By the time the 2021 NBA Draft night ends, I suspect UK will have over 40 players in the NBA. Let’s look at the players who first project to be a bit longer in the league…
Long term retention:
Point guards: Wall, Bledsoe, Fox, Ulis, Green, Rondo (probably at least three more years before retirement). = 6
Combo guards/wing guards: Booker, Murray, Monk, Diallo, Knight. = 5
Wing forwards/combo forwards: MKG, Knox, Vanderbilt, Lyles, Washington. = 5
4 men: Skal, Patterson, Jones (I'm optimistic about his injuries subsiding), Randle, Bam, Davis. = 6
5 men: Cousins, Kanter, Richards (optimistic projection), Bamba, Noel, Towns, WCS. = 7
= 29
Fringe: Goodwin, Liggins, Andrew Harrison, SKJ, Gabriel, Poythress, Young, Meeks (age is a factor; if he keeps his stroke, he’s fine) Briscoe, Alexander = 10
= let’s factor in 3 of these guys still playing in three years, plus the previous 29 guys = 32 total.
Add these 32 with at least 2.5 guys per class in the next three classes = 8 more. That’s 40 guys, at minimum, which is also a conservative estimate considering I only factored in three of the fringe guys and assuming Cal only recruits 2.5 retainable NBA guys per class over the next three classes (he’s had 8 OAD players in the last three classes but will have had at least 14 guys who played a minimum of one season in the NBA during that time).
Bottom line: UK is shattering its own NBA records for players in the league at one time. The UK brand is only going to expand. I suspect there will be a few classes in the near future where Cal locks up 4 or 5 of the top 10 guys. This is going to be beautiful to behold.
Long term retention:
Point guards: Wall, Bledsoe, Fox, Ulis, Green, Rondo (probably at least three more years before retirement). = 6
Combo guards/wing guards: Booker, Murray, Monk, Diallo, Knight. = 5
Wing forwards/combo forwards: MKG, Knox, Vanderbilt, Lyles, Washington. = 5
4 men: Skal, Patterson, Jones (I'm optimistic about his injuries subsiding), Randle, Bam, Davis. = 6
5 men: Cousins, Kanter, Richards (optimistic projection), Bamba, Noel, Towns, WCS. = 7
= 29
Fringe: Goodwin, Liggins, Andrew Harrison, SKJ, Gabriel, Poythress, Young, Meeks (age is a factor; if he keeps his stroke, he’s fine) Briscoe, Alexander = 10
= let’s factor in 3 of these guys still playing in three years, plus the previous 29 guys = 32 total.
Add these 32 with at least 2.5 guys per class in the next three classes = 8 more. That’s 40 guys, at minimum, which is also a conservative estimate considering I only factored in three of the fringe guys and assuming Cal only recruits 2.5 retainable NBA guys per class over the next three classes (he’s had 8 OAD players in the last three classes but will have had at least 14 guys who played a minimum of one season in the NBA during that time).
Bottom line: UK is shattering its own NBA records for players in the league at one time. The UK brand is only going to expand. I suspect there will be a few classes in the near future where Cal locks up 4 or 5 of the top 10 guys. This is going to be beautiful to behold.
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