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Elite Big Men, OAD and College Performance = Meaningless

KA4Prez

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Skal haters and those dismissing his NBA stock, take note.

There are others, but these four stand out as being elite recruits who never dominated college basketball. It didn't really matter. Maybe they didn't go as high in the draft as initially thought, but they are lottery regardless.

Derrick Favors, #1 C and #3 overall player in 2009. Averaged 12.1 PPG and 8.0 RPG...drafted #3 overall.
Andre Drummond, #1 C and #2 overall player in 2011. Averaged 10.0 PPG and 7.6 RPG...drafted #9 overall.
Steven Adams, #3 C and #5 overall player in 2013. Averaged 7.2 PPG and 6.3 RPG...drafted #12 overall.
Myles Turner, #1 C and #2 overall player in 2014. Averaged 10.1 PPG and 6.5 RPG...drafted #11 overall.
 
the problem is you post those numbers as if they are resembling Skal's. Skal's number is 3.5 RPG.

He needs to get that up or he'll drop in stock. He has to show potential, and it can't be 100% assumption. Steven Adams got drafted at #12, so from what you tell me. You are telling me that Skal's stock will drop a lot.
 
Skal haters and those dismissing his NBA stock, take note.

There are others, but these four stand out as being elite recruits who never dominated college basketball. It didn't really matter. Maybe they didn't go as high in the draft as initially thought, but they are lottery regardless.

Derrick Favors, #1 C and #3 overall player in 2009. Averaged 12.1 PPG and 8.0 RPG...drafted #3 overall.
Andre Drummond, #1 C and #2 overall player in 2011. Averaged 10.0 PPG and 7.6 RPG...drafted #9 overall.
Steven Adams, #3 C and #5 overall player in 2013. Averaged 7.2 PPG and 6.3 RPG...drafted #12 overall.
Myles Turner, #1 C and #2 overall player in 2014. Averaged 10.1 PPG and 6.5 RPG...drafted #11 overall.


I can certainly appreciate the thought behind this thread.

However, here are my issues with the examples:

Skal is playing on the block ala your first 3 examples:

Favors was 245 pounds entering the draft.
Drummond 279 pounds at combine.
Adams 255 pounds.

These guys had much better post games and also had wingspans of 7'4, 7'6 and 7'5 compared to Skal's 7'2.

Turner is a much better ball handler, longer wing span, played out on the floor and still averaged 12 rebounds and 5 blocks per 40 minutes.


Not sure who to compare Skal to at this point.
 
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I can certainly appreciate the thought behind this thread.

However, here are my issues with the examples:

Skal is playing on the block ala your first 3 examples:

Favors was 245 pounds entering the draft.
Drummond 279 pounds at combine.
Adams 255 pounds.

These guys had much better post games and also had wingspans of 7'4, 7'6 and 7'5 compared to Skal's 7'2.

Turner is a much better ball handler, longer wing span, played out on the floor and still averaged 12 rebounds and 5 blocks per 40 minutes.


Not sure who to compare Skal to at this point.

He sort of reminds me of Channing Frye.
 
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Like, Skal will be a 1st round pick when this season ends. Thats a lock.

He can continue being a ghost on the court, nobody is letting him slip thru the lotto.


People say things like " No way he's ready. Too weak. etc" All that is probably true..but teams dont care. Most think long term.

He sort of reminds me of Channing Frye.

He's a 3pt specialist though.

They probably share the same level of toughness/strength, but playing style is different.
 
My point wasn't saying his stock won't drop. His stock could definitely and probably will drop.

My point is...he's GOING to be a lottery pick. Even if that means pick 14. He isn't coming back to UK because he needs another year. He isn't coming back to UK to get stronger.
 
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Like, Skal will be a 1st round pick when this season ends. Thats a lock.

He can continue being a ghost on the court, nobody is letting him slip thru the lotto.


People say things like " No way he's ready. Too weak. etc" All that is probably true..but teams dont care. Most think long term.



He's a 3pt specialist though.

They probably share the same level of toughness/strength, but playing style is different.

Frye didn't shoot threes in college. He was 6 for 23 in 4 seasons.

No two guys are exact copies. But that's the guy who comes to mind watching Skal play right now.
 
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LOL 1st at anyone who thinks Skal will come back and double LOL at anyone who thinks Skal won't be averaging around 15 and 6 at least from January on .

Or how about we triple LOL @ your pre-season prediction of Ulis shooting 50% from 3?

Yeah, how about we all do that.

giphy.gif
 
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Or how about we triple LOL @ your pre-season prediction of Ulis shooting 50% from 3?

Yeah, how about we all do that.

giphy.gif
Obviously that's a crazy number, but his 3 point % is going to start shooting up pretty soon here. Him and Murray.

I can't say much about anybody else, though..
 
Obviously that's a crazy number, but his 3 point % is going to start shooting up pretty soon here. Him and Murray.

I can't say much about anybody else, though..


Based on what? The way I see it UK and Cal are the place where great high school three point shooters go to die.

I can't for the life of me figure out how Murray lit it up all summer long from three and all of a sudden he can't make them consistently here at UK
 
For me, I don't care where and when he or any other Cat is drafted. I only care about how he/they play for UK, what they bring to the team, and how he/they help the team...UK...to win. That's bottom line for me.
 
For me, I don't care where and when he or any other Cat is drafted. I only care about how he/they play for UK, what they bring to the team, and how he/they help the team...UK...to win. That's bottom line for me.

I agree and youre company is few. Most posters on here have become obsessed with draft picks and draft status. Its often their first bragging point when debating with a rival fan. I have yet to see any banners in Rupp for all of our draft picks. I like them because they keep the recruits coming in, but I certainly don't go around bragging about them. The only think one should brag about is winning national titles. Thats the point. Of course according to Cal the point is to get 8 guys drafted in the first round, not win the national title. Scary
 
Based on what? The way I see it UK and Cal are the place where great high school three point shooters go to die.

I can't for the life of me figure out how Murray lit it up all summer long from three and all of a sudden he can't make them consistently here at UK
Based on a regression to the mean. Teams with a couple shooters who've demonstrated reasonable ability in the past don't stay around at 330th in the country.

I don't know who your "great high school shooter" examples are, but for every one we've had who comes out and takes a hit from 3 here, there's a Lamb, Booker, Wiltjer, Bledsoe, Ulis, Miller, Knight who ended up shooting really well. I don't know about the other 3, but I know that Lamb, Booker, Bledsoe and Ulis all shot better than they did in HS.

I'm not incredibly interested in the way you see it, cut. The way you see most things is twisted by your eeyore tendencies and obscures the reality of the situation, just as much as for a sunshine pumper. At this point in your posting career, you just constantly throw out negative assertions and see what sticks - whether it has any factual or logical backing seems to be entirely incidental.

Yes, I'm fully aware that there are positive guys who are the same way.
 
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Based on a regression to the mean. Teams with a couple shooters who've demonstrated reasonable ability in the past don't stay around at 330th in the country.

I don't know who your "great high school shooter" examples are, but for every one we've had who comes out and takes a hit from 3 here, there's a Lamb, Booker, Wiltjer, Bledsoe, Ulis, Miller, Knight who ended up shooting really well. I don't know about the other 3, but I know that Lamb, Booker, Bledsoe and Ulis all shot better than they did in HS.

I'm not incredibly interested in the way you see it, cut. The way you see most things is twisted by your eeyore tendencies and obscures the reality of the situation, just as much as for a sunshine pumper. At this point in your posting career, you just constantly throw out negative assertions and see what sticks - whether it has any factual or logical backing seems to be entirely incidental.

Yes, I'm fully aware that there are positive guys who are the same way.
Damn, cutnets just got pimp smacked.
 
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Based on a regression to the mean. Teams with a couple shooters who've demonstrated reasonable ability in the past don't stay around at 330th in the country.

I don't know who your "great high school shooter" examples are, but for every one we've had who comes out and takes a hit from 3 here, there's a Lamb, Booker, Wiltjer, Bledsoe, Ulis, Miller, Knight who ended up shooting really well. I don't know about the other 3, but I know that Lamb, Booker, Bledsoe and Ulis all shot better than they did in HS.

I'm not incredibly interested in the way you see it, cut. The way you see most things is twisted by your eeyore tendencies and obscures the reality of the situation, just as much as for a sunshine pumper. At this point in your posting career, you just constantly throw out negative assertions and see what sticks - whether it has any factual or logical backing seems to be entirely incidental.

Yes, I'm fully aware that there are positive guys who are the same way.



And those are the posters that drive me crazy. The ones that when a thread is started that says "wish Cal would consider some zone" they immediately pop off with "Cal is a HOF coach he knows what he is doing! Don't you ever question Cal!" When in reality it would be ok to say "yeah I wish he would look at some zone too".
 
I agree and youre company is few. Most posters on here have become obsessed with draft picks and draft status. Its often their first bragging point when debating with a rival fan. I have yet to see any banners in Rupp for all of our draft picks. I like them because they keep the recruits coming in, but I certainly don't go around bragging about them. The only think one should brag about is winning national titles. Thats the point. Of course according to Cal the point is to get 8 guys drafted in the first round, not win the national title. Scary
No idea how one of the best 5 year runs in CBB history is "scary" for UK fans.

Also not sure how you expect to convert people to your angle of being entirely uninterested in the future of these kids who bring us so much joy.

That's a real selling point - "come join me in not giving a %^&* about what happens to our kids - as soon as they leave, they cease to matter." Oh yeah, real winner.

I wanted them to do well before Cal, and I want them to do well now. Well before Cal, UK fans used to brag that any UK player could get a job for life somewhere in the commonwealth if basketball didn't work out.

We want to take care of our own, and if them succeeding happens to be in the NBA, which also doubles for an incredible recruiting tool for Cal (and likely for our next coach, as this generation of kids are going to grow up watching Kentucky flash all over their screen in the NBA), that's even better.

There's literally no downside for us. Results on the court are as good as they've ever been. Exposure for the program is as good as it's ever been. Quality of kids is as high as it's ever been.

The only way to complain is if you're one of those autistic types who just can't get over Cal running his mouth with all his catch phrases. If you let Cal yapping about the greatness of draft night rob you of all joy over 4 damn F4s and a championship in 5 years, you have way bigger problems than basketball.
 
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Damn, cutnets just got pimp smacked.

Don't go getting excited. I served you in another thread so you buddy up with another poster in an effort to regain some semblance of dignity after being owned in another thread.
 
And those are the posters that drive me crazy. The ones that when a thread is started that says "wish Cal would consider some zone" they immediately pop off with "Cal is a HOF coach he knows what he is doing! Don't you ever question Cal!" When in reality it would be ok to say "yeah I wish he would look at some zone too".
Okay, but it's not any more rational to be the negative version of that - they won't take a single criticism of Cal, no matter what goes wrong, and you won't stop giving him crap - if we have a spectacular game or run, half the time you don't show up to post at all because there's nothing to hammer on.
 
No idea how one of the best 5 year runs in CBB history is "scary" for UK fans.

Also not sure how you expect to convert people to your angle of being entirely uninterested in the future of these kids who bring us so much joy.

That's a real selling point - "come join me in not giving a %^&* about what happens to our kids - as soon as they leave, they cease to matter." Oh yeah, real winner.

I wanted them to do well before Cal, and I want them to do well now. Well before Cal, UK fans used to brag that any UK player could get a job for life somewhere in the commonwealth if basketball didn't work out.

We want to take care of our own, and if them succeeding happens to be in the NBA, which also doubles for an incredible recruiting tool for Cal (and likely for our next coach, as this generation of kids are going to grow up watching Kentucky flash all over their screen in the NBA), that's even better.

There's literally no downside for us. Results on the court are as good as they've ever been. Exposure for the program is as good as it's ever been. Quality of kids is as high as it's ever been.

The only way to complain is if you're one of those autistic types who just can't get over Cal running his mouth with all his catch phrases. If you let Cal yapping about the greatness of draft night rob you of all joy over 4 damn F4s and a championship in 5 years, you have way bigger problems than basketball.


But how great of a run is it when you consider the talent he's had? Thats what everyone fails to mention. They all talk about unprecedented success under Cal as if he is doing this with a roster of Richie Farmers. How do we know how incredible this run is?

We have nothing to compare it to.

I can only assume that you don't believe there is any other coach that could do what Cal has done with his talent the last six years.

If you were to take 5 of the top coaches in the country and give them the talent Cal has had the past 6 seasons what would be their results? If your answer is you think it would be similar to what Cal has done then whats the big deal? If your answer is, no way they do as well then thats your opinion.

If you give the Shaka Smart the talent that Calipari has had the past six years, say just put Shaka in Cal's seat, would he have the same amount of success? What if you gave this talent to Izzo? What would he do? If they both do the same or better than Cal, are their runs also remarkable?
 
So Calipari is a great recruiter and a HOF coach. And yes 4 FF's in 5 years with one Runner up and one Championship would be a remarkable run anywhere with any coach.
 
No idea how one of the best 5 year runs in CBB history is "scary" for UK fans.

Also not sure how you expect to convert people to your angle of being entirely uninterested in the future of these kids who bring us so much joy.

That's a real selling point - "come join me in not giving a %^&* about what happens to our kids - as soon as they leave, they cease to matter." Oh yeah, real winner.

I wanted them to do well before Cal, and I want them to do well now. Well before Cal, UK fans used to brag that any UK player could get a job for life somewhere in the commonwealth if basketball didn't work out.

We want to take care of our own, and if them succeeding happens to be in the NBA, which also doubles for an incredible recruiting tool for Cal (and likely for our next coach, as this generation of kids are going to grow up watching Kentucky flash all over their screen in the NBA), that's even better.

There's literally no downside for us. Results on the court are as good as they've ever been. Exposure for the program is as good as it's ever been. Quality of kids is as high as it's ever been.

The only way to complain is if you're one of those autistic types who just can't get over Cal running his mouth with all his catch phrases. If you let Cal yapping about the greatness of draft night rob you of all joy over 4 damn F4s and a championship in 5 years, you have way bigger problems than basketball.


And again, thats the point. How do you know Cal's run has been an incredible one? We have nothing to compare it to therefore no way to know if its "incredible" or simply what anyone would do given that amount of talent.

Would Cal's run be incredible if 10 other coaches had that talent and all had the same results? Probably not. It would just be expected given the talent.
 
So Calipari is a great recruiter and a HOF coach. And yes 4 FF's in 5 years with one Runner up and one Championship would be a remarkable run anywhere with any coach.


So if Roy Williams did it you would be tipping your cap? You wouldn't say "well of course with all that talent?"
 
Any coach, any school. I don't need to knock people's accomplishments. I was raised to have confidence.
 
Any coach, any school. I don't need to knock people's accomplishments. I was raised to have confidence.

Well i don't know if its you or not in the avatar but you look pretty confident in smoking that cigarette so who ever raised you did a good job
 
But how great of a run is it when you consider the talent he's had? Thats what everyone fails to mention. They all talk about unprecedented success under Cal as if he is doing this with a roster of Richie Farmers. How do we know how incredible this run is?

We have nothing to compare it to.

I can only assume that you don't believe there is any other coach that could do what Cal has done with his talent the last six years.

If you were to take 5 of the top coaches in the country and give them the talent Cal has had the past 6 seasons what would be their results? If your answer is you think it would be similar to what Cal has done then whats the big deal? If your answer is, no way they do as well then thats your opinion.

If you give the Shaka Smart the talent that Calipari has had the past six years, say just put Shaka in Cal's seat, would he have the same amount of success? What if you gave this talent to Izzo? What would he do? If they both do the same or better than Cal, are their runs also remarkable?
We've been over this. We do have people to compare it to. Not many, but we do.

Coach K has had the same average number of five stars during Cal's time here. (6 per year)

Self, Roy, have had just under, around 5 per year. Miller, Matta, Donovan, Barnes, anybody coaching at UCLA, and probably Crean and Pastner are somewhere around 4.

That is not a huge difference, and K is considered by many to be the GOAT - and Cal and K have had very similar levels of success in that time. Cal has blown every single one of those other guys out of the water. It hasn't even been a contest.

Where does the worship for Shaka come from? He's done nothing even remotely as impressive as what Cal did at UMASS. Cal took a school that had 1 NCAA appearance in history (1962), and ran off 5 straight tourney appearances, 3 of which made it past the first weekend, averaging 30 wins a season, including a deadly final Four team featuring two recruits with high major offers and a bunch of no-names.

Shaka took a school that had been to the tourney 9 times since 1980. He also had 5 straight tourney appearances, averaging 27 wins per season, making one final four, and every other appearance was a first weekend exit. He did this with a comparable talent level - didn't have a Camby, but he had 3 players who made the NBA (including 15 and 20 mpg contributors) and had more guys as overseas pros than Cal did.

if you want to talk about mid major runs in the last decade, the only two who are comparable are Marshall and Stevens and maaaybe Mark Few (no post season success to speak of though).




Yes, I bet Izzo would get results as good as Cal with the same talent, sure. There are probably 5-7 coaches in the country who could - K, Izzo, Cal, Rick, Marshall, maybe another one or two.

Now, correct me if I'm wrong, because I want to articulate your argument here precisely.

Here's your quote:
"If you were to take 5 of the top coaches in the country and give them the talent Cal has had the past 6 seasons what would be their results? If your answer is you think it would be similar to what Cal has done then whats the big deal?"

So in essence, your argument here is - how can we possibly be happy about our program being the best (or worst, second best) in the country, knowing that there are a couple of other coaches in the country who could also be wildly successful with this much talent?

Again, correct me if I'm wrong, but that's what it seems like you are saying. And it doesn't make any sense. At all. By the same token, you could say Duke fans should be angry, because they've had top 2 talent almost every year since 1990, and they've won 5 championships. 5 championships in 25 years, having top 2 talent every year - he dropped the ball with 5 lottery picks in 1999, including the #1, fergoodnesssakes - would Brad Stevens have done such a thing?!? How many burger boys did he need to overcome Lehigh and Mercer?!?

There are probably 5-7 other coaches who also would've produced absolutely ridiculous runs with that much talent, including Cal.
Does that cheapen or devalue Duke's success in that time? What's more, does it mean Duke fans should be running around wringing their hands like you?
 
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And again, thats the point. How do you know Cal's run has been an incredible one? We have nothing to compare it to therefore no way to know if its "incredible" or simply what anyone would do given that amount of talent.

Would Cal's run be incredible if 10 other coaches had that talent and all had the same results? Probably not. It would just be expected given the talent.
But, except for K, Self, and Williams, they don't have the talent, so they will inherently have less success than Cal until the end of time. If my aunt had balls, she'd be my uncle.


And again, your argument boils down to "our coach isn't worthy of praise unless he's the undisputed #1 in the game - top 10 coach and #1 recruiter is not enough to be happy about".

This is the logic of a lunatic.
 
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Lets stay on the topic. I mean, my point was to address the group of fans on here that seem to think Skal is going to continue to struggle and will force him back to UK.

As for not caring about being drafted, people do realize that is why UK gets as many recruits as they do?
 
Lets stay on the topic. I mean, my point was to address the group of fans on here that seem to think Skal is going to continue to struggle and will force him back to UK.

As for not caring about being drafted, people do realize that is why UK gets as many recruits as they do?

Absolutely that's why we get the recruits that we get. Unprecedented in our history and it's all due to Cal. With that being said, I am more interested in UK winning than how the NBA lottery and draft plays out. That doesn't mean that I'm not interested in former UK players and their futures. I hope they all go on and have long productive careers in the NBA rather than just 'realizing their dream'.

And, I doubt that Skal will be back. As long as he's first round he'll be gone. The draft next year will be deeper and there's no guarantee that by coming back he will improve his draft status beyond this year anyway. Always the possibility of injury too.
 
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