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How high of a seed can we get?

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Rush2112 UK

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Dec 3, 2006
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Best case scenario (?) for this team: win out at home, win 2 of remaining 4 (a tall order) on the road, win the SEC tournament.

I'm thinking that would land us in the 5-6-7 range. Thoughts?
 
IDK but I wish we had taken care of some business and sewn up a spot in the Louisville Regional. I'm afraid that is gone unless we win out out may lose 1 more.

As of now, I think our realistic ceiling on seeding is a 4.
 
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jedwar said:
IDK but I wish we had taken care of some business and sewn up a spot in the Louisville Regional. I'm afraid that is gone unless we win out out may lose 1 more.

As of now, I think our realistic ceiling on seeding is a 4.
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You're probably correct, but God only knows the way this season is shaping up for every other school. Multiple teams will be in our scenario. Feel bad for the committee who has to select...
 
Rush2112 UK said:
Best case scenario (?) for this team: win out at home, win 2 of remaining 4 (a tall order) on the road, win the SEC tournament.

I'm thinking that would land us in the 5-6-7 range. Thoughts?
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I think 8 losses and winning the conference tourney could and should make us a 3 seed. Most teams are going to have 6 or more losses this year and one of the number one's could have six losses. I think UK will be a low 3 or a high 4 seed. Based on your scenario.

Go Big Blue!
 
I'm not quite sure but do know one thing- this team looks like it can control its destiny to at least a 3 seed with all of these top 25 teams dropping like flies. Win out and a two seed and a Louisville regional is not out of the question.
 
Regular season road games are an adventure. The NCAA (and SEC) has adopted the philosophy "home wins fill seats." Worse case scenario is we win all home games, lose all the road games and win minimal 3 in the SEC tourney. We end up 24 and 11...and a seven seed (possibly 8-9). However, the officiating tends to level out on neutral courts and the tourneys and we will have good chance regardless of who we draw. 2011 and 2014 for example. JMHO.
 
I believe if we go 7-1 remaining SEC season and 3 in the SEC Tourney then we easily move up to #3 seed at Selection Sunday. That would put us 27-7 and 17-4 in SEC including SECTourney. With how the other teams in the top 25 have lost 5 or more if we can finish this strong we should be sitting at a #3 seed in the South Region in Louisville. That would put us vs. #2 seed in Sweet 16 game and #1 Seed in Elite 8 for a trip to the FF. If we get a South Region #3 seed that would be Awesome being in Louisville and pack houses for both Sweet 16 and Elite 8 game for UK! We just need to keep winning and the other teams that lost today continue to get upset and we should be sitting in the South Region #3 Seed! We also need good news with Poythress Right knee.
 
JFCats22 said:
Highest possible is probably a 4 at this point.

Highest likely seed? IMO, a 6 or 7.

Probable seed? Somewhere in the 7-9 range
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Spot on.
We have tough road games coming up. Don't see us winning out so I think we are looking at a 7 or 8 seed honestly. Those Tennessee, Ohio state and Auburn losses really hurt.
 
jedwar said:
IDK but I wish we had taken care of some business and sewn up a spot in the Louisville Regional. I'm afraid that is gone unless we win out out may lose 1 more.

As of now, I think our realistic ceiling on seeding is a 4.
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Yep. Imo, unless UK is a 1 or 2 seed, I don't see the committee doing them any favors and putting them in the Louisville Regional.
 
ZenCatFan73 said:
The way things are going nationwide, I think it's better than most believe. A 3 or 4 is not out of the question.
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People are grossly overestimating the field.

If we were able to win out, including the SEC tourney, which I don't think will happen but is possible, we'd be a 6 loss high major (which most years means 3 seed at worst) in an awful year where the average one seed is going to have 5.

We'd be in contention for a 2 seed.

More likely we lose two more on the road and get a 3 or 4 depending on if we win the SEC tourney.
 
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Hell, the way everyone keeps losing, who knows. If we win out and certain teams stumble, we could be a 1. Right now 3-6 seems like us if status quo continues with us and all the other teams stumbling.
 
As of right now I would guess we are likely a 6 seed.

11 teams that we are unlikely to pass in seeding unless we win out or they have a collapse.

Oklahoma
North Carolina
Kansas
Villanova
Xavier
Virginia
Maryland
Iowa
Michigan State
West Virginia
Iowa State

9 Teams that are likely currently ahead of us as of right now

Texas A&M
Oregon
Texas
Miami-FL
Purdue
Providence
USC
Baylor
Dayton

Following teams that are likely close to where we are now in seeding

Utah
Indiana
Arizona
Wichita State
Duke
Notre Dame

I would guess if Kentucky wins at Texas A&M and wins 1 of the other 3 road games and win all home games and SEC tournament you would likely be looking at a 4 seed.
 
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I still don't see us being 7-9 seed like a few people are saying in this thread. No way are we that low. But even if we were, I would not be scared to play any #1 in the second game.
 
So fluid right now. And the good news is it's fluid for all. EVERYBODY seems to keep losing so it's not as bad as it seems

3-4 with a turnaround
8-9 or even out if they keep getting beat on the road. The losses will add up

Anticipating something in between coming in at a 5-6 and probably actually have a good tourney showing since tbere are no "road" games
 
HenryMuto said:
As of right now I would guess we are likely a 6 seed.

11 teams that we are unlikely to pass in seeding unless we win out or they have a collapse.

Oklahoma
North Carolina
Kansas
Villanova
Xavier
Virginia
Maryland
Iowa
Michigan State
West Virginia
Iowa State

9 Teams that are likely currently ahead of us as of right now

Texas A&M
Oregon
Texas
Miami-FL
Purdue
Providence
USC
Baylor
Dayton

Following teams that are likely close to where we are now in seeding

Utah
Indiana
Arizona
Wichita State
Duke
Notre Dame

I would guess if Kentucky wins at Texas A&M and wins 1 of the other 3 road games and win all home games and SEC tournament you would likely be looking at a 4 seed.
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Seems like a reasonable assessment to me strictly as a slice in time, but I don't believe that all the teams at a given place as of today have the same trajectory - for example, before today, we had possibly our 4 best games of the season out of the prior 5.

And then today we had a fairly ho-hum game overall and still absolutely beat the crap out of a Florida that was 15-7 when they came in (in other words, not terrible).

So we are doing our typical Cal late-season improvement - in the mean time, IU has lost to two unranked teams in the last four, and 5 of their last 7 opponents are ranked, 4 of which are in the top 10... Baylor has lost their last 2, and half of their remaining opponents are ranked... etc

There are a bunch of teams you listed who are either not improving like we are, who have a much worse schedule than we do, or both.

So I think a higher seed than 6 is most likely on that basis.
 
I am saying if the season ended today and they made a bracket we would likely be a 6 seed as those teams have done enough to be ahead of us right now.

If Kentucky can win a bunch of games of course they can move up past some of them as not all of them will keep winning.

Problem is if Kentucky loses at A&M or at South Carolina or at Florida or at Vanderbilt then back down you go and you have to win more games to get back to where you began.

Win out and this team could possibly be a 2 seed because you would pick up a huge road win at A&M, two top 30 RPI wins at Florida and at South Carolina, a top 60 RPI win at Vandy and then get another couple high RPI wins in the tournament.

Now if we lose a couple games which is very likely now your talking around a 4 seed.

If we lose all 4 road games then we might be talking 5-6 seed if we win the SEC tournament.

If we lose all 4 road games and then lose in the SEC tournament we would likely be looking at a 6-8 seed (we would have more losses than we did in 2014 when we got an 8 seed we would be 23-11 we were 24-10 in 20140
 
3-5 If we keep playing Like we did today. Heck with this year and everyone losing I can see us up to a 2 Win out win SEC and have teams in top 25 keep losing more. Its a crazy year for sure!
 
Best case a 2 if we win our next 11 and are sitting at 28-6 on Selection Sunday.

Id'd say likely a 4-6 with a record around 25-9.

Worst case an 8-10 seed and that would include winning out at home, losing out on the road and winning 2 in the SECT
 
If we can't get s 3 seed then I would hope for a 6, so we can stay away from the 1 seeds until the Elite Eight....unless we can get in Villanova's bracket. Give me the 4/5 in their region every single time lol.
 
ulismyman said:
Why you wanna stay away from the 1 seeds??? We are better than all of them
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I wouldn't mind being an 8/9 in anyone's region not named UNC and OK. But that also means no Louisville regional. Which is probably gone unless we finish with only 2 more losses at the most.
 
ulismyman said:
Why you wanna stay away from the 1 seeds??? We are better than all of them
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We are better than them on most nights, but then comes an Auburn or Ut type game where we lose our heads. 1 seeds more often than not are there because they were the best regualr season teams.
 
Seed? We don't need no stinkin' SEED!

03-21-06_alfonso-bedoya.jpg
 
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Huma1894 said:
This year it doesn't really matter as there are so many teams on nearly an equal level. Dob't be surprised if an 8 or 9 seed wins the whole thing.
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I think you are dead on the mark. Good chance this is Cinderella's dance.

Maybe we'll get a 16 seed. I'd dearly love to see the Cats be the first team to deep six a 1 seed.
 
there is so much parity this year that seeding is pretty much irrelevant. EVERY game will be tough for every team. No gimmes, even for the 1 seeds.
 
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