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Monty Hall

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Drove Rommel across Africa before going a bridge too far.
 
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I forgot that was mentioned in that movie. Stats class is really where I learned it. I'm actually surprised that some people I consider very smart have fought me on it before.

Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.
 
Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.

The easiest way I've found to explain it is the only way you lose by switching is if you pick the prize with your initial choice. Since you have 1/3 chance of picking the prize first, you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch.

I learned about it at UK in a computer science course where we wrote a sim to show this.
 
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