Up to 7th in my model

[Aike]

Last night was an improvement, even with the poor rebounding.

I think it’s safe to call us a contender at this point, but I would still have us in the second tier.

 

[the nail at the foul line]

The offense is nice. Be nice to see defense improve. It would be hard to have that good of an offense and not be a contender.

 

[Son_Of_Saul]

Last night was an improvement, even with the poor rebounding.

I think it’s safe to call us a contender at this point, but I would still have us in the second tier.

What do you think we need to do in order to get into the first tier?

 

[Aike]

What do you think we need to do in order to get into the first tier?

Do a better job of challenging shots and improve our rebounding.

 

[Cornett195]

96 last night and I didn’t even think the offense was humming. Defense honestly only needs to improve by 5-7 points per hundred possessions to put UK over the top.
It will still be about matchups in the tournament. At this point I don’t know what our kryptonite is. The SEC this year has enough quality and variety of play to expose us to everything hopefully.

 

[J-Ryan]

Do a better job of challenging shots and improve our rebounding.

Yeah, if we can put those 2 things in the next gear, look out

 

[Aike]

I would put Arizona/Houston/Purdue as the first tier right now.

I would put UCONN at the top of the 2nd tier, since they’ve proven themselves recently.

BYU and Iowa St. are two teams who are modeling great, but I need to see more. I would have them 2nd tier with a question mark.

Kentucky, FAU, Alabama, and Kansas would round out the 2nd tier.

I would say it’s most likely that the champion will be one of those 10 teams.

 

[uky8unc5]

I think it’s safe to call us a contender at this point, but I would still have us in the second tier.

Kind of agree, except I think:

Right now, we can win or lose any game against the Elite.

But we have the potential to be the Hunted (instead of a Hunter)

 

[Wildcats1st]

Up to 23 in net so we re headed the right direction.

 

[Cowtown Cat]

I would put Arizona/Houston/Purdue as the first tier right now.

I would put UCONN at the top of the 2nd tier, since they’ve proven themselves recently.

BYU and Iowa St. are two teams who are modeling great, but I need to see more. I would have them 2nd tier with a question mark.

Kentucky, FAU, Alabama, and Kansas would round out the 2nd tier.

I would say it’s most likely that the champion will be one of those 10 teams.

Agreed. However, we all know Alabama isn’t winning 6 consecutive games with the way the rely on the 3. Just isn’t gonna happen.

 

[know1]

Hater. We deserve top 5. 🙂

 

[THE_HOOK]

Kind of agree, except I think:

Right now, we can win or lose any game against the Elite.

But we have the potential to be the Hunted (instead of a Hunter)

 

[THE_HOOK]

Pretty obvious since #7 lost.

 

[runt#69]

Hater. We deserve top 5. 🙂

hahahaha ! I see what you did there, you sly dog !!

lol

It's interesting to follow Aike's analysis as the year progresses. We got the best ( and worst too ! lol) posters on the net'.

 

[Aike]

Pretty obvious since #7 lost.

What does that have to do with anything?

 

[Aike]

Agreed. However, we all know Alabama isn’t winning 6 consecutive games with the way the rely on the 3. Just isn’t gonna happen.

Probably not. But someone has to win it.

 

[Cowtown Cat]

Probably not. But someone has to win it.

Why not UK?! GBB!

 

[Aike]

Why not UK?! GBB!

I’m in!

 

[THE_HOOK]

What does that have to do with anything?

UK is #8 and #7 lost. Soooooo logic says UK goes to 7 or higher. Maybe

 

[Montana81]

Wonder how far zona will drop after losing by 18 as a 12.5 point favorite? That is a MASSIVE underperformance. Should hurt them pretty bad in the computers.

 

[ukcatz12]

Agreed. However, we all know Alabama isn’t winning 6 consecutive games with the way the rely on the 3. Just isn’t gonna happen.

Bingo. Until the Brandon Miller situation last year, Bama's over reliance on the 3 was the main reason I never wanted Oats to replace Cal.

 

[Untouchables22]

Do a better job of challenging shots and improve our rebounding.

The poor close outs by the freshmen guards & Edwards drive me crazy!!!! The entire point of not closing out hard on a perimeter shot is to prevent the ball handler from putting the ball on the deck and driving by you easily. However those same players can’t keep anybody in front of them (except for Wagner) so they in effect aren’t effectively taking either option away. This year we have rim protection and when Ugonna is in we have elite rim protection so I would vote to focus on harder close outs and arms in the way of the shooters eye line. But I’m also just a basketball Bennie.

 

[Blue Bigfoot]

Kind of agree, except I think:

Right now, we can win or lose any game against the Elite.

But we have the potential to be the Hunted (instead of a Hunter)

 

[$Z71$]

Would love to know how much Stanford torching Arizona dropped them in @Aike model.

 

[jbne222]

I would put Arizona/Houston/Purdue as the first tier right now.

I would put UCONN at the top of the 2nd tier, since they’ve proven themselves recently.

BYU and Iowa St. are two teams who are modeling great, but I need to see more. I would have them 2nd tier with a question mark.

Kentucky, FAU, Alabama, and Kansas would round out the 2nd tier.

I would say it’s most likely that the champion will be one of those 10 teams.

Iowa state has clearly benefited in many metrics by blowing out bad teams. Really don’t think they’re a great team

 

[LineSkiCat14]

Guy can't even post his model results anymore.

Mods, two week ban.

 

[Fox2monk]

@Aike need Moar model results.

 

[Fox2monk]

Bingo. Until the Brandon Miller situation last year, Bama's over reliance on the 3 was the main reason I never wanted Oats to replace Cal.

They hit 19 3’s against Purdue and still lost. I don’t recall any team hitting that many 3’s and losing the game before I watched that one.

 

[Montana81]

Zona dropped 1 spot in Kenpom and the NET from 3rd to 4th after getting waxed by NET 156 stanford.

 

[TOMCATS1990]

Kentucky averaging 91.1 points per game as compared to 74.5 last season.

 

[Mike-D]

Do a better job of challenging shots and improve our rebounding.

I just don't see a scenario where we aren't a better defensive team by the SEC tournament. Cal had great defensive teams for quite a while when he first got here. I think this should be a first tier team. I say that, and we may lose at Florida. Weird season.

 

[Aike]

UK is #8 and #7 lost. Soooooo logic says UK goes to 7 or higher. Maybe

That’s not what this is

 

[Aike]

@Aike need Moar model results.

Ran this morning…

Zona still 1, but dropped substantially
We are still 7
FAU has dropped to 14th
Duke is up to 12 and probably worth keeping an eye on

Edit to add: Bama is 6, Auburn 10, Tennessee 15. Buckle up.

 

[Aike]

Iowa state has clearly benefited in many metrics by blowing out bad teams. Really don’t think they’re a great team

They are playing the right way, but are definitely overwhelming poor competition. Should come back to earth playing that Big 12 schedule, but I guess we’ll see.

 

[jca4446]

I am sure model is the real model.

 

[Aike]

I am sure model is the real model.

?

 

[fatguy87]

They are playing the right way, but are definitely overwhelming poor competition. Should come back to earth playing that Big 12 schedule, but I guess we’ll see.

They could have a bit of Wisconsin syndrome. The early 2010's Wisconsin teams were famous for their ability to dismantle overmatched opponents.