Latest projection has us hosting Missouri State, N C State, and Kent State in the Lexington regional. We are the projected # 12 overall seed out of 16 hosts. According to this particular projection we would be placed against the # 5 overall seed North Carolina in the Super Regional...... Oh the irony !
Bracketology 04-17......
- Thread starter Black Diamond Cat
- Start date
Tonight's win should help this. Keep it up and hopefully we can get one of those national seeds. Again... I think we at a minimum need to win the three home series that we have left. That gives us 6 more wins along with 2 more road wins to give us 18 SEC wins. Arkansas has a pretty good path to winning the SEC with Auburn, Vandy, Tennessee, TAMU and Ole Miss left on the schedule. Auburn has LSU, Ole Miss, MSU, Arkansas, and Alabama. MSU has Auburn, TAMU, Georgia, LSU, and Alabama.
Interesting thing about Arkansas schedule is that after next week's Kansas State game Arkansas has no OOC games.
Interesting thing about Arkansas schedule is that after next week's Kansas State game Arkansas has no OOC games.
We should consider the Arky schedule of no OOC games late in the year. It would give you another bullpen arm during the weekend series for the last 3 series or so.
That's odd about Arky, I've never seen that before.
In thinking about SECT and NCAAT, it's important to have a good 4th and 5th starter b/c of the numbers of games played on consecutive days. I like the look of Thompson and Schauenzer (sp?) to serve in that role. Hoping that Logue regains his touch, he started out very solid but has had a rough couple of saturdays.
In thinking about SECT and NCAAT, it's important to have a good 4th and 5th starter b/c of the numbers of games played on consecutive days. I like the look of Thompson and Schauenzer (sp?) to serve in that role. Hoping that Logue regains his touch, he started out very solid but has had a rough couple of saturdays.
According to D1 baseball projections, we are in as a host with Florida State, Washington and Kent State. Guess who were paired across from in the Super?? Louisville.
We still control our on destiny in that regard for the most part. If we win every remaining series (not likely) then I don't see any way in hell the committee doesn't make us a national seed. So, then we likely wouldn't be facing them if we made it to a Super Regional. Even if we keep playing well and we do everything we can to raise our number closer to a national seed and be the 10th best or the 9th best team then it is going to be hard for the committee to justify having us match up against Louisville. I think they'd likely try to get us matched up with another national seed that is lower than the top 1/2 teams.
I don't really like the Florida love. Sure they are a very good team, but they have to climb out of a 3 game hole with 15 SEC games to play and Arkansas has a very favorable schedule. They will have to make it pretty close, IMO, to warrant getting the SEC national seed. Further, they also have to get 2 games back from UK, which is not impossible, but I think it is even harder to give them a national seed if they don't even win their side of the conference, which is somewhat considered the weaker side.
This weekend is pretty important for us. Most polls have LSU ranked above us. If we can take them after beating Louisville, we should get a good bounce. Get swept, and they'll push us down pretty quick.
One thing I hate about college baseball is that the committee focuses so heavily on geography (even more than the lame D1 basketball committee). It seems as if Clemson/USC, UF / FSU / Miami, A&M / Tech / TCU constantly get paired in regionals and super regionals due to geography. They should seed the teams and place them accordingly on an S curve.
But, I'm sure that we will end up paired with UL if unless both / neither team(s) are national seeds.
Side note - FSU as a 2 seed in the regional is SCARY. By all accounts, they were a top 5 team preseason, just haven't been able to pull it together for some reason.
But, I'm sure that we will end up paired with UL if unless both / neither team(s) are national seeds.
Side note - FSU as a 2 seed in the regional is SCARY. By all accounts, they were a top 5 team preseason, just haven't been able to pull it together for some reason.
The baseball tournament is a big time money scheme for the NCAA. If I remember correctly, if you win a bid to host the tournament then you automatically owe the NCAA something like $25k. They then also make a percentage of any profit over the $25k. So, the NCAA has an incentive to make sure that regional and and super regional are well attended. Now, this also works under the guise of it being good for the sport for the crowds to be bigger, and also under the guise of saving schools money on travel expenses.
Yep, I understand, I just think it's BS. These schools have a ton of money, and I don't know why any of the NCAA major sports sacrifice fairness and competitiveness for geography. There's no reason why major geographic rivals should be paired early in the tournament every year just b/c it's a close bus ride.
When you look at uavel's lame a$$ SOS, I think that will catch up with them. Although, I will have to admit, after seeing them play us twice, they are better than I thought. But other than Clemson and UNC (who uavel doesn't even play), the ACC doesn't have much competition! Their next 3 series are dook, Toledo ??, and Notre Dame before finally facing Clemson. Then they get the ACC 9-9 Fla. St. How do you think UL would do against an SEC schedule?
I can see us hosting a regional with Michigan as a # 2 seed, if they don't host, the OVC champ, ( Tenn. Tech ), and maybe the Horizon League champ ( Wright State ).
If Michigan does indeed host, the committee likes a Northern host, then maybe the Big 10 runner up. I just do not see FSU coming this far North, when schools like Florida, Arky, Miss. State, LSU or South Carolina could/should host a regional.
If Michigan does indeed host, the committee likes a Northern host, then maybe the Big 10 runner up. I just do not see FSU coming this far North, when schools like Florida, Arky, Miss. State, LSU or South Carolina could/should host a regional.
But again, it is all about money for the NCAA. The largest crowds would be if Louisville and Kentucky were in the same regional or ended up playing in the same Super Regional. If that happens then the NCAA will make a boat load off of those three games because both fanbases will show up in droves. However, if UL hosts a super regional against LBSU, then the LBSU fans likely wouldn't be filling up the stands and the NCAA would make less money. However, they try to use things like geography and costs in order to actually justify this and keep the real reason under wraps.
Agreed, UL schedule is absolutely pathetic this year. At this point, they have only a handful of good wins (UK once, UVA twice, and Wake twice). Granted, they still have FSU and Clemson to play but their entire OOC schedule (sans UK) is total garbage. Not the resume of a national seed at this point, if you ask me.
I understand the premise, but I don't agree in this case. UL draws well for baseball and would draw well for any super regional opponent (they had a packed out that had to go home sad when the Gauchos launched a series winning grand slam last year!). UK would pack the house regardless of the opponent if they have an opportunity to advance to their first ever super regional.
I agree, but the committee often seemingly wants to maximize money. It's one of the reasons IMO that we didn't host in 2012 and had to go to Gary.
If and that's a big if, UK can win tomorrow against LSU, that would be 3 wins out of four games against top ten teams this week. That would have to give UK a major boost in the rankings wouldn't it? I mean there couldn't be many teams that have run that gauntlet of four top ten games in a seven day period winning 3 of them.
Oddly enough our RPI continues to hang right at number 7. LSUs RPI went up 6 spots after beating us.
I guess that is showing us respect. We sure need tomorrows' game !
D
Don't really think it's BIG if...this team is as good as any in the league, but you can't be having 16 lob...besides I love Lewis! Wanting badly to get into that top 4 for sec tourney. Win tomorrow, don't get swept at SCJR and come home to seven straight winnable games.
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I guess I'm nervous about our pitching tomorrow. Particularly since LSU is stacked with more relief depth. It would be huge to get 7 innings out of Lewis.
Most certainly possible with Lewis...can't be leaving so many in scoring position...on the Cats normal day this year , yesterday's game is a double digit offensive game.
Yeah. If you would have told me LSU was going to score 4 in the second game, I would have said UK sweeps the doubleheader. Salow should have been up 7-1 at least when he entered the game putting great pressure on the Tigers.
Just have to hit. Lewis can be strong most of the time, but I want to see us get a strong lead and let him get comfortable. Plus then we can have more breathing room with our bullpen. However, LSU is likely going to be quick to the pen tomorrow if they get into trouble.
![[banana]](https://ct.yimg.com/mr/uploads/891/1682178.gif "banana [banana]")
Barring a collapse, looks like Kentucky will host a regional. Anybody know/guess how they will sell tickets? Do you have to buy tickets to all the sessions/games that are possible?
And I would love a super regional against Louisville, but lets not get ahead of ourselves, we haven't even won the first game of the NCAA in years and years, and have not won a regional in what, over 30 years?
And I would love a super regional against Louisville, but lets not get ahead of ourselves, we haven't even won the first game of the NCAA in years and years, and have not won a regional in what, over 30 years?
The way it was done in 2012 was a form was sent out about three weeks before the season was over. At least it was to the season ticket holders. If I'm not mistaken, season ticket holders have first choice. When I bought regional tickets at Louisville in 2014, you bought all session passes and individual games were sold afterwards.
We're up from 14 to 10 in Baseballamerica rankings
Louisville 2nd Auburn 5th Miss State 8 Florida 11 LSU 15 Arkansas 16 A&M 19
Louisville 2nd Auburn 5th Miss State 8 Florida 11 LSU 15 Arkansas 16 A&M 19
Interesting. I don't really understand how Auburn can be 5th and UK 10th. Auburn's RPI is 22nd and UK's is 5th. UK's SOS is 6th overall and 42nd in the OOC. Auburn's is 39th overall and 107th in the OOC. Auburn is 30-12 while UK is 28-13. We both have an SEC record of 12-6. Auburn still has to play at Miss. State and at LSU while UK still has to play at USC and at Florida. Don't get me wrong, Auburn is having an outstanding season, but I find it hard to believe that they are 5 spots better than UK.
Completely agree. They're having a great year and (like UK) an unexpected great year; however, I don't see how their resume is in any way better than that of UK. They have series wins over Arkansas and Florida and South Carolina, but UK has series wins over LSU, A&M, Vandy. UK also has better OOC wins with UCSB, UL.
Me too! Though the website looks like a 16-year old cooked up the graphics the basement with grandma's 1989 desktop computer.
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