Riley NoChance

Discussion in 'Rupp Rafters - Basketball Forum' started by CRUCAT, Jan 13, 2018.

  1. awf

    awf Senior
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    I think he looks like he is a raccoon......
     
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  2. BBUK

    BBUK All-American
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    PePe LaChance is my name...

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. eppsfan

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    I would feel sorry for him, but I don't.
     
  4. KA4Prez

    KA4Prez All-American
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    12th year Senior who has gotten worse every year.
     
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  5. wldktz8

    wldktz8 Sophomore
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    He doesn't have good players to cover his rear and free him up. I don't think he can handle the pressure.
     
  6. no_neutrality

    no_neutrality All-SEC
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    Seems he was too amped up. The last 3 all hit the back of the rim. Don't usually do that if you're shook.

    Just one of those things that never should have happened. Bad play by the Cats gave him the chance.

    UK wins even if he makes all 3. They foul SKJ who makes both FTs, Riley misses a 3 SKJ boards and makes 2 more. Game over.
     
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  7. blueblood65

    blueblood65 Junior
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    I'm still amazed by that..Glad UK won but those misses were shocking. Difference in the outcome for sure....
     
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  8. kev69

    kev69 All-American
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    Unbelievable.
    [​IMG]
     
  9. Lempface

    Lempface Junior
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    I'm not much at stats but I believe we had a 0.1% chance of him missing three in a row and a 0.01% chance of him missing four in a row. How's that for some good luck on the road.
     
  10. blueblood65

    blueblood65 Junior
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    No doubt..Take the W any way you can esp.on the road, but man.
     
  11. JStaff2187

    JStaff2187 Junior
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    Reminded me of Nick Calathes (sp?) at Florida. Near 90% FT shooter goes 0fer on 3 attempts.
     
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  12. TJ-Cat

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    About a 1 out of 1,000 chance. Disclaimer: I am no math expert, so if I am wrong on this, I will gladly admit my mistake :grimace:
     
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  13. UKWildcatT

    UKWildcatT All-American
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    One of the most epic choke jobs ever
     
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  14. member-chewy

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    He really missed 4 in a row, which is about 1 in 10,000. The dude looked completely shook by the pressure.
     
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  15. ekywildcat

    ekywildcat Freshman
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    We were very fortunate. For all the dumb things we do, we have had more luck this season than I can remember. Now if we can just get consistently good, we can beat anyone in the country.
     
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  16. The_Answer1313

    The_Answer1313 All-American
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    So he's a career 84% free throw shooter.

    There was a 0.046% chance he'd miss three in a row.
     
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  17. DerekMcPwn

    DerekMcPwn Sophomore
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    Assuming the correctness of the 84%, I got a different number. (1 - .84) ^ 3 = .004096, or .4%.

    Put another way, if Riley Lachance shot 250 “sets” of three shots each, probability says only 1 set out of 250 would be him missing all three FTs. Low odds, to be sure, but not lottery odds. Less than half of one percent.
     
  18. Oldbluefart

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    You have to wonder how much fatigue factored in to this as well.
    He had to be tired somewhat and when he missed the first one, was he thinking about it to the point he wasn't shooting free throws but trying "not" to miss.
    The mental part plays a big role in a shooter if he gets to thinking wrong.

    1996 Masters. Greg Norman had a 6 host lead. They were ready to give him the trophy. No way a professional at this level would blow a 6 shot lead. That was the thinking of everyone except for Greg Norman.
    He went into that last round trying not to miss his shots. He was thinking about not failing instead of winning.
    This is all documented in a study by Standford on the brain having two hemisphere's and how a person like Greg Norman let his brain control him instead of him controlling his brain and its thoughts.
    He let himself become unbalanced and one side of his brain was in control of the other.
    The kid from Vandy let the first one get in his head. Why not, he never misses and then he does miss one all the while the pressure around him was building.

    Bottom line, he choked.
     
  19. Bkocats

    Bkocats All-American
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    I see a lot of people pointing to Lachance missing free throws as to why we won the game. Yeah it was shocking, but he wasn’t the only one to miss fts
    Vandy is shooting 73.2% as a team on the season. Last night they went 19/27 making it 70.4%. If they had made 1 more ft that would have been 74%; better than their season average. One point wouldn’t have been enough.
    Just my opinion
     
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  20. SilentsAreGolden

    SilentsAreGolden All-American
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    No such thing as luck. It was our FT defense at work. Show some respect dammit!
     
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  21. JoeBeeHall

    JoeBeeHall Junior
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    The team did rebound well off of missed ft's .
     
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  22. hoggwildcat

    hoggwildcat Sophomore
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    So we would have won by 4
     
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  23. etowncatfan

    etowncatfan All-SEC
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    All of you are correct in your math but the one thing that throws the calculations off might be how many free throws has he made with the game on the line?
     
  24. Cat_Incognito

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  25. Rockford

    Rockford All-SEC
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    He played 27 minutes. Your bottom line is correct.
     
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  26. AlbanyWildCat

    AlbanyWildCat Senior
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  27. letitrainuk

    letitrainuk Sophomore
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    He's no Patrick Sparks
     
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  28. gimme6

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    As a 93% shhoter I think the answer is .07x.07x.07 or .000343 or 34 Times in 10,000?? Is that right??
     
  29. hoggwildcat

    hoggwildcat Sophomore
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    I know they bring in a pretty good recruiting class, but they are graduating 3 1000pt scorers.
     
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  30. On-On-UK

    On-On-UK Junior
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    After he missed the second shot, he looked like he had just $h1t his pants.
    He was a total wreck.
     

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