have some guys whose stock rises while here (Harrelson, Booker, WCS, etc) and others who see big falls (and occasionally perhaps even someone who falls here but rises somewhere else--see Wiltjer/Gonzaga). Some hits, some misses, some rise, some fall. Just like nearly every program, no secret formula.
[QUOTE="MWes11, post: 1855527, member: 10924" Since when was Dakari ever slated to go in the first round? .
When? Umm, at nearly every point in time before this season began. Dakari came out of high school at the nation's No. 1 rated big man who was back then seen as a first round lock, and by some even a potential future lottery pick. After his freshman year, his projections had fallen to the end of the first round in mock drafts. And, after his sophomore year, they'd fallen to the second round. The longer he stayed at UK the further his stock fell.
And the same goes for Aaron, Andrew and Poythress. All mega-hyped recruits who were being projected as future lottery picks when they came out of high school, but instead saw their stock do nothing but steadily decline during their time at UK. And although I'll concede Lee was never projected as high as those guys, suffice to say he's not regarded as nearly as intriguing a prospect today as he was when arrived as a 5 Star McDonald's All American. And those guys are hardly alone, Cal's had other stock droppers as well (Teague, Harrow, Wiltjer, Goodwin, etc.).
And, fwiw, I'm not trying to be critical, but it does make me laugh when I see threads like these that make it sound like Cal has some magical power to raise anyone's draft stock, those folks seem to conveniently forget the guys whose projections went down instead of up while here.
Truth is we, like every program, have some guys whose stock rises while here (Harrelson, Booker, WCS, etc) and others who see big falls (and occasionally perhaps even someone who falls here but rises somewhere else--see Wiltjer/Gonzaga). Some hits, some misses, some rise, some fall. Just like nearly every program, no secret formula.
Correct .unless I'm mistaken, Lacey didn't pick UK because UK already had Doron Lamb committed when he made his decision.
unless I'm mistaken, Lacey didn't pick UK because UK already had Doron Lamb committed when he made his decision.
I'm a little fuzzy on the Lacey recruitment. Did he ever even have a commitable offer? I don't remember UK really going after him very hard.unless I'm mistaken, Lacey didn't pick UK because UK already had Doron Lamb committed when he made his decision.
This. Lacey was never going first round no matter where he went to school. He's an undersized, underathletic shooting guard with limited upside. Good college player, but never much of a pro prospect.
This myth our fans perpetuate about UK supposedly having some magic stock-rising power is laughable nonsense easily disproven by the facts. Believe it or not folks, we've had an awful lot of guys who actually see their pro stock take big drops during their time at UK, indeed we had quite a few just on this year's team alone (Dakari Johnson, Alex Poythress, Marcus Lee, the Harrison twins, etc.).
When? Umm, at nearly every point in time before this season began. Dakari came out of high school at the nation's No. 1 rated big man who was back then seen as a first round lock, and by some even a potential future lottery pick. After his freshman year, his projections had fallen to the end of the first round in mock drafts. And, after his sophomore year, they'd fallen to the second round. The longer he stayed at UK the further his stock fell.
And the same goes for Aaron, Andrew and Poythress. All mega-hyped recruits who were being projected as future lottery picks when they came out of high school, but instead saw their stock do nothing but steadily decline during their time at UK. And although I'll concede Lee was never projected as high as those guys, suffice to say he's not regarded as nearly as intriguing a prospect today as he was when arrived as a 5 Star McDonald's All American. And those guys are hardly alone, Cal's had other stock droppers as well (Teague, Harrow, Wiltjer, Goodwin, etc.).
And, fwiw, I'm not trying to be critical, but it does make me laugh when I see threads like these that make it sound like Cal has some magical power to raise anyone's draft stock, those folks seem to conveniently forget the guys whose projections went down instead of up while here.
Truth is we, like every program, have some guys whose stock rises while here (Harrelson, Booker, WCS, etc) and others who see big falls (and occasionally perhaps even someone who falls here but rises somewhere else--see Wiltjer/Gonzaga). Some hits, some misses, some rise, some fall. Just like nearly every program, no secret formula.
You know why Dakari's stock didn't improve but actually dropped this season? Because he regressed. Let's not act like it's Cal's fault that he fell out of the first round.
Nice team but very vulnerable with one good shooter, Booker, who tailed off the second half, and one small PG who would have been much easier to prepare for.I really think Johnson and the Twins should have left in 14. Their stock probably didn't improve much this season.
And we would not have had the whole undefeated season thing looming over our heads.
I wonder how far a team with Ulis, Booker, Lyles, WCS, and KAT starting and Lee and Hawkins off the bench could have gone in the tourney?
You know why Dakari's stock didn't improve but actually dropped this season? Because he regressed. Let's not act like it's Cal's fault that he fell out of the first round.
That's true. It helped the program that Dakari and the Harrisons came back. But it likely hurt the players and their draft position.You know why Dakari's stock didn't improve but actually dropped this season? Because he regressed. Let's not act like it's Cal's fault that he fell out of the first round.
Lacy is 6"5 and can shoot, he would have looked a lot better in Cal's system playing the wing. Late 1st round to early second. imoThis. Lacey was never going first round no matter where he went to school. He's an undersized, underathletic shooting guard with limited upside. Good college player, but never much of a pro prospect.
This myth our fans perpetuate about UK supposedly having some magic stock-rising power is laughable nonsense easily disproven by the facts. Believe it or not folks, we've had an awful lot of guys who actually see their pro stock take big drops during their time at UK, indeed we had quite a few just on this year's team alone (Dakari Johnson, Alex Poythress, Marcus Lee, the Harrison twins, etc.).
Actually he's 6"3 coming out of High School. I thought when we were recruiting him he was listed at 6"5. My bad.. Still if James Young can be a 1st rounder.. That was definitely the Ky affect..
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You have shown with this post you know absolutely nothing about basketball. Seriously.This. Lacey was never going first round no matter where he went to school. He's an undersized, underathletic shooting guard with limited upside. Good college player, but never much of a pro prospect.
This myth our fans perpetuate about UK supposedly having some magic stock-rising power is laughable nonsense easily disproven by the facts. Believe it or not folks, we've had an awful lot of guys who actually see their pro stock take big drops during their time at UK, indeed we had quite a few just on this year's team alone (Dakari Johnson, Alex Poythress, Marcus Lee, the Harrison twins, etc.).
Trevor is a way better shooter than Aaron it's not even close. I believe if Trevor attended UK he would have definitely been a first round pick.
Lacey might not have ever been first round. That's where I stop agreeing with you.
UK doesn't have magical stock rising powers. What we have is a system designed to benefit draft positions. Cal actually prefers a lot of players leave early. He doesn't push them out, but he believes in early exits. That actually does impact draft positions. Most coaches are not behaved that way. An example would be Rajon Rondo. I would bet dollars to donuts he's drafted above 21st if he played for a season or two under John Calipari. I could see s high as 5th actually.
For every player you name that has not helped his stock by coming here, I can name some that have. Is Cal supposed to improve the stock of every single player that walked through they door every single year? For what he does, he is absolutely the very best at getting players ready to leave early with a good pick.
I also don't see how Goodwin hurt his stock by coming here, and if Johnson played for anyone else he'd probably be seeing his third year coming. Just think about Johnson at UNC. He'd be back.
UK helps the draft stock of certain players a lot more relative to other programs. It might not be by some magical margin, but it's real. NBA GM's trust Cals eye for NBA ready high school kids.
There is nothing to support this. Look at all the players drafted from small schools. Where is the evidence that going to one particular school gets you drafted. UK gets players drafted first off because we get the best players. Second Cal has a system that features them right but that still won't matter if the player doesn't hold up his end of the bargain. Lacey didn't get drafted because he did nothing that NBA teams would want. Playing for UK would have just meant he would be fighting Hawkins for minutes.
I bet if he had to do it all over he would have signed with Kentucky. He would have definitely been drafted in the first round. He let family and friends interfere with his decision to sign with KY and now he goes undrafted poor kid.
That is a nonsensical comparison. There is a WORLD of difference between James Young and Trevor Lacey in terms of that all important physical "potential" that scouts love. The difference between Young and Lacey is not the "Ky effect", instead it's the "genetically gifted a better body" effect.
And, for the record, even that 6'3" listing was an exaggeratIon with Lacey. In reality, he's only about 6'1" without shoes and, in fact, at some of his pre-draft measurements, only measured around 6'1" and a half WITH SHOES (see Link). And, on top of that, he does not have special athleticism or speed, does not have a long wingspan, and his game is that of a wing/two, not a point.
How the hell do you think Cal was going to make that guy a first rounder? The problem with Lacey was NOT his skill development, in fact he developed nicely into a very good college player, instead the problem was that he simply did not have the kind of physical gifts--in terms of size, quickness, athleticism and wingspan--that NBA scouts look for in shooting guard prospects. How was Cal gonna fix that? He can't make him bigger, quicker or give him longer arms. Lacey would not have been a first rounder if he'd gone here, or anywhere else.
You've nothing to base that claim on other than self serving explanation. And why? Do you think the NBA scouts didn't know about Young until UK?
I can assure you they already did, as he was a 5 star Top 10 national recruit who was a wing/two prospect that stood over 6'6" (and nearly 6'7" with shoes), had a 7'0" wingspan, around a 36 inch standing vertical leap, was an extremely fluid athlete, with solid skills and a pretty jumper. THAT'S the reason why he's a first round draft pick but not guys like Lacey. Unlike the other prospects at his position, Young's body and physical tools were like the picture perfect prototype of all the physical attributes scouts look for in a wing/two prospect--when they looked at him words like "potential" and ""upside" immediately danced in their head.
You think the scouts would've somehow missed all that if he'd gone to Duke, Kansas or wherever else?
I don't think he'd been one and done at Kansas or Duke. He averages 3.4 points in the NBA and his prototypical NBA wing body gets him 1.4 rebounds game. He's not that good.
He might not be, but you're totally off if you think that you can judge that from his rookie stats.
How many guys do you think have come into the NBA and averaged 10 ppg as rookies the last 5 years? I'll tell you- 21. Slightly more than 4 per draft. And the vast majority of those played on terrible teams, meaning their stats were a function of opportunity as much as ability.
Here are the rookie numbers for 2 guys who have proven to be pretty damn good.
Draymond Green- 2.9 ppg, 3.3 rebounds, shot .327
Jimmy Butler- 2.6 ppg, 1.3 rebounds, shot .405.
And Young's rookie numbers weren't substantially different than guys in the same draft class, like Dante Exum, Nic Stauskas, Doug McDermott, Gary Harris, or Jordan Adams. Maybe none of those guys, Young included, turns out to be much of an NBA player. But it's way too early to judge.
I guess he was in the D-league his rookie year? The stats I quoted were from his 2nd year.
Huh?I guess he was in the D-league his rookie year? The stats I quoted were from his 2nd year.