Cats 20-15 in last 35 true road games
- Thread starter EvilMD
- Start date
Jon Scott, not sure if your data is structured this way but if it is, was wondering if you could do a quick analysis to see if this stat is even meaningful.
Assuming this is easy, would you mind doing the following? For all true road games over the past 30-40 years, assign a "1" for a win and a "0" for a loss. Then do a rolling sum of each game and the prior 34 games. The sum ends up matching the total number of wins.
My questions are:
1. What is our historical average?
2. How much does this fluctuate?
3. Basically, is 20-15 good, bad, normal?
Assuming this is easy, would you mind doing the following? For all true road games over the past 30-40 years, assign a "1" for a win and a "0" for a loss. Then do a rolling sum of each game and the prior 34 games. The sum ends up matching the total number of wins.
My questions are:
1. What is our historical average?
2. How much does this fluctuate?
3. Basically, is 20-15 good, bad, normal?
Being glass half full. That's a big reason the cats do so well in the tourney. They get battle tested hard with big ooc neutral site games, then have to deal with 8 or so insane away games. After that another round of neutral sites don't freak me out at all.
Also, I bet auburn loses their next game by 10+.
Also, I bet auburn loses their next game by 10+.
It's not at all surprising. His teams are very young, and young teams have a hard time on the road.
Understand your point. However, I'm not interested in this as a predictor of post-season success. More interested in how the program has performed over a significant time period.
My guess is that the writer threw the stat out there as a comment on the use of freshman. I'm just curious to see if anything has really changed, or if that's normal.
By my quick math, 39-25. I counted this on a phone though, so there may be errors in that. Would be good if someone could verify.
We've had a few games that don't qualify as true road games that are basically the same. I remember playing Portland in a nearby NBA arena a few years ago. I think there's been a few of those.
I would also like to remark that this is the reason Coach K adamantly refuses to schedule any true road games in his non-conference scheduling. And don't mention any games in the ACC-Big 10 challenge because those games are scheduled by the conference office and ESPN without any input from the coaches and dictated to the schools.
Road games are practically meaningless.
UK, DUKE, Kansas, UNC, and few others barely have road game in NCAA or Conference Tourney.
Coach Cal, K, and many top coaches probably rather play on neutral court / football arena, so they can have more prep for NCAA tourney.
One of main reason why Coach Cal, K, Self, and Izzo are doing their championship classic. They probably wish they can do more of it for conference game too......but unfortunately to them, they can't.
UK, DUKE, Kansas, UNC, and few others barely have road game in NCAA or Conference Tourney.
Coach Cal, K, and many top coaches probably rather play on neutral court / football arena, so they can have more prep for NCAA tourney.
One of main reason why Coach Cal, K, Self, and Izzo are doing their championship classic. They probably wish they can do more of it for conference game too......but unfortunately to them, they can't.
Yep road games mean little. It is neutral games like Duke and Ohio St that simulate the tourney.
Road games impact seeding, bit Cal has shown we can advance without top seeds. Though I do like our chances more with a higher seed.
As Cal is fond of saying, the tourney ain't played on home courts. A few bumps on the road, but this team will be ok come March.
20-15 is correct and really that is not bad if you look around the major conferences and most teams are having a rough time on the Road and especially this year. That is basically the last 3 seasons and we play most of our OOC schedule at home and in the SEC we go 9 home and 9 on road. The last 3 years on the Road in the SEC we 18-9 in 27 games. If you go back over the 6+ years Coach Cal has been at UK in the SEC now in his 7th year he is 35-19 on Road Games in the SEC and that is winning 65% on the Road in the SEC. That is not bad at all but if you look at this year alone most teams are struggling on the Road in each of the Power Conferences. Just not UK and actually we should be 2-1 in the SEC this year on the Road if we didn't have a terrible last 10-12 minutes of the 2nd half after being up 12 points. Still, overall Coach Cal has done outstanding on the Road in Conference Play winning 65% of our SEC Road Games at 35-19.
You can talk about road losses. You can talk about how the SEC sucks. How has either stat affected March? Let's see. Cal is 22-4 in the NCAA tournament with 4 final fours, including two title games and a title. I would say those two stats do not mean chit.
The #BBN makes this stat virtually meaningless in correlation to the success of Cal's teams.
Because of our HUGE following, we NEVER play a "true road game" when it really matters in March. Cal uses these games as a teaching tool and to figure out who can perform the best under pressure. Then he "tweaks" his game plan to what he feels gives our team the best chance to win tournament games.
Hopefully the next few road games will make our players better to the point that we can make another long run in the NCAA Tournament!
Because of our HUGE following, we NEVER play a "true road game" when it really matters in March. Cal uses these games as a teaching tool and to figure out who can perform the best under pressure. Then he "tweaks" his game plan to what he feels gives our team the best chance to win tournament games.
Hopefully the next few road games will make our players better to the point that we can make another long run in the NCAA Tournament!
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