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2020 Outlook

hs_sportsfan

Blue Chip Prospect
Jan 18, 2006
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Although a huge fan of the bat cats I don’t follow the off season probably as much as I should. Can some of you more in tune give us an in depth outlook.

potential starting 8
Rotation
Some names to watch JUCO/Freshman/returning players

What should our realistic expectations be?
 
Although a huge fan of the bat cats I don’t follow the off season probably as much as I should. Can some of you more in tune give us an in depth outlook.

potential starting 8
Rotation
Some names to watch JUCO/Freshman/returning players

What should our realistic expectations be?

Maybe I'll have some time to put something together tomorrow. It will be some major guessing though.
 
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Although a huge fan of the bat cats I don’t follow the off season probably as much as I should. Can some of you more in tune give us an in depth outlook.

potential starting 8
Rotation
Some names to watch JUCO/Freshman/returning players

What should our realistic expectations be?


Okay, so... to do this somewhat quickly and I will try to expand on it more as we get closer and as time permits. This is a big time guess because there are a whole lot of question marks. It wouldn't surprise me to see us play a whole lot of guys early.

Starting 9:

DH - TJ Collett -
I just don't know that TJ will ever be fully healthy enough to be anything but a DH. So, I imagine we will see him here again in 2020. I think coaches want him at 1B, but I just don't know that it can or will happen. If he does get the chance then possibly look for Trae Harmon to DH.

1B - Breydon Daniel -
I don't like it, but I think he finds his spot here. I feel a bit bad about it because I tend to give Daniel a hard time, but I just don't see him do anything great. He's kind of average everywhere he plays, and that being the case, it is hard to find a place where he should play. I fully hope he shows me that last year was a fluke and he turns into an AA. I won't feel bad about that one bit. I could see Justin Olson here as well. Kid can rake and was ranked the 9th best 1B in high school by Prep Baseball.

2B - Zeke Lewis -
This prospect scares the crap out of me, but I just don't think it will be anything else. Elliott Curtis should be here, but I have little faith that he will be. Instead, we'll get Lewis who will likely continue to struggle at the plate.

SS - Austin Schultz -
I think this might be the second easiest pick that I make. Schultz was a pretty solid SS a year ago as a freshman and ideally his numbers go up and his defense only improves as a sophomore. Concern here for him is some injury issues. Hope that isn't the case, as he is one of our anchors.

3B - Elliott Curtis -
Curtis finds his way into the lineup here. Probably not his best position, but Curtis has earned his time in the lineup after playing very well at the end of last season. Wouldn't surprise me to see him move to second after Lewis struggles for a while. If that happens then we might have some infield chaos. Another possible surprise name here is freshman John Rhodes. He's listed as an OF, but they might try to work him in here.

C - Coltyn Kessler
Whew. Finally an easy one. Kessler is a rock behind the plate. He will be an everyday player. Coaches will likely look to give him a rest at times though. So, what I anticipate might shake up the whole infield a bit. It wouldn't surprise me to see Kessler move to 3rd against lefties and Curtis to be moved out of the lineup. Then I anticipate a surprise move here. Chase Estep may be our backup catcher. He has worked out there this past fall, so it is possible he is there again. I really believed that Orlando Adams would be a guy that they rely on at catcher, but my understanding is that he was cut. He is no longer on the 2020 roster.

RF - Oraj Anu -
The JUCO transfer is a guy I didn't think would ever make it to campus. He was taken in the 16th round of the draft in 2019 and was a JUCO All American in both 2018 and 2019. He was also rated a top 15 outfielder in the Cape Cod League. He is 6'1 235, so he has a pretty big frame. I do not believe he is going to be a major defensive gem, but he will be serviceable in left and he will be called upon for the power.

CF - Jaren Shelby -
The legacy continues with Shelby returning for his senior year. His junior year was a disappointment, but I think he can turn things around this year. I think he mans the middle of the outfield because that is where he is most comfortable. I certainly believe his numbers will improve.

LF - Cam Hill -
Hill has had a rocky road, but the speedy OF will be hard to keep off the field. When he gets on base, UK scores... a lot. His numbers we relatively poor a year ago, but Cam showed a lot of bright spots. I think his confidence will be higher this year and we will see those numbers go up. Last year, it seemed that Hill struggled more against lefties. Ming seems to love to play that matchup game, so we might see Hill less against left-handed pitchers.

Others in consideration:

OF - Chase Bryan -
Bryan is a JUCO guy that comes from Seminole State (same as BD and former player Dalton Reed). He battled injuries a year ago, but by all accounts he is pretty solid in the OF. He hits right and throws right, so you could possibly see him get some work in matchup type situations.

SS/2B/3B - Jaden Brown -
I think Brown may redshirt, but I am not sure about this. He was one of our more highly decorated freshmen coming in and was ranked as a top 30 incoming freshman by Perfect Game, and overall in the class of 2019 he was ranked 58th and a top 15 SS. I think the coaches just don't necessarily have a spot for him. Personally, would like to see him get a chance this year though.

3B - Matt Golda -
Golda is another JUCO guy, and one I expect could see some time at 3B. Golda was ranked 101st overall by PG out of high school as a SS. He hit .326 and .317 respectively in 18 and 19 in JUCO and has a pretty solid eye with 66 walks to 70 strikeouts. Has some wheels and swiped 24 bags over those two years. If he plays, he could be used to play some other spots as well.

C - Jared Payne -
Catcher is an enigma after Kessler. There are some names there, but none of them stand out as being anyone we can trust fully. Payne, a true freshman, absolutely raked in the Perfect Game Collegiate Baseball League this summer hitting .390 in 29 games and 105 at bats. He was ranked as the 71st best catcher by PG in the 2019 class. So, that number doesn't jump out, but can't deny his success against college pitching so far. I don't expect him to have an impact, but it is possible.

C - Brendan Hord -
Hord is a redshirt freshman who probably isn't a guy that is going to make a major impact. Great in the classroom and is a guy who will do anything the coaches ask and good for the clubhouse. Not sure he will see much time unless he sticks around for his full time at UK.

C - Tanner Holen -
A senior who played JUCO before coming to UK. He was largely third catcher and bullpen guy a year ago. Not sure that the role changes a ton for him. Did well in the summer in the Western Canadian league where he hit .321, but I am not sure it is the most competitive league in the world.

Already mentioned:
Justin Olson - Could see time at 1B, DH, or even somewhere in the OF. Like I said, he apparently can rake, so I don't know if the coaches will be able to keep him off the field.

Trae Harmon - Kid is a monster and I think coaches want him hitting. So, it is a question of... how? I have heard some rumblings that he could play the outfield. I don't really see him being the most effective outfielder, but I am wrong a lot.

Chase Estep - I put him at backup catcher. I think this is the coaches trying to get him on the field. He came in as a third baseman, so it wouldn't surprise me to see him there in the future or even later this year. Still, what I have heard is that he worked at catcher a good bit.

Note: Spring practice just started last week. Actually think it might have been Friday. So, things are still extremely fresh for the team. I don't know what their numbers are, but they may still have to make cuts. So, we could even see the roster change between now and opening day.

I'll work on pitchers soon. I think it will be even harder.

Edit to add:

Key departures from 2019:
Alex Rodriguez - Graduation
** Rook Ellington - Transfer to JUCO
** Dalton Reed - Left team
Ryan Shinn - Graduation
Ryan Johnson - Graduation
Marshall Gei - Graduation
** Orlando Adams - Cut in fall
** Grant Macciocchi - Left team

** Indicates that they left before eligibility was up.
 
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Great report Comeback. I believe you are spot on with the position players. I think they have to keep Curtis at second though. Zeke just cannot hit well enough. Golda/Estep will play third, when Kessler catches. Time will tell, but could be another sub par season.
 
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From what I heard Minge say the other day, Rhodes will be a star. May have to find him a place as well. Third or OF somewhere.
 
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Okay, so... to do this somewhat quickly and I will try to expand on it more as we get closer and as time permits. This is a big time guess because there are a whole lot of question marks. It wouldn't surprise me to see us play a whole lot of guys early.

Starting 9:

DH - TJ Collett -
I just don't know that TJ will ever be fully healthy enough to be anything but a DH. So, I imagine we will see him here again in 2020. I think coaches want him at 1B, but I just don't know that it can or will happen. If he does get the chance then possibly look for Trae Harmon to DH.

1B - Breydon Daniel -
I don't like it, but I think he finds his spot here. I feel a bit bad about it because I tend to give Daniel a hard time, but I just don't see him do anything great. He's kind of average everywhere he plays, and that being the case, it is hard to find a place where he should play. I fully hope he shows me that last year was a fluke and he turns into an AA. I won't feel bad about that one bit. I could see Justin Olson here as well. Kid can rake and was ranked the 9th best 1B in high school by Prep Baseball.

2B - Zeke Lewis -
This prospect scares the crap out of me, but I just don't think it will be anything else. Elliott Curtis should be here, but I have little faith that he will be. Instead, we'll get Lewis who will likely continue to struggle at the plate.

SS - Austin Schultz -
I think this might be the second easiest pick that I make. Schultz was a pretty solid SS a year ago as a freshman and ideally his numbers go up and his defense only improves as a sophomore. Concern here for him is some injury issues. Hope that isn't the case, as he is one of our anchors.

3B - Elliott Curtis -
Curtis finds his way into the lineup here. Probably not his best position, but Curtis has earned his time in the lineup after playing very well at the end of last season. Wouldn't surprise me to see him move to second after Lewis struggles for a while. If that happens then we might have some infield chaos. Another possible surprise name here is freshman John Rhodes. He's listed as an OF, but they might try to work him in here.

C - Coltyn Kessler
Whew. Finally an easy one. Kessler is a rock behind the plate. He will be an everyday player. Coaches will likely look to give him a rest at times though. So, what I anticipate might shake up the whole infield a bit. It wouldn't surprise me to see Kessler move to 3rd against lefties and Curtis to be moved out of the lineup. Then I anticipate a surprise move here. Chase Estep may be our backup catcher. He has worked out there this past fall, so it is possible he is there again. I really believed that Orlando Adams would be a guy that they rely on at catcher, but my understanding is that he was cut. He is no longer on the 2020 roster.

LF - Oraj Anu -
The JUCO transfer is a guy I didn't think would ever make it to campus. He was taken in the 16th round of the draft in 2019 and was a JUCO All American in both 2018 and 2019. He was also rated a top 15 outfielder in the Cape Cod League. He is 6'1 235, so he has a pretty big frame. I do not believe he is going to be a major defensive gem, but he will be serviceable in left and he will be called upon for the power.

CF - Jaren Shelby -
The legacy continues with Shelby returning for his senior year. His junior year was a disappointment, but I think he can turn things around this year. I think he mans the middle of the outfield because that is where he is most comfortable. I certainly believe his numbers will improve.

RF - Cam Hill -
Hill has had a rocky road, but the speedy OF will be hard to keep off the field. When he gets on base, UK scores... a lot. His numbers we relatively poor a year ago, but Cam showed a lot of bright spots. I think his confidence will be higher this year and we will see those numbers go up. Last year, it seemed that Hill struggled more against lefties. Ming seems to love to play that matchup game, so we might see Hill less against left-handed pitchers.

Others in consideration:

OF - Chase Bryan -
Bryan is a JUCO guy that comes from Seminole State (same as BD and former player Dalton Reed). He battled injuries a year ago, but by all accounts he is pretty solid in the OF. He hits right and throws right, so you could possibly see him get some work in matchup type situations.

SS/2B/3B - Jaden Brown -
I think Brown may redshirt, but I am not sure about this. He was one of our more highly decorated freshmen coming in and was ranked as a top 30 incoming freshman by Perfect Game, and overall in the class of 2019 he was ranked 58th and a top 15 SS. I think the coaches just don't necessarily have a spot for him. Personally, would like to see him get a chance this year though.

3B - Matt Golda -
Golda is another JUCO guy, and one I expect could see some time at 3B. Golda was ranked 101st overall by PG out of high school as a SS. He hit .326 and .317 respectively in 18 and 19 in JUCO and has a pretty solid eye with 66 walks to 70 strikeouts. Has some wheels and swiped 24 bags over those two years. If he plays, he could be used to play some other spots as well.

C - Jared Payne -
Catcher is an enigma after Kessler. There are some names there, but none of them stand out as being anyone we can trust fully. Payne, a true freshman, absolutely raked in the Perfect Game Collegiate Baseball League this summer hitting .390 in 29 games and 105 at bats. He was ranked as the 71st best catcher by PG in the 2019 class. So, that number doesn't jump out, but can't deny his success against college pitching so far. I don't expect him to have an impact, but it is possible.

C - Brendan Hord -
Hord is a redshirt freshman who probably isn't a guy that is going to make a major impact. Great in the classroom and is a guy who will do anything the coaches ask and good for the clubhouse. Not sure he will see much time unless he sticks around for his full time at UK.

C - Tanner Holen -
A senior who played JUCO before coming to UK. He was largely third catcher and bullpen guy a year ago. Not sure that the role changes a ton for him. Did well in the summer in the Western Canadian league where he hit .321, but I am not sure it is the most competitive league in the world.

Already mentioned:
Justin Olson - Could see time at 1B, DH, or even somewhere in the OF. Like I said, he apparently can rake, so I don't know if the coaches will be able to keep him off the field.

Trae Harmon - Kid is a monster and I think coaches want him hitting. So, it is a question of... how? I have heard some rumblings that he could play the outfield. I don't really see him being the most effective outfielder, but I am wrong a lot.

Chase Estep - I put him at backup catcher. I think this is the coaches trying to get him on the field. He came in as a third baseman, so it wouldn't surprise me to see him there in the future or even later this year. Still, what I have heard is that he worked at catcher a good bit.

Note: Spring practice just started last week. Actually think it might have been Friday. So, things are still extremely fresh for the team. I don't know what their numbers are, but they may still have to make cuts. So, we could even see the roster change between now and opening day.

I'll work on pitchers soon. I think it will be even harder.

Edit to add:

Key departures from 2019:
Alex Rodriguez - Graduation
** Rook Ellington - Transfer to JUCO
** Dalton Reed - Left team
Ryan Shinn - Graduation
Ryan Johnson - Graduation
Marshall Gei - Graduation
** Orlando Adams - Cut in fall
** Grant Macciocchi - Left team

** Indicates that they left before eligibility was up.
CB3...let me check on Chase as l have a connection there. Good job on the review. I honestly think everybody's best bet us to expect very little and that way we won't be disappointed.
 
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Pitching... :scream:

This bullpen is just a nightmare to predict. Still, I am going to give it a stab.

Friday - Mason Hazelwood -
Aka. I don't know. Mason was pretty solid a year ago and had the third lowest ERA on the team (3.92). Yes, our pitching was this bad. Hazelwood is a lefty with a strange delivery. I am hoping that he develops some other pitches and comes in confident. I think he has some decent stuff. It isn't necessarily Friday starter good, but it is the best we have. He got knocked around more in league play (6.19 ERA), but opponents only hit .254 against him.

Saturday - Dillon Marsh -
Marsh was a freshman a year ago and it was not exactly a stellar debut. He finished the year with a 6.43 ERA and struggled even more against SEC hitters (7.84). Marsh certainly has talent, but it needs to come together a bit better this year. If UK goes this route then we are throwing back to back lefties.

Sunday - Jimmy Ramsey -
Jimmy was a guy that we saw a lot of potential in as a freshman, but it didn't come together as a sophomore. In fact, he may have been the worst pitcher on our staff a year ago. In league play he had the third worst ERA (9.82) and opponents hit .358 against him. He gave up 22 extra base hits, including 9 home runs and 10 doubles. The big righty just seems to make too many mistakes and is hittable. Still... who the heck else do we have? Answer... no one. It's that bad.

After this, UK returns exactly 2 starts.

Alex Degen
had 16 appearances a year ago and got 1 start, which came against Xavier in March. He went 2.2 innings and gave up an earned run. That was his longest outing of the year. That being the case, it doesn't seem likely that he'll steal a spot from the three above.

Trip Lockhart - I like Lockhart. I like his arm slot and his downhill throwing motion. Still, the numbers don't jump off the page for us for Trip. He did pretty solid coming out of the bullpen giving up 8 earned runs through 27.2 innings of work for what would be a 2.65 ERA. The killer was his start... against Vanderbilt in the last weekend of the season. He went just 2 innings and gave up 7 earned, which ballooned his ERA to 4.55. Without that blow up he would have had a 3.48 ERA in conference play, which would have been third best behind Thompson and Daniels. Still, I think he largely comes in as a middle reliever and a guy who shuts down opposing team's rallies and doesn't start.

So, as you can probably tell, it is extremely difficult to predict who might start. We just don't have any guys who are sure things. Still, I will go through them.

Cole Daniels - Cole has done amazing for UK so far in his young career. His ERA was a stellar 2.57 and it actually improved to 1.29 in 7 innings of work in SEC play. I would love to see Cole's role expand, but it is hard to see it going too far. A year ago he had 28 appearances for UK, but had just 14 innings. So, he rarely even threw a full inning. In fact, he never threw more than 1 and only threw a full inning 5 times. So, even if his role expands, I doubt it will jump to being a starter.

Daniel Harper - Harper is an enigma. In 2018 he looked poised to be a guy that would be stepping into future weekend starter roles. He was a freshman that started in 11 games and had a 5.51 ERA. I don't think he was dazzling, but he seemed like he was being groomed in the midweek to become a weekend guy. Fast forward to 2019 and Harper makes 28 appearances, but not a single start. He pitched 49 innings and had a 4.70 ERA while opponents hits .246 against him. So, the numbers aren't amazing, but they are respectable. That being said... things go pretty sour when you look at his numbers in league play. The ERA balloons to 6.85 and opponents hit .306 against him in 23.2 innings of work. It is possible that he could take big strides his junior year and start again, but it is more likely he is long relief.

Braxton Cottongame - Hands down wins best name on the team, maybe in the country. However, the kid remains relatively unproven. He's a 6'3 lefty with some decent stuff, but the broken record you'll read in this post is that he didn't get much work. Nothing longer than 3 innings for Brax. Still, he shows good promise. He carried a 3.75 ERA in league play and that is in large part because he just pitched 12 innings. Those 12 were spread out over 9 games and he gave up 5 earned runs, 3 of which came in one game against USC where he went 0.2 innings. So, take that game out and the numbers are way better. Despite that, the impressive thing is that opponents in SEC play hit just .190 against him. If we play the what-if game and we take out the USC and add the two Louisville games he'd have an ERA of 2.74 against top competition. So, certainly nothing to scoff at. Excited to see how he grows up in 2020. I think he grew up a lot as the season progressed.

Carson Coleman - For better, or for worse, here is your closer once again. Coleman has some amazing stuff. Swing and miss ability is through the roof. He can also be absolutely terrible at times. For instance, he appeared in 23 games last year and in 15 of them he gave up 0 runs (note here, that I don't mean that they were unearned, I mean 0 runs). So, that means the 20 runs, 16 earned, all came in just 8 games. Still, those led him to have just a 2-5 record and to get just 5 saves. His ERA was 5.14 overall. At times the kid is unhittable, with 36 strikeouts in those 28 innings. At other times, he can't seem to get out of his own way. He is a redshirt junior. So, it is possible that he grows up even more this year. It all just needs to click for him and he needs to be able to limit the damage that he can.

Coleman is supposed to be our stopper. So, one thing I wanted to look at with him especially is how many inherited runners he gave up. This isn't something that I can easily find in the stats. So, I had to do a game breakdown. It appears that he had 8 games where he inherited runners and in 2 of those he allowed those runners to score. In one of them he inherited a runner and added two more of his own without getting an out before being pulled. Eventually all 3 scored, but he didn't actually give up the run(s) himself. There were at least a couple of games where he came in at the top of the inning with the game tied and he gave up the lead.

Ben Jordan - Ben, the basketball player, Jordan. As we know, we got a surprise this fall with Jordan going to help Calipari. I have heard that it was supposed to be temporary, but that Jordan may want to stick it our through the rest of the basketball season. I have no idea. Had this not arisen, I might be inclined to believe that Jordan would/could have worked his way to the weekend rotation. Now, I am not so sure. Jordan has some great stuff, but the injury bug bit him very hard. He had limited action a year ago, but it progressed as the year went along. Overall his ERA was 7.27 over 8.2 innings, but that improved to 3.38 in 5.1 innings of SEC play. So, clearly, he had a pretty horrible game against Texas Tech (4 earned) that really hurt him. Still 8 strikeouts in 8.2 innings is nothing to be mad about. Needs to cut down on walks (12). We will see what happens with him.

Tyler Burchett - Just 5 appearances and 3 innings of work a year ago from the now sophomore from Pennsylvania. He is a 6'5 righty and he did all right early with a full scoreless inning against Texas Tech in the first weekend. Things went south from there though as he gave up 3 earned and 6 total runs in the other 4 appearances. Apparently he suffered a concussion last year and missed a lot of time, but was throwing in the mid-90s by the end of the year. So, a chunk of time being healthy should help him to see more time this year. Hopefully he begins to get a bit better control and cuts down on those runs.

Hunter Rigsby - 6'4 righty from Mount Vernon struggled a year ago as a freshman with a 10.03 ERA in 15 innings with 15 appearances. He had some good days and some bad days, but the bad days were just too man, including giving up 6 earned in his last three appearances, and only going 1 inning in the three combined. Played in the Alaska Baseball League over the summer and did outstanding with a 0.64 ERA through 28 innings in 14 games. Was a bullpen guy and played in the league All Star Game. Hopefully, he uses that as a catalyst for a big sophomore year.

So, that leads us to freshmen. There are 10 of them that are either RS freshmen or true freshmen. I am going to break them down in the next post.
 
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Ron Cole - Cole is a 6'2 200 pound righty from NJ. Perfect game rated him the 197th best incoming freshman and the 87th righty. Still, his 2019 numbers are a bit concerning as he had a 4.06 ERA in 31 innings with 47 strikeouts. Those are just not numbers that jump out at you for a HS pitcher. Typically, the ERAs are crazy low because a lot of the HS players cannot catch up to the pitchers. His fastball touched 93 that has some good sink and run on it. Not sure about those senior year numbers, but everything else looks solid.

Harrison Cooke - 6'5' 175 pound righty from Iowa. PG rated him as a 9.5 and the overall number 1 player in Iowa as well as the 150th best righty in the country. His fastball touched around 90 and has some good swing and miss stuff. He projects really well and I think will be a great asset in the future as he puts on good weight, which should help him add more velo. Played in the Iowa Spring League and struck out 27 batters in 12 innings of work.

Will Gambino - I believe that Will is one of just two redshirt freshman pitchers. Will is from NJ as well and is a 6'2 215 pound righty. He was a top 80 right hander out of high school despite not pitching until his junior year. He did fairly well in summer league, PGCBL, with a 3.26 ERA through 18 games. He was actually drafted out of high school and has some good sink to his fastball, which topped out at 94 in high school. Kid could be a pleasant surprise for us this season.

Zach Lee - Another righty, this one from Illinois and going 6'4 200lbs. Lee was rated as the 121st best RHP overall and the 12th best player in Illinois. I don't know a lot about him, but Prep Baseball Report ranked him as the 146th best player overall. So, there is some stuff to look forward to there.

Alex Martgot - Our first freshman lefty goes 6'4 200lbs from New Jersey. He was ranked 91st best lefty by PG and has a fastball topping out at 88mph. Could see him come in for spot work at least.

Cole Stupp - Stupp is 6'4 195 and hails from Georgia. He throws from the right side. He was ranked 220th best righty out of HS by PG. His velo is around the low 90s.

Brandon Sulzer - The second redshirt freshman on our list hails from Missouri and is a 6'2 205 pound righty. He was touching mid-90s before he had an elbow injury. Not sure how his recovery is going or when exactly he got hurt. So, no idea if we will see him in 2020.

Jacob Tate - Big 6'6 235 pound lefty from my neck of the woods in Louisville, TN. Tate was rated as the 96th best lefty in the country and the 4th best in Tennessee a year ago. His fastball touches low 90s. Was listed as TN's Mr. Baseball a year ago.

Sam Wibbels - Sam is a 6'1 205 pound righty from Nebraska and was the pitching gem of the 2019 recruiting class. PG ranked him as the 158th best incoming freshman and was ranked the 67th best righty a year ago. His fastball was hitting 93. Mixes in a curveball for strikes as well as a slider/slurve and a changeup. The issue with Wibbels is that he was injured or sidelined for most, if not all, of the fall. I am not sure what his issue was, but he is probably behind the others. So, I am not sure how much effect he will have early on.

Overall, I just don't know that any of these guys will be the superstar freshman that steps into SEC weekends. I could be wrong on that and maybe some of them will rise to the top, but my optimism is somewhat down. haha.
 
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CB3...let me check on Chase as l have a connection there. Good job on the review. I honestly think everybody's best bet us to expect very little and that way we won't be disappointed.

Thanks. This is just something I have heard, but don't know if it stuck or not. Just know that he got some time there, if not a lot of time there, in the fall.
 
Also want to note that after thinking about it, I changed Hill to LF and Anu to RF. The reason for this was the LF wall. That thing is scary and Hill plays with a reckless abandon, so I think the coaches will like that he won't fear that wall and will be better served to taking away some doubles out there than Anu would be.
 
Great report Comeback. I believe you are spot on with the position players. I think they have to keep Curtis at second though. Zeke just cannot hit well enough. Golda/Estep will play third, when Kessler catches. Time will tell, but could be another sub par season.

From what I heard Minge say the other day, Rhodes will be a star. May have to find him a place as well. Third or OF somewhere.

Lewis is a great kid, but he just doesn't cut it at the plate. He is solid on defense and he has been clutch on occasion, but as an everyday hitter he just doesn't quite get it done. So, I think we have better options there.

So much of this is going to depend on TJ Collett. If he plays 1B, what do they do with Breydon Daniel? Do they move him to 3B or outfield or what? If he is DH then Daniel may very well be over at 1B. That would mean that the options at third are a lot wider with Rhodes, Estep, Curtis, and Kessler. So, then I would think Curtis might be over at 2nd and you'd have those other three competing for third. A lot of options there.
 
Lewis is a great kid, but he just doesn't cut it at the plate. He is solid on defense and he has been clutch on occasion, but as an everyday hitter he just doesn't quite get it done. So, I think we have better options there.

So much of this is going to depend on TJ Collett. If he plays 1B, what do they do with Breydon Daniel? Do they move him to 3B or outfield or what? If he is DH then Daniel may very well be over at 1B. That would mean that the options at third are a lot wider with Rhodes, Estep, Curtis, and Kessler. So, then I would think Curtis might be over at 2nd and you'd have those other three competing for third. A lot of options there.
OK CB3...I talked to my guy about Chase and was surprised so that it was something l don't feel comfortable sharing here. Hope everybody understands.
 
OK CB3...I talked to my guy about Chase and was surprised so that it was something l don't feel comfortable sharing here. Hope everybody understands.

100 percent understand, and have no problem with, and can't blame you for, keeping to yourself.
 
Comebakatz3, thanks for all your hard work, we need to meet sometime at the ball park, had a personal quest that kept me away last year, but intend to attend several games this spring. I will buy you a beer if Mitch B allows me to.

But . . . I have to say your analysis above does not leave me tremendously optimistic for the season. :weary:
 
Maybe we can talk at a ball game when the season starts. Not a good moment right now. Disappointed .

Comebakatz3, thanks for all your hard work, we need to meet sometime at the ball park, had a personal quest that kept me away last year, but intend to attend several games this spring. I will buy you a beer if Mitch B allows me to.

But . . . I have to say your analysis above does not leave me tremendously optimistic for the season. :weary:

Sounds good guys. Since I live in TN, I don't get to too many games, but I try to at least go to some. I'll definitely be wearing my blue at UT though. I'll let you know which game(s) I attend in Lexington this year.
 
Cats are having a few intrasquad scrimmages this weekend if anyone gets a wild hair to go check it out and report back to us. :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:
 
As bad as the projected schedule looks, the writeup for UK is not terrible.

They believe that UK should have one of the more offensive teams in the league. In fact it says, 'there's little doubt Kentucky will hit.'

As we can guess, it does criticize pitching. Zack Lee and Cole Stupp are mentioned as two freshmen pitchers that could be featured quite a bit.

It is a fairly standard outlook, but it does seem to be more positive than I would think.
 
As bad as the projected schedule looks, the writeup for UK is not terrible.

They believe that UK should have one of the more offensive teams in the league. In fact it says, 'there's little doubt Kentucky will hit.'

As we can guess, it does criticize pitching. Zack Lee and Cole Stupp are mentioned as two freshmen pitchers that could be featured quite a bit.

It is a fairly standard outlook, but it does seem to be more positive than I would think.
Dead last projection!! If so, fire NM and pay U6 pitching coach whatever it takes . If non revenue producing coaches can make 1 million a year , pay the baseball coach! NM is surely over paid!
 
Dead last projection!! If so, fire NM and pay U6 pitching coach whatever it takes . If non revenue producing coaches can make 1 million a year , pay the baseball coach! NM is surely over paid!

I think Mingione has a contract through 2021. So, we may not see any changes until then. Still, if this projection holds up then it seems pretty clear that things are not going to change too much with him as baseball coach.

The investment in the baseball stadium will have been largely a waste.
 
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I think Mingione has a contract through 2021. So, we may not see any changes until then. Still, if this projection holds up then it seems pretty clear that things are not going to change too much with him as baseball coach.

The investment in the baseball stadium will have been largely a waste.
Don't think the stadium was a waste at all! More a necessity if the program is going to grow and certainly a big plus recruiting and when/if we court a new coach. May not be as big capacity wise, but certainly all the bells and whistles that are needed to be one of the best in the country. And, l TRULY believe if we can build a true top tier SEC program it will be like Field of Dreams...Build it and they will come!!
 
Don't think the stadium was a waste at all! More a necessity if the program is going to grow and certainly a big plus recruiting and when/if we court a new coach. May not be as big capacity wise, but certainly all the bells and whistles that are needed to be one of the best in the country. And, l TRULY believe if we can build a true top tier SEC program it will be like Field of Dreams...Build it and they will come!!

That is true. Still, this coach will have squandered it. Think of how much harder it was for Henderson and Cohen to recruit here with Cliff Hagan Stadium as their field. They'd have to convince guys to come play there instead of going to play in college baseball cathedrals like at LSU, MSU, and Ark. Mingione has this new advantage and rather than using it to catapult us to a higher level, he brought us down to a level we haven't seen since 2005... finishing last in the SEC East. Sadly, we look poised to be in a similar position in 2020.
 
7-23 would be pitiful, about like going 1-7 or 2-6 in football. NOT acceptable.

But, it is just a prediction, lets see what actually happens before we jump ship.
 
7-23 would be pitiful, about like going 1-7 or 2-6 in football. NOT acceptable.

But, it is just a prediction, lets see what actually happens before we jump ship.

You definitely won't find me jumping ship. I'm chomping at the bit to get baseball season going, for better or for worse. Still, the confidence that we will have a strong season is very low. There is still excitement and anticipation, its tempered by knowing that we have some big issues to address.
 
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As bad as the projected schedule looks, the writeup for UK is not terrible.

They believe that UK should have one of the more offensive teams in the league. In fact it says, 'there's little doubt Kentucky will hit.'

As we can guess, it does criticize pitching. Zack Lee and Cole Stupp are mentioned as two freshmen pitchers that could be featured quite a bit.

It is a fairly standard outlook, but it does seem to be more positive than I would think.

How do they figure "there's little doubt Kentucky will hit"???

Last year we were 3rd to last in AVG., 2nd last in runs scored and dead last in RBI's.
 
How do they figure "there's little doubt Kentucky will hit"???

Last year we were 3rd to last in AVG., 2nd last in runs scored and dead last in RBI's.

That is a very good question. I guess their argument is that we should theoretically be able to hit, especially for power. Kessler proved he can rake, Collett had 10 home runs a year ago, Harmon is a monster size wise and reportedly is turning on fastballs well, Anu has his issues, but hitting allegedly isn't one of them. Shelby has power to spare, Daniel can hit it deep and even Hill has the ability to get it out in a hurry on the regular.

Still, I agree with you. We have some power, but it is wasted when no one is on base and you're not hitting for average, and you're striking out a lot. So, we need to improve those numbers.

Really though, I think the concept was to write a positive report rather than a negative one. If there is anything positive to look to, it is that we should, theoretically, be able to hit better than a year ago.
 
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That is true. Still, this coach will have squandered it. Think of how much harder it was for Henderson and Cohen to recruit here with Cliff Hagan Stadium as their field. They'd have to convince guys to come play there instead of going to play in college baseball cathedrals like at LSU, MSU, and Ark. Mingione has this new advantage and rather than using it to catapult us to a higher level, he brought us down to a level we haven't seen since 2005... finishing last in the SEC East. Sadly, we look poised to be in a similar position in 2020.
Leave out the three you mentioned and just look at IU & U6. The excuse they always use is weather and location...NO MORE EXCUSES!
 
You definitely won't find me jumping ship. I'm chomping at the bit to get baseball season going, for better or for worse. Still, the confidence that we will have a strong season is very low. There is still excitement and anticipation, its tempered by knowing that we have some big issues to address.
I have a saying about sports in general. Let’s just play the games and see what happens. Sports aren’t decided on predictions or on paper. You know opening day is the forever optimistic day and I really think we don’t know how this team will play. I’m just saddened by all of the negativity on this board. But that’s what makes America great. We’re all allowed to have an opinion.
 
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I have a saying about sports in general. Let’s just play the games and see what happens. Sports aren’t decided on predictions or on paper. You know opening day is the forever optimistic day and I really think we don’t know how this team will play. I’m just saddened by all of the negativity on this board. But that’s what makes America great. We’re all allowed to have an opinion.

I don’t want to be negative. I want to think that UK will have a great season and be contenders. I want UK to be as good as the other team in the state. I want to book a trip to Hoover for longer than a day and possibly a trip to Omaha. But I’m also a realist. I know what’s coming back from a team that at times last year was absolutely putrid. And I don’t have much confidence in Minge to get them out of the hole they’re in. Sorry, just my opinion.
 
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I don’t want to be negative. I want to think that UK will have a great season and be contenders. I want UK to be as good as the other team in the state. I want to book a trip to Hoover for longer than a day and possibly a trip to Omaha. But I’m also a realist. I know what’s coming back from a team that at times last year was absolutely putrid. And I don’t have much confidence in Minge to get them out of the hole they’re in. Sorry, just my opinion.

In most years we can look at the roster and be assured that we have one guy who will be the ace pitcher. We don't have that this year. The last time I can remember that happening was in Mingione's first year. That was when Hjelle switched from being a closer to being a Friday starter and surprised all of us, Lewis got healthy, and Logue also took a step forward with Thompson coming in as a freshman.

In many ways, that year was even more nerve racking because we had lost Reed, who was our best player on both sides, and we really had no one in the wings waiting to replace him. Still, White emerged as a super star and the rest of the team took massive steps forward.

So, can this team do the same thing? One thing that the 2017 team had that we have lacked some since then is leadership. Especially last year... it just seemed like we didn't have anyone really being the alpha dog that was helping to guide the younger players. Hopefully, that is something that changes this year as well.

There are pieces there to make us successful, but right now it is hard to be sure that any or all of them will come together to put us in a position to compete to get to the NCAA tournament, and beyond.
 
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Okay, so... to do this somewhat quickly and I will try to expand on it more as we get closer and as time permits. This is a big time guess because there are a whole lot of question marks. It wouldn't surprise me to see us play a whole lot of guys early.

Starting 9:

DH - TJ Collett -
I just don't know that TJ will ever be fully healthy enough to be anything but a DH. So, I imagine we will see him here again in 2020. I think coaches want him at 1B, but I just don't know that it can or will happen. If he does get the chance then possibly look for Trae Harmon to DH.

1B - Breydon Daniel -
I don't like it, but I think he finds his spot here. I feel a bit bad about it because I tend to give Daniel a hard time, but I just don't see him do anything great. He's kind of average everywhere he plays, and that being the case, it is hard to find a place where he should play. I fully hope he shows me that last year was a fluke and he turns into an AA. I won't feel bad about that one bit. I could see Justin Olson here as well. Kid can rake and was ranked the 9th best 1B in high school by Prep Baseball.

2B - Zeke Lewis -
This prospect scares the crap out of me, but I just don't think it will be anything else. Elliott Curtis should be here, but I have little faith that he will be. Instead, we'll get Lewis who will likely continue to struggle at the plate.

SS - Austin Schultz -
I think this might be the second easiest pick that I make. Schultz was a pretty solid SS a year ago as a freshman and ideally his numbers go up and his defense only improves as a sophomore. Concern here for him is some injury issues. Hope that isn't the case, as he is one of our anchors.

3B - Elliott Curtis -
Curtis finds his way into the lineup here. Probably not his best position, but Curtis has earned his time in the lineup after playing very well at the end of last season. Wouldn't surprise me to see him move to second after Lewis struggles for a while. If that happens then we might have some infield chaos. Another possible surprise name here is freshman John Rhodes. He's listed as an OF, but they might try to work him in here.

C - Coltyn Kessler
Whew. Finally an easy one. Kessler is a rock behind the plate. He will be an everyday player. Coaches will likely look to give him a rest at times though. So, what I anticipate might shake up the whole infield a bit. It wouldn't surprise me to see Kessler move to 3rd against lefties and Curtis to be moved out of the lineup. Then I anticipate a surprise move here. Chase Estep may be our backup catcher. He has worked out there this past fall, so it is possible he is there again. I really believed that Orlando Adams would be a guy that they rely on at catcher, but my understanding is that he was cut. He is no longer on the 2020 roster.

RF - Oraj Anu -
The JUCO transfer is a guy I didn't think would ever make it to campus. He was taken in the 16th round of the draft in 2019 and was a JUCO All American in both 2018 and 2019. He was also rated a top 15 outfielder in the Cape Cod League. He is 6'1 235, so he has a pretty big frame. I do not believe he is going to be a major defensive gem, but he will be serviceable in left and he will be called upon for the power.

CF - Jaren Shelby -
The legacy continues with Shelby returning for his senior year. His junior year was a disappointment, but I think he can turn things around this year. I think he mans the middle of the outfield because that is where he is most comfortable. I certainly believe his numbers will improve.

LF - Cam Hill -
Hill has had a rocky road, but the speedy OF will be hard to keep off the field. When he gets on base, UK scores... a lot. His numbers we relatively poor a year ago, but Cam showed a lot of bright spots. I think his confidence will be higher this year and we will see those numbers go up. Last year, it seemed that Hill struggled more against lefties. Ming seems to love to play that matchup game, so we might see Hill less against left-handed pitchers.

Others in consideration:

OF - Chase Bryan -
Bryan is a JUCO guy that comes from Seminole State (same as BD and former player Dalton Reed). He battled injuries a year ago, but by all accounts he is pretty solid in the OF. He hits right and throws right, so you could possibly see him get some work in matchup type situations.

SS/2B/3B - Jaden Brown -
I think Brown may redshirt, but I am not sure about this. He was one of our more highly decorated freshmen coming in and was ranked as a top 30 incoming freshman by Perfect Game, and overall in the class of 2019 he was ranked 58th and a top 15 SS. I think the coaches just don't necessarily have a spot for him. Personally, would like to see him get a chance this year though.

3B - Matt Golda -
Golda is another JUCO guy, and one I expect could see some time at 3B. Golda was ranked 101st overall by PG out of high school as a SS. He hit .326 and .317 respectively in 18 and 19 in JUCO and has a pretty solid eye with 66 walks to 70 strikeouts. Has some wheels and swiped 24 bags over those two years. If he plays, he could be used to play some other spots as well.

C - Jared Payne -
Catcher is an enigma after Kessler. There are some names there, but none of them stand out as being anyone we can trust fully. Payne, a true freshman, absolutely raked in the Perfect Game Collegiate Baseball League this summer hitting .390 in 29 games and 105 at bats. He was ranked as the 71st best catcher by PG in the 2019 class. So, that number doesn't jump out, but can't deny his success against college pitching so far. I don't expect him to have an impact, but it is possible.

C - Brendan Hord -
Hord is a redshirt freshman who probably isn't a guy that is going to make a major impact. Great in the classroom and is a guy who will do anything the coaches ask and good for the clubhouse. Not sure he will see much time unless he sticks around for his full time at UK.

C - Tanner Holen -
A senior who played JUCO before coming to UK. He was largely third catcher and bullpen guy a year ago. Not sure that the role changes a ton for him. Did well in the summer in the Western Canadian league where he hit .321, but I am not sure it is the most competitive league in the world.

Already mentioned:
Justin Olson - Could see time at 1B, DH, or even somewhere in the OF. Like I said, he apparently can rake, so I don't know if the coaches will be able to keep him off the field.

Trae Harmon - Kid is a monster and I think coaches want him hitting. So, it is a question of... how? I have heard some rumblings that he could play the outfield. I don't really see him being the most effective outfielder, but I am wrong a lot.

Chase Estep - I put him at backup catcher. I think this is the coaches trying to get him on the field. He came in as a third baseman, so it wouldn't surprise me to see him there in the future or even later this year. Still, what I have heard is that he worked at catcher a good bit.

Note: Spring practice just started last week. Actually think it might have been Friday. So, things are still extremely fresh for the team. I don't know what their numbers are, but they may still have to make cuts. So, we could even see the roster change between now and opening day.

I'll work on pitchers soon. I think it will be even harder.

Edit to add:

Key departures from 2019:
Alex Rodriguez - Graduation
** Rook Ellington - Transfer to JUCO
** Dalton Reed - Left team
Ryan Shinn - Graduation
Ryan Johnson - Graduation
Marshall Gei - Graduation
** Orlando Adams - Cut in fall
** Grant Macciocchi - Left team

** Indicates that they left before eligibility was up.
I read that Justin Olson will miss the 2020 season rehabbing from shoulder surgery.
 
Just in case you haven't checked it our yourself, here are some notes:

Olson - Will redshirt 2020 due to medical issues.
Sam Wibbels - Expected to be a pretty big key for our pitching staff and was a more highly touted pitcher suffered an injury and had surgery just before fall classes. Will medical redshirt in 2020.

Cole Stupp - Seems to be the furthest along as a freshman arm. Will compete for mid-week starting position and possibly the weekend.

Mason Hazelwood - Very glowing review of him and how he has improved. Claims that he had the most impressive fall.

Chase Bryan - Not in the media guide, but I have heard that he is injured and will redshirt.

Zeke Lewis - Didn't play summer ball and decided to focus on his body instead. Made great strides and is apparently one of the most improved returning guys.

Drew Grace - "Will be heavily involved in the middle infield rotation."
- A note on this. My understanding is that Schultz is struggling both defensively and at the plate. If this continues, then Drew Grace may get his chance to show his stuff very early.

Tanner Holen - "Has been through significantly more adversity than most players his age, having nearly died due to an internal infection in 2016 that caused both lungs to collapse and kept him hospitalized for more than a month." A note here as well, it is my understanding that Holen is also sick and will miss some significant time.

Will Gambino - One of the more intriguing stories on the team. Media guide states, "…Had a great fall after redshirting the 2019 season…Relies mostly on sinker and slider with use of change-up as well…Developing command of his pitches… Expected to provide bullpen depth with work load to be determined." Gambino has only been a pitcher for like 2 years or so. So, it is interesting that he already has more pitches than several other pitchers on our team.

Jake Tate - "Redshirt candidate."

Braxton Cottongame - "Could end up as a weekend rotation piece."

Dillon Marsh - "Expected to provide quality arm as Sunday or mid-week starter…Staff challenged him to improve his stamina and not be a “three-inning wonder” as teams go through their lineup a second time in games."

Alex Degen - Was a closer for the Savannah Bananas in the summer, but staff likes him as having starter potential. Has a 4 pitch combo. I think this guy could really help team morale... was a lot of fun on that Savannah team.

Carson Coleman - "Expected to be a stopper this season, meaning he will pitch in key situations, not just the late innings…Made some minor tweaks to mechanics in the fall that has created more strikes and better off-speed stuff…Developing slider and change-up to go along with fastball that hits 92-93 with ease."

Cole Daniels - Will apparently continue to be a spot guy. Really would like to see his role expand. Especially with not having a clear closer.

Ron Cole - Multi-pitch stuff will be in the pen.

Interesting thing is that there are a lot of guys who are mentioned as not having a clear role. That they could be a starter but also could be a bullpen guy. Even Ramsey is listed as such. So, that doesn't invoke a ton of confidence, but maybe it speaks more to the depth...? lol
 
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