ADVERTISEMENT

LSU Preview

Comebakatz3

All-American
Gold Member
Aug 8, 2008
39,466
28,641
113
I am going to start with the pitchers and I will try to get to the hitters later in the week:

We will start with their starters.

Zack Hess is their Friday night guy. The right-handed junior played on team USA last summer and was a Freshman All American in 2016. He has started 4 games in 2019 and is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA through 18.1 innings of work. He has given up 21 hits, 12 runs (10 earned) with 21 strikeouts and 11 walks. Opponents are hitting .280 against him. As a freshman Hess was pretty dominant. He appeared in 30 games and started 6. He had a 7-1 record and a 3.12 ERA while opponents hit just .182 against him. I’m not sure if he hit a sophomore slump in 2018 or if opposing hitters just figured him out, but he took a big step back with an ERA of 5.05. So far this year, he is obviously closer to the 5.05 mark than he is the 3.12. His best outing was probably this past Friday against California where he went 5.2 while giving up 2 earned runs off of 5 hits, 3 walks and 5 strikeouts. He probably isn’t the toughest pitcher UK will face this year, but the kid has proven that he has some good stuff.


After Hess things get shaky seemingly due to some injuries. Freshman right-hander Landon Marceaux started on Saturday in 3 of the 4 weekends, but last weekend he came out of the bullpen against California on Friday. Marceaux is struggling this season with a 1-1 record and a 7.90ERA. He has pitched 13.2 innings in his 4 appearances and given up 12 hits, 12 runs (all earned) with 9 walks and 11 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting .235 against him. So, looking at those stats, it seems like the kid struggles with some control and walks too many hitters. He seems to have good swing and miss stuff and according to his bio he has a 4 pitch mix. I imagine that LSU will continue to try to lean on him even if he doesn’t get a starting nod this weekend.


Freshman two-sport athlete Jaden Hill is a right handed quarterback and pitcher for LSU that got the nod for the Sunday starts in the first two weekends. He was impressive with 1-0 record and a 1.80 ERA in 10 innings of work in his two appearances. He gave up 2 runs (2 earned) on 2 hits with just 3 walks and 11 strikeouts while opponents hit just .162 against him. The strange thing is that he hasn’t pitched since the second Sunday against Bryant. It is unclear whether he suffered an injury or what is going on with him. A quick google search doesn’t really dig up any dirt, so I honestly don’t know what to think.


Eric Walker is another candidate to start this weekend. He is a redshirt sophomore right hander that earned Freshmen All-America honors in 2017, but tore his ulnar collateral ligament near the end of the year and underwent Tommy John’s surgery and sat out all of 2018. The Tigers seem to be easing him back into things, but I know they are itching to get more out of him. He has appeared in 5 games and started in 3. He has a 1-0 record and has worked 13 innings with a 6.92 ERA. Walker has given up 11 hits and opponents have scored 10 runs (all earned) against him while Walker has walked 6 and struck out 7. Opponents are hitting .229 against him. The righty has a three pitch mix, which you have to imagine that hitters might get more comfortable with as the game progresses. He was a starter as a freshman appearing and starting in 17 games with a 3.82 ERA. In 95.2 innings he gave up 37 earned runs on 83 hits with 78 strikeouts, 23 walks and opponents hitting .233 against him. He started against both Texas and California, so it really wouldn’t surprise me to see him out there on the bump this Sunday for the Tigers.


Freshman right hander Cole Henry has also thrown his name in the ring for candidates to start on the weekend. Henry mixes in three pitches, a mid-90s fastball, a 12-6 curve and a fading changeup, and he has worked this to some early success this season. He is yet to record a decision, but he has appeared in 5 games and started 2. In 12.2 innings of work opponents haven’t had trouble hitting him and have done so 15 times (.288), but thanks to 11 strikeouts he has limited the damage and has only given up 5 runs (4 earned). His latest start came on Saturday against California where he went 4 innings while giving up just 2 hits, with no runs, and striking out one. I am not sure, obviously, but given his success, last weekend, I look for him to get a starting nod.


So… my guess (and it is just that) is that we will see Hess on Friday, Henry on Saturday, and Walker on Sunday. We may get a dose Marceaux as well, but I think it will be out of the bullpen. Not sure about Hill given that he hasn’t pitched in several weeks. We may know more after their midweek games.

Out of the bullpen UK will see a lot of junior righty Matthew Beck. Beck has a low 90s fastball and has always largely been a bullpen guy for LSU. He largely will come in for relatively short stints, but he has pitched 3 innings once this year. Overall, he has appeared in 7 games and is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 10.1 innings pitched. He has given up 5 hits while and 2 runs (all earned) while walking 10 and striking out 8. So, while Beck is walking a lot of hitters, opponents are hitting just .143 against him and the big deal is that all 5 hits he has given up were singles.


Devin Fontenot is the next most prevalent pitcher that UK will see out of the bullpen. Fontenot is a sophomore right-hander with an upper-80s fastball. The sophomore has appeared in 7 games this year and is 2-0 in 11 innings of work. He has given up 6 hits, 4 runs (3 earned), with 6 walks and an impressive 13 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting .158 against him. This is a significant improvement over his performance a year ago where he appeared in 29 games, starting 2, and had a 6.18 ERA in 39.1 innings of work where he struck out 44, walked 15, and opponents hit .232 against him.

Ma’Khail Hilliard is another that has made quite a few appearances early on. Hilliard is another right hander, this time a sophomore. A year ago he appeared in 17 games and started 12 of them while going 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA with 70 strikeouts, and 31 walks in 76 innings. Opponents hit .247 against him. He returns after being named a Freshman All- American and has appeared in 4 games with 1 start and has thrown just 5.1 innings. Opponents are batting just .111 against him. He has given up 2 hits, 2 runs (1 earned) while striking out 8 and walking 4. He will feature an upper-80s fastball as well as a 12-6 curve. Hilliard is practically perfect in his work, with his big blemish actually coming in his one start where he went 1.1, gave up the runs and one hit and walked 2. LSU also plays two midweek games this week (Northwestern State and Texas Southern), so we will get an idea of whether or not we will see him this weekend if he starts and goes a ways in either of these two games.

Trent Vietmeier is another sophomore righty that UK will see out of the bullpen. He has also appeared in 7 games this year and features an upper-80s fastball with a curve. He has thrown 6.2 innings this year and is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA while giving up 2 runs (both earned) on 6 hits with 7 strikeouts and a walk. Opponents are hitting .214 against him.

UK could also see Clay Moffitt (0.00 ERA with 1.2 innings of work), Riggs Threadgill (5.06 ERA with 5.1 innings), Aaron George (6.35 ERA with 5.2 innings), Todd Peterson (9.00 with 7 innings), Chase Costello (11.37 in 6.1) and Rye Gunter (27.00 in 1.1). All of these are righties.



Fun fact… UK will face absolutely ZERO left-handed pitchers this weekend. LSU features just one lefty on their entire roster and he is a freshman who has yet to see the mound in 2019. It is possible that changes this week, but given that it is week 4, I would think this young man is redshirting.


LSU as a team has an ERA of 5.05, which is now last in the SEC just below our very own Wildcats (4.50). The big problem for LSU is that they cannot seem to avoid the walks, having given up 78 free ones in 128.1 innings (UK has given up 66 in 132). LSU is also last in the league in strikeouts with 127. UK has 170. Opponents are hitting .235 against them (UK is .230), which is something like 3rd or 4th worst in the league. So, UK hitters need to be very patient and not fear the strikeout this weekend.
 
I swear I think Antoine Duplantis is at least 30 by now. It seems like he has been there since the Reagan administration. :)
 
I swear I think Antoine Duplantis is at least 30 by now. It seems like he has been there since the Reagan administration. :)

Yea, when I saw him on the roster I was like, 'WTH? Is that his brother? Are there more of him? How?!"

I imagine that opponents feel the same with Shelby continuing to pop up on the UK roster. haha
 
  • Like
Reactions: Big_Blue_1018
LSU will probably go like this at the plate:

Smith
Watson
Duplantis
Cabrera
Garza
Reid
Beloso
Mathis
Hughes

They hit .290 as a team with 28 doubles, 1 triple, and 18 home runs. They have walked 59 times while striking out 99. They are 12 of 14 on stolen bases. Their slugging percentage is .460 and their OB% is .379.

I will break down individual players later.
 
When I looked at the schedule preseason, this looked like a nightmare series opener for UK as there aren't many atmospheres tougher than LSU in the SEC.

Now that we're in mid march, LSU has looked downright pedestrian. They got killed in Austin and have been damn lucky not to lose another 3-4 games along the way.

I believe that this series is absolutely critical for UK. Getting swept is a disaster. If UK can somehow win 2 of 3, then they come home for a manageable series against A&M with some confidence and a realistic hope of winning. Even winning one game will keep hope alive.
 
When I looked at the schedule preseason, this looked like a nightmare series opener for UK as there aren't many atmospheres tougher than LSU in the SEC.

Now that we're in mid march, LSU has looked downright pedestrian. They got killed in Austin and have been damn lucky not to lose another 3-4 games along the way.

I believe that this series is absolutely critical for UK. Getting swept is a disaster. If UK can somehow win 2 of 3, then they come home for a manageable series against A&M with some confidence and a realistic hope of winning. Even winning one game will keep hope alive.

Couldn't have said it better myself.
 
  • Like
Reactions: sluggercatfan
Shortstop junior Josh Smith will bat from the left side and in the leadoff spot. He is having one heck a year and is 22 for 55 (.400) with 19 runs, 5 doubles, 1 home run and 10 RBIs. He has walked 4 times while striking out 9 with a .468 OB%. When he gets on he will take advantage of chances to swipe some bases and is 4-4 on the year. He has a couple of errors on the year (.950 fld%). He was a freshman All American.

Junior right-handed hitter Zach Watson will likely be manning centerfield for the Tigers. He is a highly regarded player winning Freshman All American honors in 2017, and a gold glove in 2018 as well as being named to the USA Collegiate baseball team. This season he is 19 for 60 (.317) with 14 runs, 6 doubles, and 9 RBIs. He has 4 walks and 9 strikeouts with a .364 OB%. He is a kid that has some speed to spare and is 4-4 on stolen bases.

11th year senior left-hander (haha) Antoine Duplantis returns to play right field. He is having a very good year at the plate going 22 of 63 (.349) with 2 doubles and 4 home runs. He has drawn 6 walks and 5 strikeouts .400 OB%. He has some ability to steal but hasn't done it much, 1-2, this season. Duplantis is a small guy (5'11 177), but clearly he has a big swing. He will be a dangerous hitter in the 3 hole and has an outstanding 24 RBIs so far. He was also on the USA Collegiate team.

Daniel Cabrera will bat from the left side and play left field. The sophomore returns after being named to last year's Freshman All-American team and also playing for the USA Collegiate team this past summer. He is hitting .283 (15 for 53) with 3 doubles, 17 RBIs and 4 home runs. He has walked 9 times and struck out 11 .391 OB%.

Saul Garza may very well hit in the five hole and will be the first player that UK faces in the lineup that doesn't have 'All-American' or USA Collegiate Baseball on his resume. Garza is a right-handed junior who will either DH or will be behind the plate. He is 9 of 34 (.265) in 2019 with 4 runs, 2 doubles and 8 RBIs. He has walked twice and struck out 9 times with a .282 OB%.

Left-handed hitting Chris Reid returns for his senior campaign and will largely play third base. Reid has come on as of late and worked his way into the starting lineup thanks to a .346 average (9 for 26) with 7 runs, 3 doubles and 1 home run to go with 7 RBIs. He has walked 6 times while just striking out 3 and has an OB% of .471.

Cade Beloso is a left-handed freshman first baseman who is hitting .271 (13 for 48) with 8 runs and 4 home runs to go with 15 RBIs. He has struck out 7 times and walked 3 with an OB% of .302. It is interesting to note that his only extra base hits are home runs, and despite that he has 15 RBIs. So, he is pretty efficient with singles when runners are in scoring position.

The other Tiger catching option is righty sophomore Brock Mathis. Mathis is actually a JUCO transfer from Northwest Florida State. He is 10 for 44 (.227) with 2 doubles, a triple, and 3 home runs with 6 RBIs. He has struck out 10 times while walking 4, but has also been hit by 4 pitches. His OB% is .340, so while he isn’t hitting that well he is finding ways to get on base and has scored 11 runs.

The alliteratively named Hal Hughes is a righty sophomore that will likely be at second base. He is hitting .208 (10 for 48) with 8 runs, 2 doubles and 5 RBIs. He has walked 9 times and struck out 10 with an OB% of .356.

Off the bench, and possibly starting will be senior right handed second-baseman Off the bench, and possibly starting will be senior right handed second-baseman Brandt Broussard. Broussard transferred to LSU in 2017, and this year is hitting a lowly .161 (5 for 31) with 9 runs, 5 walks and 4 strikeouts. Broussard was starting and has started in 11 of the LSU games, but he has somewhat recently taken a backseat presumably due to his offensive struggles.

Giovanni DiGiacomo is a left-handed hitting freshman with speed to burn. He is often hitting in the DH, but might also be a defensive sub in the outfield. He is 7 for 26 (.269) with a double and three RBIs. He has walked 4 times and struck out 10 with an OB% of (.375). He is two for two on stolen bases.

Drew Bianco is another regular player for the Tigers. Bianco is a freshman who hits from the right side and hails from Oxford, Miss. You may recognize the name and the location given that Drew is the son of Ole Miss head coach, and LSU alum, Mike Bianco. Drew Bianco plays in the infield and will likely see some action this weekend. He is struggling at the plate hitting .130 (3 for 23) with 4 runs, a double, and a home run to go with 3 RBIs. He has walked just once, has been hit 4 times and has struck out 10 with an OB% of .286.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Black Diamond Cat
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT