I don't envy the playoff committee

[gamecockcat]

Could envision a scenario where Bama beats Georgia in a close game in SEC. OSU - MI is a nail biter. Oregon beats UDub in another close one. TX runs the table. You've got 6 1-loss teams with legit arguments to being in the playoffs with only 3 slots available. OSU - MI winner is in. Now what?

Normally, these things work themselves out but not crazy to think the above happens.

 

[Grumpyolddawg]

Could envision a scenario where Bama beats Georgia in a close game in SEC. OSU - MI is a nail biter. Oregon beats UDub in another close one. TX runs the table. You've got 6 1-loss teams with legit arguments to being in the playoffs with only 3 slots available. OSU - MI winner is in. Now what?

Normally, these things work themselves out but not crazy to think the above happens.

Bama still has to beat AU, not a giveme any year and Reverend Freeze has a history of beating them. If that happened and Bama beats us, then SEC is out. Bama has gotten the benefit of the doubt before, but with 2-3 and 3-4 1 loss P5 teams don't see Bama getting in with 2 losses.

 

[_ukcat]

ACC with FSU or UL( man can't believe I even had to add UL) is out this year you got to think. You going to get Ga. and if Bama beats them in Championship that 1 or 2 teams there. Got Mich. or OSU so that that 2 or 3 locks in Playoffs. Then Ore/Washington/Texas all before you get to FSU if they undefeated.

 

[Tskware]

Maybe a defacto 8 team playoff: assuming no other losses, OSU-Mich winner; UGA -Bama winner; Oregon- Washington winner, plus FSU if they are 13-0, Texas would get left out, but they have won a lot of nail biters this year, so I could see them as the odd man out

 

[TucsonCat]

Pretty simple.
If louisville wins acc, the other 4 conference champions advance.
They lost to Pitt by 17, they are not getting in.

Real question is if FSU and Big 10 wins and Geogria wins:
who gets in from Oregon and Texas.

 

[UKWildcats1987]

Maybe a defacto 8 team playoff: assuming no other losses, OSU-Mich winner; UGA -Bama winner; Oregon- Washington winner, plus FSU if they are 13-0, Texas would get left out, but they have won a lot of nail biters this year, so I could see them as the odd man out

If the committee leaves out 12 and 1 Texas over a 12 and 1 bama team Texas beat the committee is gonna have to do some explaining.

Maybe they can just rank bama 1 and Texas 5 to justify it.

I personally feel in that scenario fsu should be left out as they are the weakest team and didn't play a strong schedule but an undefeated acc champ won't be left out.

 

[BigBlue1992]

They’ll have to take a one loss Texas over a one loss Alabama, although if that game was played today it’d likely be a different outcome.

Then again, if Alabama wins out and beats Georgia who hasn’t lost a game in like almost 3 years, they’re getting in. They’ll have to accept the SEC champion.

Plus the Big 12 is really really bad.

 

[UKWildcats1987]

They’ll have to take a one loss Texas over a one loss Alabama, although if that game was played today it’d likely be a different outcome.

Then again, if Alabama wins out and beats Georgia who hasn’t lost a game in like almost 3 years, they’re getting in. They’ll have to accept the SEC champion.

Plus the Big 12 is really really bad.

I agree and I believe if they rank bama 1st and Texas 5th they can say they weren't considered close enough for head to head to come into play.

To be honest i don't see alabama beating uga anyways.

 

[ManitouDan]

Long as Tosu gets left out I'm happy . No cares about the rest .

 

[gamecockcat]

Id forgotten about FSU. If they're 13-0, I can't see how they are left out. Great tradition, big win over LSU and all others on the schedule. A 1-loss B10 or B12 shouldn't be chosen over FSU, imo, if they're 13-0.

Seems like whoever gets in, there could be at least 2 or 3 with only one loss who will be pissed.

 

[FirewithFire]

Right now it looks like everything will be decided in the conference playoff games.

It will be interesting to see the mental gymnastics at play to get OSU into the playoffs if they loose to Michigan.

A two loss Alabama team isn't going near the playoffs and I don't see them beating Georgia.

If Washington can handle Oregon State then they will likely play Oregon for a trip to the playoffs.

Texas will have to dance with Oklahoma / K State. I haven't kept up with the big 12 so idk.

Hard to think that Looserville might beat Florida State and go to the playoffs.

 

[UKWildcats1987]

Right now it looks like everything will be decided in the conference playoff games.

It will be interesting to see the mental gymnastics at play to get OSU into the playoffs if they loose to Michigan.

A two loss Alabama team isn't going near the playoffs and I don't see them beating Georgia.

If Washington can handle Oregon State then they will likely play Oregon for a trip to the playoffs.

Texas will have to dance with Oklahoma / K State. I haven't kept up with the big 12 so idk.

Hard to think that Looserville might beat Florida State and go to the playoffs.

If fsu goes 13 and 0, Georgia 13-0, Michigan 13-0 and either Oregon, Washington or Texas finish as a 12 and 1 or better conference champ osu has 0 shot.

 

[rick64]

Just think next year we’ll be arguing over why this team or that team didn’t get in the top 12. 🙄

 

[UKWildcats1987]

Just think next year we’ll be arguing over why this team or that team didn’t get in the top 12. 🙄

As I said in another thread I'll turn the channel or radio dial if the analysts start covering that. It's boring and those teams have little to no chance of winning the title.

 

[Ugoff]

Just think next year we’ll be arguing over why this team or that team didn’t get in the top 12. 🙄

Let 'em. It's what they do. I'd rather include all the top teams than cut #5.

 

[Larry00]

Controls their own destiny…
Georgia-win out at 13-0 (in), Mich/OSU winner-win out at 13-0 (in), Washington-win out at 13-0 (in), FSU-win out at 13-0 (in). 4 undefeated Power 5 teams, from 4 different conferences…NCAA committee wet dream!!

Left out in the cold…
Liberty at 13-0 (possibly), JMU at 13-0 (possibly), OSU/Mich loser with 1 loss, Texas with 1 loss, Tulane with 1 loss, Toledo with 1 loss, and a plethora of really good 2 loss teams.

Now just for sh!ts and giggles…

No way I see the loser of the OSU/Mich game losing to Iowa in the BIG 10 Championship, so they’re safe at 13-0, but the loser ends up 11-1??

Georgia loses to Bama in the SEC Championship…Two 12-1 SEC teams??

Washington loses to Oregon in the PAC 12 Championship…Two 12-1 PAC 12 teams that beat each other??

FSU loses to UL in the ACC Championship…Two 12-1 ACC teams??

Texas wins the BIG 12 Championship and finishes 12-1??

Toledo wins the MAC Championship and finishes 12-1??

Tulane wins the AAC Championship and finishes 12-1??

JMU wins the Sunbelt Championship, and Liberty wins the Conference USA Championship, and both finish 13-0??

You could have 3 teams at 13-0, 9 teams at 12-1, and 1 team at 11-1. Cluster!!!!!!!

 

[Fox2monk]

If the committee leaves out 12 and 1 Texas over a 12 and 1 bama team Texas beat the committee is gonna have to do some explaining.

Maybe they can just rank bama 1 and Texas 5 to justify it.

I personally feel in that scenario fsu should be left out as they are the weakest team and didn't play a strong schedule but an undefeated acc champ won't be left out.

Which sucks because the ACC sucks and the 1 or 2 loss teams are arguably all better.

 

[Cardinals19702]

If fsu goes 13 and 0, Georgia 13-0, Michigan 13-0 and either Oregon, Washington or Texas finish as a 12 and 1 or better conference champ osu has 0 shot.

Most Bowl projection sites have Michigan in the Top 4 and Ohio St vs Louisville in the Orange Bowl. Should Louisville play FSU for the ACC Championship and win. I still think the best a 12-1 Louisville team could do is the Orange Bowl unless they get help by a bunch of teams taking losses.

 

[mcwildcats04]

I just hope Michigan and OSU don't both get in.

 

[_ukcat]

Just think next year we’ll be arguing over why this team or that team didn’t get in the top 12. 🙄

At least we know UK will not be mentioned

 

[gamalielkid]

Could envision a scenario where Bama beats Georgia in a close game in SEC. OSU - MI is a nail biter. Oregon beats UDub in another close one. TX runs the table. You've got 6 1-loss teams with legit arguments to being in the playoffs with only 3 slots available. OSU - MI winner is in. Now what?

Normally, these things work themselves out but not crazy to think the above happens.

UK could be a huge factor in the decision process. Here's my thoughts. If Louisville were to win the ACC or give Florida State a really tough game and UK beats Louisville at Louisville - what does that say about Georgia and Alabama - the way they both delivered absolute beat downs of UK? SEC fans really believe the SEC is full of good teams - a UK win would over U of L would prove that point to everyone and anyone watching.

Go Big Blue!

 

[CardHack]

Even with a loss in the SEC Title game I think Georgia has to be in and Alabama beats Georgia you certainly have to put them in. The Texans will howl on that one loss to OU having beaten Bama in Tuscaloosa. It would also be a huge disservice if the PAC10 winner isn't in if they are on one loss if it is Oregon or Washington (who is currently undefeated despite not playing exceptional football the last three weeks).

It is setup now to really maximize intrigue; an undefeated conference champion theoretically should be a lock which is the position Georgia, Washington, Michigan, Ohio State and Florida State find themselves in. If I'm a betting man Washington has a real tough matchup in Corvallis with Oregon State. That's a tough physical followup to playing Utah.

 

[ManitouDan]

Oh how I would love 2 SEC teams, Ga losses to Bama in the SEC title game , both get in .. the b!g T!n fans would jump off bridges .. wonderful . And to even Lil Brother name mentioned going to prime bowl game makes me want to puke . While we debate how not to get murdered against SEC teams . sucks

 

[truebluewildcat]

Don't think two teams from a conference are getting in this year.

It's setting up for what a great play off should be. The best team from 4 conferences.

If Bama wins out beats UGA they're in...if for no other reason than recency bias/prisoner of the moment.

Not sure we have to worry about that scenario, I think the dawgs overall are better.

The question is what it always is until the playoff expands...which great team and what conference/market is getting left out?

That's where money, demographics, ratings come in. You figure play off committee and big corporate partners want a west coast team, they want a mid-west/rust belt/bread basket team, and a southeast/bible belt team.

Now the question is who they want between Texas and FSU. Do they figure that the south is covered with the SEC team and error on the side of the Texas sports market or are the Florida football nutters going to be more lucrative?

 

[gamecockcat]

If a Pac 12 team (i.e., WA remains unbeaten) has a legitimate claim, I think they get in if for no other reason to pull in the West Coast and because they haven't been represented in the CFP recently.

An undefeated FSU will have to be included - they've been in the top 4 for a while and I can't see a 1-loss team jumping them if they remain undefeated.

Winner of OSU-MI will surely wax the B10 West in their championship game so the winner of that game is definitely in.

That leaves Bama-Georgia. If the Dogs win, they're automatically in. If Bama wins by 2+ TDs, I think they'll automatically get in. If it's a very close game that Bama pulls out late - who knows? Would TX jump both if they're 12-1? Would a close loss to Oregon in the Pac12 championship game disqualify both Oregon and Washington? If Oregon beats UDub by 3+ TDs, would they jump into the mix?

Some team who is really good and has a reasonable argument to be included is going to be left out - maybe more than 1 team. Too bad we don't have a 6-team (which I've always thought was the ideal number) playoff this year. Other years, there weren't 6 teams who legitimately could have any claim. But, this year, there are definitely that many.

 

[ReggThaCard]

I’m a Louisville fan and no matter what we do we have absolutely no chance in hell making the playoffs. You guys will be our toughest team we face this year. We have a better shot at beating FSU.

 

[CardHack]

If a Pac 12 team (i.e., WA remains unbeaten) has a legitimate claim, I think they get in if for no other reason to pull in the West Coast and because they haven't been represented in the CFP recently.

An undefeated FSU will have to be included - they've been in the top 4 for a while and I can't see a 1-loss team jumping them if they remain undefeated.

Winner of OSU-MI will surely wax the B10 West in their championship game so the winner of that game is definitely in.

That leaves Bama-Georgia. If the Dogs win, they're automatically in. If Bama wins by 2+ TDs, I think they'll automatically get in. If it's a very close game that Bama pulls out late - who knows? Would TX jump both if they're 12-1? Would a close loss to Oregon in the Pac12 championship game disqualify both Oregon and Washington? If Oregon beats UDub by 3+ TDs, would they jump into the mix?

Some team who is really good and has a reasonable argument to be included is going to be left out - maybe more than 1 team. Too bad we don't have a 6-team (which I've always thought was the ideal number) playoff this year. Other years, there weren't 6 teams who legitimately could have any claim. But, this year, there are definitely that many.

If somebody beats Georgia by 2+ touchdowns they have my vote as not only being in the CFP, I'd give them a battlefield commission as the #1 seed.

 

[gamecockcat]

If somebody beats Georgia by 2+ touchdowns they have my vote as not only being in the CFP, I'd give them a battlefield commission as the #1 seed.

Georgia has had some halves where they looked sort of pedestrian this year. Against a quality Bama team, if they have one of those days (or commit a bunch of turnovers), Bama is certainly capable of winning by 14+. I wouldn't bet that way, of course, but anything can happen in one game.

 

[Grumpyolddawg]

Georgia has had some halves where they looked sort of pedestrian this year. Against a quality Bama team, if they have one of those days (or commit a bunch of turnovers), Bama is certainly capable of winning by 14+. I wouldn't bet that way, of course, but anything can happen in one game.

You are 100% correct, we have had several games it just didn't start the game very well. But adjustments is the staff's strength and got things under control. And we have looked unmotivated more than once. Of course I want to win, but UGA has been fun to watch this year.

 

[wkucat88]

It'll go this way: B1G champ, PAC12 champ, SEC champ, and either Big 12 champ or undefeated FSU.

 

[yoshukai]

I’m a Louisville fan and no matter what we do we have absolutely no chance in hell making the playoffs. You guys will be our toughest team we face this year. We have a better shot at beating FSU.

Come on man . We aren’t better than FSU or Notre Dame . Losing to Pittsburgh is a bad loss though.