I wouldn't be surprised to see a much better Kentucky football team this year but with a 7-5 record. Our road schedule is brutal.
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It all rides on BV and tangentially the o line. If BV throws for 3000+, rushes for about 400yds and has a 2.5 to 1 TD to int ratio, with our normal good to great rushing, then we're winning 8, maybe even 9. If he's Leary 2.0, then we win 6 or 7.I wouldn't be surprised to see a much better Kentucky football team this year but with a 7-5 record. Our road schedule is brutal.
Yup. High ceiling, but also high risk of not hitting on all cylinders due to some many new key offensive pieces.I can see 7 or 8 SEC teams with 8 win seasons this year but some of those teams could win 6 or 9 also. Preseason predictions are about as accurate as a blind spear throwing but folks love em.
In a nutshell reasons to feel optimistic is talent - maybe the most talented team in 40 years or more. Reason to be cautious is "newness" on offense. New OC with new system, new starting RB, new QB, a few other new faces including slot receiver and one or two spots on the O-line. All that has to come together into a cohesive efficient unit with a minimal of mistakes. That will take some time.
Think you made a mistake on Murray St, at least I hope so. I give us a floor of 7 and a ceiling of 9 if the offense gets rolling. UT and OM on the road are gonna be tough, would need one of those for a shot at nine. I’m guessing 8-4 but as said above we really don’t know what to expect from the offense.Southern Miss -W
South Carolina -W
UGa -L
Ohio - W
Ole Miss - L (this could be season swing game)
Vandy - W
Florida - W ...but iffy
Auburn - W (this could also swing the season)
Tenn - L
Murray St - L
Texas - L
UL - W
I see 7-5...but new OC is a very unknown. If Vandagriff has growing pains (and we drop the USC game early)...it could be a longer season than some expect.
You have us losing to Murray State?Southern Miss -W
South Carolina -W
UGa -L
Ohio - W
Ole Miss - L (this could be season swing game)
Vandy - W
Florida - W ...but iffy
Auburn - W (this could also swing the season)
Tenn - L
Murray St - L
Texas - L
UL - W
I see 7-5...but new OC is a very unknown. If Vandagriff has growing pains (and we drop the USC game early)...it could be a longer season than some expect.
The Max Duffy effect, apparently.You have us losing to Murray State?
Good catch.....No we ain't losing to Murray StThink you made a mistake on Murray St, at least I hope so. I give us a floor of 7 and a ceiling of 9 if the offense gets rolling. UT and OM on the road are gonna be tough, would need one of those for a shot at nine. I’m guessing 8-4 but as said above we really don’t know what to expect from the offense.
National Championship Season 12-0I wouldn't be surprised to see a much better Kentucky football team this year but with a 7-5 record. Our road schedule is brutal.
It all rides on BV and tangentially the o line. If BV throws for 3000+, rushes for about 400yds and has a 2.5 to 1 TD to int ratio, with our normal good to great rushing, then we're winning 8, maybe even 9. If he's Leary 2.0, then we win 6 or 7.
Win the USC game and a good to great season are in play. Lose that game, and it's awfully tough to be optimistic.
I was at the last game in Oxford. We gave it away. Come to play and we can win there.All due respect, that speaks more to your level of confidence than to the team itself. I dont see this team losing to SCar in Lexington. But many of these games are decided by a few plays. Stuff happens. There have been a number of notable cases when a team got upset and lost a game they shouldn't have lost, then went on to have a strong season. But I will agree with you this far, I sure don't want to lose that home game. That would give me a lot of indigestion.
To me, this is the September key for this team. Don't get blown out by GA or lose key players to injury on September 14, then beat OM in Oxford on September 28. Anyone who gives up on September 28 and says we can't beat OM is talking about their own mindset, not about our football team. We can win it if we play our game.
Auburn is at home, and 7.5 is quite generous. Louisville is a joke. We play 5 bad teams (to be fair, the midmajor/FCS teams may not be bad compared to their peers), a Florida team that may end up 4 and 8, Auburn, U6.I mean, we are playing 2 teams with 10.5 project wins, a 9.5 win Ole Miss on the road, 9 win Knoxville on road, 8.5 win Louisville, and 7.5 win Auburn on the road
Hello? UK might be dramatically better and be damned lucky to notch 7-5
Exactly.I was at the last game in Oxford. We gave it away. Come to play and we can win there.
Yep... I figured 7 would be the popular choice.... which is why I said we need to shoot for 8. We have to take the next step from just beating bad teams.... We have to beat UT or AUB or Tex.... Just have to.
This... We need to expect the 8 win season even with this harder schedule...National Championship Season 12-0
National Semi Finals - 11-1 Georgia Loss
Playoff Season - 10-2. Losses Georgia & Texas
Remarkable Season - 9-3 Add Mississippi loss
Fantastic Season- 8-4 Add Tennessee loss
Treading Water Season - 7-5 Add Auburn loss
What? 6-6 Add Florida loss
You kidding? - 5-7 Add South Carolina loss
Disaster - add Louisville loss
There you have it - Kentucky's possible won loss record this season. Personally I think 9-3 on the upside and 7-5 on the downside. I think the team will be a good team - but it will come down to the inches games, getting the breaks and injuries. Past coaching indicates losses that will keep us from going 10-2 or better.
Go Big Blue!
Almost every year, people say the schedule is tougher. That is before any of us knows whether it really is. Seems to me the Hamdan hire is solid. He certainly has the right resume. He has coached at several SEC programs as well as the NFL. He runs a balanced offense and he doesn't huddle much. His players like him and his former head coaches speak well of him. I have been impressed and pleased that he has been able to hang onto Stone Saunders. What's not to like?I can't make a prediction right now,gotta see us play. The o line will be a key. Imo a few key injuries, especially at RB could really hurt us. I also have questions about our new OC. I didn't like the hire at all,but he's the guy and the jury is out until I see what kind of game he calls against a SEC opponent. Fi ally the schedule is brutal,just brutal. Alot questions that must be answered.
Murray state loss??????Southern Miss -W
South Carolina -W
UGa -L
Ohio - W
Ole Miss - L (this could be season swing game)
Vandy - W
Florida - W ...but iffy
Auburn - W (this could also swing the season)
Tenn - L
Murray St - L
Texas - L
UL - W
I see 7-5...but new OC is a very unknown. If Vandagriff has growing pains (and we drop the USC game early)...it could be a longer season than some expect.
I hardly see how a game result 4 years ago is relevant given how few contributors remain the same. What is different & favors OM is Kiff has his system fully installed and his players in place. Stoops is not near as much changed in my belief. Net, we either can or we can't. If OM is up to the hype, very doubtful for us imo even with a better team.I was at the last game in Oxford. We gave it away. Come to play and we can win there.