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8.5 pt dogs at UT tomorrow

I'm not ready to guarantee a loss, because honestly, UT has trouble scoring if you stay with Lanier and use length on Ziegler, but the bottom line is, we need to scortch the nets from 3 against the best 3 point shooting defense in the country.
If I was a Tennessee fan (🤮), I would like my chances, but I still would feel some anxiety.
 
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Even great Cal teams have lost at TB. I always, always pencil this game in as an L. We will need lube before we go down there.
And some Cal teams that had no business winning there went in and dominated. TB isn’t that intimidating compared to some other venues in the SEC. -8.5 is a huge line and surprising to me.
 
And some Cal teams that had no business winning there went in and dominated. TB isn’t that intimidating compared to some other venues in the SEC. -8.5 is a huge line and surprising to me.
Doesn't surprise me at all. UT is still one of the top defensive teams in the country and we've looked offensively putrid in the past couple of games.
 
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
 
No surprise. Butler not 100%, Carr probably out, UT defense. Could get ugly if we don’t figure out how to protect the ball and stop making stupid decision. Brea and Robinson need to shoot lots of threes. Have to limit offensive rebounds. Of goodness.
 
Better be setting some screens off the ball or another high turnover game coming, hope to see less of the Williams/garrison being the catalyst for the offense majority of the time.
 
This is a game that I'm not clearing my schedule for. I'll go to the gym (as it's the only time I have to do so), and I'll put it on while I'm there.. but I'll be a little quicker than usual to switch it something else if they play like they have been.

Someone had a great point the other day, in that at least Cal's teams would have the talent that they were never out of any game. And that is something I sort of miss with this team. Watching them play Vandy, they looked like a mid-major we'd have played 10 years ago that just doesn't have the horses to keep up. For the first time in a while, we're watching a team that has a concrete ceiling IMO.. and beating Tennessee might actually be *mostly* out of reach (Unless we really find something that works with this team).
 
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
That Tennessee vs Florida game was in Gainesville, they play in Knoxville this Saturday.
 
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21% chance for us to win. Is it almost impossible for us to reach some of these teams intensity and physicalness? Are some coaches just better at getting the most out of their players on a consistent basis? Are some of these teams in better shape than us?
 
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21% chance for us to win. Is it almost impossible for us to reach some of these teams intensity and physicalness? Are some coaches just better at getting the most out of their players on a consistent basis? Are some of these teams in better shape than us?
Kerr is out. Carr is out. Butler is banged up and may be out.

That's all.
 
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
That’s a good point. Florida beat UT by a ton so no reason we can’t win there. Probable no but possible.
 
Betting lines are largely generated off the efficiency metrics. Tennessee has been in the upper echelon so far this year. There’s a big gap after the top 6 in KenPom right now. They’re in that top 6 and we’re not top 20.

Line feels about right to me.

Very interested in how it plays out. I have significant doubts about their offense and shooting beyond Chaz which could allow us to stay close. Or they could be due, after an abysmal shooting night at Auburn and us have no chance. Who knows!
 
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Sounds about right to me considering our injuries. Maybe if Brea and Robinson got hot we could pull an upset but I'm not betting on it
 
21% chance for us to win. Is it almost impossible for us to reach some of these teams intensity and physicalness? Are some coaches just better at getting the most out of their players on a consistent basis? Are some of these teams in better shape than us?
Some of our players came from mid major programs, they don't play bully ball like this in those conferences.
Oweh and Garrison came from the BIG12, so they are used to it, but the rest don’t look like they are handling it well.
 
Some of our players came from mid major programs, they don't play bully ball like this in those conferences.
Oweh and Garrison came from the BIG12, so they are used to it, but the rest don’t look like they are handling it well.
They have had many games by now, they should be used to it or get it together soon.
 
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