Kentucky Win Total O/U 8 Wins

[YaketySax]

ESPN’s main CFB gambling guys talk UK starting at 39:40 mark:

U.S. Open Preview; Early College Football Lines & Win Totals

Podcast Episode · Stanford Steve & The Bear · 06/14/2022 · 1h 8m

podcasts.apple.com

They lean the under. The juice is pretty heavy on the over. I wish I could bet 8 wins exactly for +150 odds

 

[HerrosHeroes]

Depends on CRod and if he plays and how many games he plays and what games he plays.

 

[Dddjdd]

Depends on CRod and if he plays and how many games he plays and what games he plays.

If he doesn’t play at all I don’t see us hitting 9. If he’s only suspended four games then I think we get there. Say it costs us the FL game (not a sure thing) we could drop UGA and one other.

 

[bluejohnson]

Over, whether crod plays or not

 

[why_not_kentucky]

Yeah this is something I'd stay away from right now. I agree with others that CRod is the factor.

 

[USMC Cat]

I think people are putting way too much emphasis on CRod.

Good running teams don't always good running backs.

NFL teams regularly use a dozen RBs throughout the season with little change in output.

There's a reason NFL teams don't put a premium on the position.

 

[bumpstock]

I think people are putting way too much emphasis on CRod.

Good running teams don't always good running backs.

NFL teams regularly use a dozen RBs throughout the season with little change in output.

There's a reason NFL teams don't put a premium on the position.

And...the Transfer Portal is full of 'em.

 

[jauk11]

And...the Transfer Portal is full of 'em.

Sure, they are a dime a dozen. LOL Who told you that, mitch?

 

[Blueaz]

I’ve only seen 8.5. I’ll take 8…. Worst case would be a push. IMO

 

[HerrosHeroes]

I think people are putting way too much emphasis on CRod.

Good running teams don't always good running backs.

NFL teams regularly use a dozen RBs throughout the season with little change in output.

There's a reason NFL teams don't put a premium on the position.

With all due respect:
A. This is not the NFL
B. We are talking about potentially the greatest running back in UK history and I say that because if he plays a full season he will break Snell’s all time UK record for most yards by a RB.
Devastating loss if Rodriguez cant play.

 

[backinky2018]

It's devastating if he doesn't play but doesn't mean that we cannot still have a great season. I like our odds at the over a LOT more if he plays b/c he is great at converting late game clock-grinding first downs (see South Carolina game last year).

 

[UKWildcats1987]

I am going to say it ends up being 8 exactly.

Can this team beat UGA? Can this team win at FL without CJ? Can we win at UT? Can we win at Ole Miss? I would say those are the 4 most challenging games on paper. The other 8 we should win...but if we can win of the above can see 9-3 again. After last year I just cannot in good faith predict 10-2 or better until shown it can be done. The MSU & UT games last year were nightmares.

 

[KYHasATimeoutIfTheyWannaUseIt]

I’ve only seen 8.5. I’ll take 8…. Worst case would be a push. IMO

Would definitely take under 8 or 8.5. Wouldn’t mind to lose the money obviously but too many things can go wrong vs. Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Tennessee. Not to mention Missouri and a rivalry game.

 

[ArtLaibsGhost]

We haven't won an SEC West roadgame in about 10 or11 years, so I can't pick us over Ole Miss, lose to UGA, lose at the Swamp, and lose in Knoxville. 8-4.

 

[Grs51]

And...the Transfer Portal is full of 'em.

Georgia will be a problem but with this schedule they could run the table. Stoops may not be a great coach but he is one hell of a scheduler

 

[USMC Cat]

With all due respect:
A. This is not the NFL
B. We are talking about potentially the greatest running back in UK history and I say that because if he plays a full season he will break Snell’s all time UK record for most yards by a RB.
Devastating loss if Rodriguez cant play.

Until the next 3 yr starter, which probably won't be that far down the road.

CRod has had the benefit of running behind the greatest offensive line that this university has ever seen, and maybe ever will see, for several years.

Consider me one of those who thinks Lynn Bowden as a 3yr starter (1500 rushing yards in one season at 8ypc) would absolutely demolish several school records.

 

[satcheluk]

With or without CRod, I’d say 9 is more likely than 7, so I’d take the over if forced to choose, but I’m definitely not laying as much as I did last year when I dropped $10k on UK over 7.

 

[KYHasATimeoutIfTheyWannaUseIt]

Vandy is gonna come through for me over 2.5, BTW. Gonna get started in week zero. Hawaii surfer boys ain’t got nothin’ on my nerds.

 

[Blisterpac]

My buddy and I bet UK at the Over, 6 1/2 wins in 2019, with a split of 5K if we won. That's the year we lost two QBs and Lynn Bowden took over.
We went to the Louisville game and needed it for win #7. I was pretty confident that we could take them out, although I was holding a tight one when they hit the long pass for the 1st TD of the game.
I don't care for putting up 1.5K to win 1 though.

 

[The-Hack]

We went to the Louisville game and needed it for win #8.

Louisville in 2019 provided our 7th win; VPI provided our 8th win for a finish of 8-5.

If you bet “over” on 7 wins, as I understand it, the bowl does not count, and you would have pushed.

 

[Blisterpac]

Louisville in 2019 provided our 7th win; VPI provided our 8th win for a finish of 8-5.

If you bet “over” on 7 wins, as I understand it, the bowl does not count, and you would have pushed.

You're right. It was 7 wins. For some reason, I changed it to 8 this morning. We did collect the 5K. I had to drive to Tunica, Ms to collect it since there was not a sports book closer at that time.

 

[YaketySax]

I like plus money bets. Given that, I would take UK u8 wins at +150 before I take them o8 wins -150 or whatever it was previously.

[This is a comment about objective betting and not about subjective bias of teams i root for to be clear]

 

[The-Hack]

You're right. It was 7 wins.

I think the over/under that year, post Benny Snell and Josh was 6 or 6.5.

 

[Blisterpac]

I think the over/under that year, post Benny Snell and Josh was 6 or 6.5.

Right again. I have corrected it in my original post. Apparently, the best my memory could do was the win against UL and collecting the 5K

 

[MrHotDice]

Yeah this is something I'd stay away from right now. I agree with others that CRod is the factor.

If your season hangs on if a RB plays, your recruiting not very good.