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2015 Outlook - Same Old Song and Dance?

Originally posted by Kaizer Sosay:
Put on my optimistic blue tinted glasses and took a quick gander at the 2015 schedule. But I still only see 4 maybe 5 wins. Is this a wrong assessment?
Should be wins:
Louisiana Lafayette
EKU
Charlotte

Have a real chance to win:
UF
at Miss. State
at Vandy
UofL

Would take another South Carolina Miracle:
South Carolina
UT
Missouri

No shot
Georgia
Auburn

Our margin for error is thin, as usual. We need some breaks to get to six wins..but why not.
 
I think you kind of miss a step there Kapital. I don't believe it would be a miracle to beat South Carolina or Mizzou this year. I think those are closer to 50/50 games. I also think Vandy is in the should win category.
 
If we can't beat Florida this year then we never will.
 
Originally posted by KapitalCat:

Originally posted by Kaizer Sosay:
Put on my optimistic blue tinted glasses and took a quick gander at the 2015 schedule. But I still only see 4 maybe 5 wins. Is this a wrong assessment?
Should be wins:
Louisiana Lafayette
EKU
Charlotte

Have a real chance to win:
UF
at Miss. State
at Vandy
UofL

Would take another South Carolina Miracle:
South Carolina
UT
Missouri

No shot
Georgia
Auburn

Our margin for error is thin, as usual. We need some breaks to get to six wins..but why not.
I agree on the 3 should wins,

I might even put Vandy in that group as they appeared to be a program without any kind of direction last season. Your next group gets a little more difficult to predict,

UF is still very talented on the defensive side of the ball but with basically an entire new coaching staff, how are they going to react? Will they answer the call and play up to their potential or will the upper classmen resent the old staff being fired? Offensively they will be completely different, supposely the new offensive staff is going to be much apt to pass the ball but do they have the offensive playmakers to take advantage of that? Florida could go either way, be much improved or regress even more for a couple of years.

State, as much as they lost I am almost on the verge of putting them in the should win group, they weren't very good defensively against the pass last year and likely will be worse this year and lost quite a bit up front defensively too, should be a big step back, offense will be a big dropoff, losing almost the entire OL, their big WR, their RB, Prescott returns but not much help returns with him.

UofL will likely have good QB play because Bobby is a good QB coach and a good play caller, they lost their go to guy at WR, lost some RBs too. But their offense will likely be pretty good because Bobby is a great O mind with his schemes and playcalling ability. Defensively they were overrated last year, lose quite a bit but with transfers they will be putting experienced guys in some spots. I really don't see how they were ranked as good against the run as they were last year, they weren't that good against the run or defensively overall. But to predict an outcome would just be a quess because I think it could go either way.

One thing about the South Carolina game, I think UK has them kind of early this year, SOS usually targets an early game and works all summer and fall for that game, usually its us but we have them a little later. That could be a bad sign for UK if you are his target after last year, no one in the country is better than SOS for getting ready for 1 game. At Carolina where the stadium always is rocking and very loud, will be tough to get out of there with a win.

Missouri, Pinkle does the best job in the conference with developing talent, his results speak for itself. They never recruit well, but his system involves redshirting over half his class, developing their skill and playing as Juniors. I think that is what Mark Stoops is trying to do with UK and modeling his program after Missouri's. I think it will take a huge effort for UK to win this game because he has his system in full motion and stoops is just in his 3rd year, 4th year of recruiting.

UT, Talent wise UT is quite a bit ahead of UK, Jones has recruited lights out since he arrived, almost Bama level, they will be a handful for UK. I almost put them in the next bracket down.

On paper, if AU and UGA play up to potential they will be more than UK can handle this year. I don't really know who AU lost other than qb and a wr. The qb replacement isn't the runner Marshall was, but much better passer. Defensively they are talented especially the front, secondary is a small question mark.

We return 7 starters on 0, replace 1 WR, QB, C, the new WR started as a soph until a knee injury ended his season when he was averaging 20+ ypc. C will be either a 5th year RS sr or a true soph and looking like the soph is going to win out, QB is very likely to be a RS JR or a RS Soph who was the backup last year. We could very well have a RS frosh transfer out after spring practice with Eason on the way next Jan. Defensively we take a pretty good hit, lose 2 starters on the DL, both MLB and a 4 years starter at CB. A kid who transferred from UAB after their program shut down has looked very good in practice and will play quite a bit, maybe start, otherwise it will be 2 Jr who have played a good bit, secondary we have signed about 15 DBs in the last 2 classes, surely one of them can play a little. We have 3 OLB that are outstanding, one even plays the star in Nickle packages and shocked us that he returned. We have 3 that can play and are the three best defesive players we have, Pruitt is finding ways to get them all on the field at the same time. Lorenzo Carter, first start was against UK last year. He has gained 25 lbs and still looks slender and 6'6" 245, will be a star if he stays healthy. But, hopefully we are a handful for everyone, once again it will come down to qb play and if we improve our run defense.
 
Will be wins:
Louisiana Lafayette
EKU
Charlotte
Vandy

Should be wins:
UL
Miss St

Good shot at a win:
Mizzou
UF
USC

Going to be tough:
Auburn
Georgia
UT

I'll say 6-6 but I want to believe we can win 7. More is definitely possible though unlikely
This post was edited on 4/9 9:24 PM by CATFANFOLIFE87
 
Grumpy you are greatly overstating the offensive juggernaut in Louisville. They struggled to score points all season with a defense that got them more turnovers than almost any other defense in the country. Their QB's were putrid without Parker and they lost 7 of their top 9 WRs, 3 four year starters on the Oline and a couple backups, two of their top 3 RBs, and their only good TE. UL's offense last year was hard to watch and it is downgrading in a huge way this year. Nearly their entire offense will rely on JUCO's and two transfers. If their offense is great next year then Petrino truly is a genius but I saw nothing genius about what they did offensively last year. It was basically send Parker down field and throw a jump ball. That play will no longer be in the playbook
This post was edited on 4/9 7:33 PM by CATFANFOLIFE87
 
Originally posted by Jdhays21:
I think you kind of miss a step there Kapital. I don't believe it would be a miracle to beat South Carolina or Mizzou this year. I think those are closer to 50/50 games. I also think Vandy is in the should win category.
Difference of opinion is a good thing. This predicting stuff isn't an exact science :)
 
I didn't see your post until after I posted mine KS, but I'm as pessimistic as I've ever been

After Stoops' recruiting class fell apart and all the other bullcrap off-the-field issues we've been treated to I have ZERO confidence we are going to a bowl....almost seems like we had more chance last year but could not close the deal

SMH

Kentucky football will drive a man to drink
 
Catfan, I won't argue with you about them being good or not, personally I thought they were pretty bad last year and wasn't excited about playing them in a bowl game. Luckily we didn't embarass ourself and showed up to play and it was really sweet seeing Chubb run for 266 yards against ole Thrid and Grantham's defense.

But Petrino is a good offensive mind and I understand he was forced to played without a qb against us. That doesn't change the fact he is about as sleazy a man as one can find but he is a good offensive mind. Their defense will take a step back, wait and see, Grantham is a good planner, but he doesn't teach tackling, which is what defense is all about really. That number 2 defense was done trying to tackle Chubb by middle of third quarter.
 
Originally posted by Kaizer Sosay:
Put on my optimistic blue tinted glasses and took a quick gander at the 2015 schedule. But I still only see 4 maybe 5 wins. Is this a wrong assessment?
How can you really know or say that at this point...With a new OC and with a years experience under their belt with the younger guys who knows...I do know this though from a positive standpoint ...we make 1 play against Fla. and Otis and we finish 7-5 and go bowling last year
smokin.r191677.gif
 
Originally posted by Samwise Ganjee:
I didn't see your post until after I posted mine KS, but I'm as pessimistic as I've ever been

After Stoops' recruiting class fell apart and all the other bullcrap off-the-field issues we've been treated to I have ZERO confidence we are going to a bowl....almost seems like we had more chance last year but could not close the deal

SMH

Kentucky football will drive a man to drink
so you think that returning 37 of your top 44 players is a recipe for regression? we will be better this year. the only question is who on the schedule regresses, stays the same and improves????
 
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