Cats still in the hunt for a 2 seed?

[Cats192]

According to the RPI:

We're #14--#13 for all intents and purposes with SMU being out for the post-season.
In theory, #12=the 4th 3 seed.

WVU is at #11, currently losing to Texas. If they slide, we should move up into that spot within the week, assuming we win.

Other teams to potentially leap:
Iowa currently at #10. Coming games vs Wisconsin and Indiana, on the road vs Michigan.

Dayton at #12 and barely ahead of us--I know a lot of people like Miller, but a loss would be great
At St Joes this week--#28 in RPI
vs St Bonnies--#34 in RPI

Miami at #9--About to go through the ACC gauntlet
#8 UNC, #5 UVA, #30 Louisville, #19 ND
I'd assume they lose 1-2 of these

UNC at #8
2 Bouts with #17 Duke
#9 Miami
#5 UVA--on the road
and even top 50 Syracuse

I'll guess they lose 1-2.

I think it's very realistic that we get past 4/5, and up neck an neck with UNC.

#7 Xavier--
Their SOS isn't all that. And they've got challenges coming
ALL of their remaining games are against teams ranked in the top 100 of RPI
Road contests vs #79 Georgetown and #50 Seton Hall.
Megaclash on the 24th vs #2 Villanova
I think they lose at least 2 of those and slip

#6 Maryland
They'll have a good week this week, @Minnesota and getting Michigan at home
But they go on the road later in the season to play #20 perdue and #35 IU.
Split and say they lose 1, but definitely 2 games they can lose.

#5 UVA
on the road vs #9 Miami
#8 UNC at home
Finishes the season vs #30 Louisville
At the point that we're seeing redunancy in the matchups. Best case scenario for us is UVA wins out, which is fairly likely, making them a #1 seed.

#4 Oregon
The ducks rank #2 in SOS, which helps despite recent losses.
Some tough matchups forthcoming
#38 Oregon State on the 20th. Rivalry games always b ring a little extra spice
at #68 UCLA and at #22 USC to end the season
I'd bet they lose to USC with the potential to lose 1 more.
If Oregon State comes out firing this week, the ducks may take a legit tumble on the heels of 3 straight losses.

1-3 I think will be 1 seeds, so I'm not gonna delve into them

We're at 13 right now. As long as we keep winning, we should pass 4 of the teams in front of us. If things bounce our way with UNC/Xavier/Maryland/Oregon, we sneak our way into a 2 seed. Which might be enough to get us into Louisville.

 

[caneintally]

imo we at worst get a 3 seed and at best a 2 seed. Anything else would mean we would lose more then 2 more games before the dance.

 

[BourbonBalz]

We just have to keep playing good basketball and winning. If we do that, good things will happen. We have a very tough schedule left, especially on the road.

 

[KWilt43atbuzz]

Absolutely...and if we run the table to the Dance we would have a really good shot at the last #1 seed.

 

[Cats192]

WVU losing, we're ahead of them in the RPI now. Up to #12.
Literally a decimal behind Dayton. 0.6313 vs 0.6314

 

[thecatsareback#8]

I would rather be the strongest 2 seed then the weakest 1. Means we will likely be placed in Louisville.

 

[Cats192]

I would rather be the strongest 2 seed then the weakest 1. Means we will likely be placed in Louisville.

I think that right now, we just hope to move up to a 2 seed period.

 

[Vandalayindustries]

It's so early, we could still be anywhere between a 1 and 10 seed. Most likely a 3-4 in my opinion.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

Dayton at #12 and barely ahead of us--I know a lot of people like Miller, but a loss would be great
At St Joes this week--#28 in RPI
vs St Bonnies--#34 in RPI

RPI.. LOLOLOL

 

[The Great Wall]

imo we at worst get a 3 seed and at best a 2 seed. Anything else would mean we would lose more then 2 more games before the dance.

Do you ever go to the game watches at BW3s?

 

[St.PatterSoN-54-]

The nice thing about having a tough schedule at the finish......if you win them all, it's even MORE evidence that you should be moved up vs teams with less of a SOS

 

[CharlieT71059]

I think we will win out

 

[ganner918]

Win out and win the SEC tournament, and absolutely.

 

[LineSkiCat14]

I'm not sure enough teams ahead of us will screw up enough to make a #1 seed, but enough will for us to make a #2 seed. WVU and ISU just lost, Kentucky will be top 13. No way that 10 of those teams don't falter, be it a game or two, or a total crash, with tough end-of-season games and their conference tournament.

 

[Cats192]

It's so early, we could still be anywhere between a 1 and 10 seed. Most likely a 3-4 in my opinion.

It's not early.

A 1 seed feels pretty unlikely.
Anything past a 5 seems unlikely.

2-4, with a 5 if we stumble late seem the most likely.

 

[runt#69]

We just gotta' take care of business and keep improving. The seeding will take care of itself if we do that.

 

[KDcats11]

If UK were to win out through the SECT, a 1 seed wouldn't be out of the question. I'm guessing we end up with a 3 though.

 

[Vandalayindustries]

It's not early.

A 1 seed feels pretty unlikely.
Anything past a 5 seems unlikely.

2-4, with a 5 if we stumble late seem the most likely.

It's absolutely early. We potentially have 8 games left before selection Sunday. That's ~25% of the season and games that carry the most weight. Some teams could play 10 or more games between now and then. It may be unlikely but still possible.

 

[Blueathletics]

Am told that the YUM and those in Louisville are doing their best to get UK there.....They gotta absolutely HATE that!

 

[Bigblueforever]

I would rather be the strongest 2 seed then the weakest 1. Means we will likely be placed in Louisville.

Agree playing in Louisville.

 

[Vandalayindustries]

They aren't going to put us in Louisville unless we're a 1 seed. Too much of a disadvantage for the 1-seed.

 

[Bluegrass79]

Uk will get a #1 if we run the table with the sec regular season and tourney belts over their shoulders. I expect all teams ahead of uk right now to LOSE at least once more maybe twice. Don't lose and the world is UK's

 

[KDcats11]

They aren't going to put us in Louisville unless we're a 1 seed. Too much of a disadvantage for the 1-seed.

Not true at all.

 

[Montana81]

They aren't going to put us in Louisville unless we're a 1 seed. Too much of a disadvantage for the 1-seed.

I wouldn't be surprised if they put us in Louisville with Kansas. The bracket is filled with stories like this every season. I don't think it's a coincidence.

 

[BigRedMachineBigBlueNation]

Well if it means anything I believe UConn got to the championship by playing in in NY (basically home games for them) in 2014. So it's not impossible for the comity to put us in Louisville.

 

[Dakota25]

Would need to win out but it's possible. Likely get a three or four seed.

 

[NCukcat62]

If we win every game here on out, we'll be a 2 seed. 28-6 after the sec tournament. If college basketball season was up this year, that probably would of gotten us a 4.

 

[NCukcat62]

I wouldn't be surprised if they put us in Louisville with Kansas. The bracket is filled with stories like this every season. I don't think it's a coincidence.

Oh that is for sure. The country wants to see the big dogs face off.

 

[ZenCatFan73]

I think right now we're a 3 seed. If we win out, we should be a 1. No doubt we're in the hunt for a 2. Go Cats!

 

[Cats192]

St Joes up 9 at the half vs Dayton. C'mon Hawks!!

Penn State is actually giving Iowa a game. Would be a tremendous upset.

 

[_NewWorldOrder_]

Like I said. We're going to win out and get a 1 seed. We're ranked 14 now. We'll slowly climb into the top 10. Then by the last game or so we'll be in the top 5. Bet.

 

[Cats192]

Like I said. We're going to win out and get a 1 seed. We're ranked 14 now. We'll slowly climb into the top 10. Then by the last game or so we'll be in the top 5. Bet.

The top 25 rankings have little to do with it.
We'll need one of the top 4 to really collapse to surpass them.

 

[Cats192]

Down goes Dayton.

PSU is giving Iowa all they want.

 

[Cats192]

Penn State takes down Iowa.

Cats should move up to #10 in RPI.

UNC still to play.

What a season.

 

[Cats192]

Duke beats UNC, helping UK's RPI and hurting UNC's.

Cats set to make another big leap in the RPI rankings.

 

[Cats192]

Kentucky all the way up to #9 in the RPI
#7 (6 if you don't count Louisville) in the Kenpom

Miami plays at UNC on Saturday. Seems like a likely loss for them, moving the Cats up to #8.
But a big win also helps UNC

The optimal thing is probably for Miami to beat UNC and then lose to Virginia and Louisville. Will be interesting to see how it shakes out.

 

[Aike]

Kentucky all the way up to #9 in the RPI
#7 (6 if you don't count Louisville) in the Kenpom

Miami plays at UNC on Saturday. Seems like a likely loss for them, moving the Cats up to #8.
But a big win also helps UNC

The optimal thing is probably for Miami to beat UNC and then lose to Virginia and Louisville. Will be interesting to see how it shakes out.

The optimal thing is us winning.

 

[Cats192]

The optimal thing is us winning.

Well, always.

The second most optimal outcome appears to be U of L winning out.

 

[uk_fan_in_tn]

A 2 is possible if we win out and a few teams ahead of us flame out. I think a 3 is the most likely scenario at this point if we take care of business. The game Saturday and @Vandy will be tough. @Florida doesn't worry me, and I don't think there's a team in college basketball that could beat us at Rupp right now.

 

[Ryan Lemonds Diary]

If we win out and are 28-6 going into the NCAA tournament I don't think there is a reasonable argument could be made that there are 8-11 teams in the country better than us to put us as a 3 seed. Under those circumstances we should be a 2 but I can't imagine we can work into a 1 seed just because of the Big 10 and Big 12 love this year. I full expect the see a meltdown by those 2 conferences again this year. The media blows both of those conferences up only for them to lose 75% of their teams the first weekend.